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Kos poll: Burns by six (PA-12 Special Election)
Politico ^ | 4/30/10 | JOSH KRAUSHAAR

Posted on 04/30/2010 10:58:09 AM PDT by randita

Kos poll: Burns by six By: Josh Kraushaar April 30, 2010 12:59 PM EDT

Weighed down in his district by low presidential favorability ratings and a health care law that's unpopular there, Pennsylvania Democrat Mark Critz now trails by six points in next month's special election for the seat of the late Rep. John Murtha, according to a Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll released Friday.

Critz, who served on Murtha's staff before the congressman's death, takes 40 percent of the vote in the poll compared with 46 percent for Republican businessman Tim Burns.

The poll shows President Barack Obama's favorability number in Pennsylvania's 12h Congressional District at a dismal 38 percent, with 55 percent of voters viewing the president unfavorably. The White House-backed health care reform law fares even worse: just 34 percent of voters say they would prefer to back a candidate who supports and wants to improve the law, compared with 48 percent who say they'd favor one who supports repeal.

Critz has distanced himself from the health care reform measure, saying in a recent ad that he would have opposed it in the House.

The congressional district has a decided Democratic registration advantage, but it was the only one in the country to support the Republican presidential ticket in 2008 after breaking for the Democrats in the previous presidential race.


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2010midterms; burns; keyhouseraces; khr; pa12; pa2010; speciailelection; timburns; ushouse

1 posted on 04/30/2010 10:58:10 AM PDT by randita
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To: smoothsailing; jazusamo; randita

PA-12 ping


2 posted on 04/30/2010 10:58:56 AM PDT by Gene Eric (Your Hope has been redistributed. Here's your Change.)
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To: randita
Lead is holding steady. Help Burns if you can. Special Election is on May 18. This is Murtha's open seat.

Tim Burns for Congress

3 posted on 04/30/2010 10:59:41 AM PDT by randita (Visit keyhouseraces.com for a list of vulnerable DEM and must hold GOP House seats.)
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To: randita

“Critz has distanced himself from the health care reform measure, saying in a recent ad that he would have opposed it in the House.”

Right. And 0 pharts fairy dust.


4 posted on 04/30/2010 11:00:40 AM PDT by tgusa (Investment plan: blued steel, brass, lead, copper)
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To: randita

Good news, but he’s likely going to need to be up by 10% to beat the corruption that’s likely to take place in that district.


5 posted on 04/30/2010 11:00:59 AM PDT by woweeitsme
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To: randita

Why would we believe anything that is associated with Kos? Does anyone thinks for a second that he does not oversample leftist turds?


6 posted on 04/30/2010 11:04:57 AM PDT by 999replies (Thune/Rubio 2012)
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To: randita

When a kos push-poll can’t even get a pro-donk propaganda worthy result, you know the donks are hurting!!!


7 posted on 04/30/2010 11:06:01 AM PDT by piytar (Ammo is hard to find! Bought some lately? Please share where at www.ammo-finder.com)
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To: randita

What happened to Bill Russell?


8 posted on 04/30/2010 11:31:38 AM PDT by Eagles6 ( Typical White Guy: Christian, Constitutionalist, Heterosexual, Redneck.)
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To: randita

A vote for ANY democrat is a vote for obamination. I sure hope enough people wake up soon.


9 posted on 04/30/2010 12:07:21 PM PDT by freeangel ( (free speech is only good until someone else doesn't like what you say))
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To: Eagles6; randita; Gene Eric; jazusamo

Eagle,

This poll is about the special election on May 18th to fill out the remainder of Murtha’s unfinished term. The winner will only serve for about 7 months until January 2011.

Bill Russell is on the Republican Primary ballot, the winner of the primary will be on the November General Election ballot. The General Election winner will serve a full two-year term beginning January 2011.


10 posted on 04/30/2010 12:54:50 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: Gene Eric; jazusamo; randita

From the poll’s internals:

Sampled voter breakdown; 600 likely voters 4% +/- MOE

DEMOCRATS 319 53%
REPUBLICANS 214 36%
INDEPENDENTS 67 11%

Again, like the recent PPP poll, Democrats have been undersampled and Republicans have been oversampled. Both the PPP poll and KOS are lefty leaning pollsters, so it would be interesting to know what the motivation is for showing Burns ahead.


11 posted on 04/30/2010 1:07:57 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing; Gene Eric; randita

You’re right again, the Dems are being undersampled. Like you I wonder what their motivation is.


12 posted on 04/30/2010 1:17:13 PM PDT by jazusamo (But there really is no free lunch, except in the world of political rhetoric,.: Thomas Sowell)
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To: smoothsailing
Got it. Thanks, I was a bit confused.
13 posted on 04/30/2010 1:31:29 PM PDT by Eagles6 ( Typical White Guy: Christian, Constitutionalist, Heterosexual, Redneck.)
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To: jazusamo

Motivating their base and trying to lull our side into complacency, probably.


14 posted on 04/30/2010 3:15:22 PM PDT by Tony in Hawaii (NUTS!)
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To: randita

Kos lies. Dems lie. Polls lie.


15 posted on 04/30/2010 3:17:31 PM PDT by airborne ("It's a great day for hockey!" - 'Badger' Bob Johnson (RIP))
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To: Tony in Hawaii

Yep, you’re most likely correct. Hopefully the voters of PA-12 won’t fall for it.


16 posted on 04/30/2010 3:55:35 PM PDT by jazusamo (But there really is no free lunch, except in the world of political rhetoric,.: Thomas Sowell)
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To: smoothsailing
Since both the primary and the special election are on 5-18 do we vote for Burns in the special election and Col. Russell on the primary ballot?

If so Col. Russell needs to get that info out.

17 posted on 05/01/2010 4:18:08 PM PDT by Eagles6 ( Typical White Guy: Christian, Constitutionalist, Heterosexual, Redneck.)
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