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  • Key House Races Update - We've Added WV-03 and the GOP Gains continue

    09/18/2010 11:19:16 AM PDT · by InterceptPoint · 125 replies ^ | 18 September 2010 | Interceptpoint
    We've added another Vulnerable Dem to our Master List: WV-03That brings our list to 99 seats. We now have 87 Vulnerable Democrats and 12 pretty safe Republicans on out list.This weeks news:It was a pretty average week for our six "Experts" with a total of 23 upgrades to the races on the KHR Master List but the Dems managed to get just 3 of those 23.We've added the Freedom's Lighthouse to our list of Pickup Projections and they currently are predicing a 49 seat pickup.We are now listing all the Pickup Projections we can find on the Home Page at...
  • Key House Races - 11 September 2010 Update - We’ve Added CO-07, GA-02, IL-17, NC-11 & WA-02 to The M

    09/11/2010 11:44:14 AM PDT · by InterceptPoint · 79 replies ^ | 11 Sept 2010 | Interceptpoint
    We've added 5 more Vulnerable Dems to our Master List: CO-07, GA-02, IL-17, NC-11 & WA-02 That's the biggest change to our Master List in several months. We now have 86 Democrats and 12 pretty safe Republicans on out list.This weeks news:It was another good week for our six "Experts" with a total of 47 upgrades to the races on the KHR Master List. The Dems managed to get 9 of those 47, all by Election Projection. Rothenberg finally came through and we had updates from all 6 "Experts" this week. Our guys are starting to get on the ball.We've...
  • Key House Races - 4 September 2010 Update - Sabato & EP Predict Republican Majority

    09/04/2010 8:33:54 AM PDT · by InterceptPoint · 54 replies · 1+ views ^ | 4 September 2010 | Interceptpoint
    This weeks news:It was a YET ANOTHER BIG WEEK for our "Experts" with a total of 37 upgrades to the races on the KHR Master List. It was a 37 to ZERO shutout - none of the upgrades favored the Dems. There were major changes from Sabato and Cook, and a few from EP and RCP. CQ Politics and Rothenberg were silent.BUT THE REALLY BIG NEWS THIS WEEK was: Larry Sabato predicting a 47 seat pickup for the Republicans. Election Projection  followed a day later with a projection of a 41 seat pickup. We need 39 seats to retake the...
  • Key House Races - 28 August 2010 Update - Biggest Gains Yet by the Republicans

    08/28/2010 11:10:17 AM PDT · by InterceptPoint · 65 replies · 1+ views ^ | 28 August 2010 | Interceptpoint
    This weeks news:It was a BIG WEEK for our "Experts" and as usual the changes were highly favorable to the Republicans. We had a total of 55 updates this week, the largest number we've recorded for a single week. CQ Politics finally woke up up so we will lay off of them for awhile. RCP also came through with several updates. And Sabato has promised a major update on September 2nd. See below for the summary.We have winners in the Arizona and Florida primaries.The Master List has been updated to include the winners of all completed primaries The "Race at...
  • Key House Races - 21 August 2010 Update - More Gains by the Republicans

    08/21/2010 9:26:43 AM PDT · by InterceptPoint · 87 replies ^ | 21 August 2010 | Interceptpoint
    This weeks news:Jaime Herrera won the Republican primary in WA-03.The Master List has been updated to include the winners of all completed primaries - and there are no recounts in progress at this time. The "Race at a Glance" entries on the KHR Home Page have also been updated to include WA-03 and all funding data, polls and "Expert Ratings" have been updated as well. Our normal procedure is to update the financial data and Expert Ratings once a week but to update the poll data as we find it.So please send us links to any poll data that you...
  • Key House Races - 14 August 2010 Update - We Have Primary Winners in CO, CT and MN

    08/14/2010 9:28:44 AM PDT · by InterceptPoint · 51 replies · 1+ views ^ | 14 Aug 2010 | Interceptpoint
    This weeks news:Current Republican Net Pickup Projections: Saboto: 32Election Projection: 34CQPolitics: 29KeyHouseRaces: 32 STILL SHORT OF THE 39-40 NEEDED FOR A REPUBLICAN MAJORITY IN THE HOUSE - BUT THE NUMBERS KEEP EDGING UPWe have made major improvements to the Home Page - our 1-Stop-Shopping Page for the Races on our Master List. We've added CASH ON HAND to the funding data for the Republican and Dem candidates. Not a pretty picture yet - Dems are still ahead  We added a YouTube Link for each Republican candidate. The videos are a mixed bag - some are very professional and some...
  • Key House Races - 7 August 2010 Update - We Have Primary Winners in KS, MI, MO and TN

    08/07/2010 1:33:48 PM PDT · by InterceptPoint · 51 replies ^ | 7 Aug 2010 | Interceptpoint
    This weeks news:We have primary winners in KS-03, MI-07, MI-09, MO-04, TN-04, TN-06 and TN-08. Unfortunately we do not yet have a Republican winner in MI-01 where the vote count favors Benishek over Allen by between 1 vote and 12 depending on whom you ask. Not good news when the focus needs to be on defeating Gary  McDowell and taking back the Stupak seat for the Pubbies.The Master List has been updated to include all the winners with the exception of the MI-01 Republican. The "Race at a Glance" entries on the Home Page have also been updated to include...
  • Pa. Will Be Key Steppingstone for GOP Majority

    08/05/2010 4:22:42 AM PDT · by randita · 13 replies
    Congressional Quarterly ^ | 8/5/10 | Stuart Rothenberg
    CQ POLITICS NEWS Aug. 4, 2010 – 11:18 p.m. Pa. Will Be Key Steppingstone for GOP Majority By Stuart Rothenberg, Roll Call Contributing Writer There are many states that will have ballots chock-filled with exciting and competitive races, but if you are looking for a place where a big GOP political wave might show up early in the evening of Nov. 2 — or for evidence that it won’t be as big as some Republicans hope — you could do worse than focusing on Pennsylvania. Voters in the commonwealth will be choosing a new governor and a new Senator in...
  • GOP foe sues Grayson over DVD

    08/05/2010 4:44:59 AM PDT · by randita · 8 replies
    Politico ^ | 8/4/10 | Tim Alberta
    GOP foe sues Grayson over DVD By: Tim Alberta August 4, 2010 07:14 PM EDT Democratic Rep. Alan Grayson's decision to mail thousands of DVDs – which essentially serve as a legislative highlight reel of his first term – to his Orlando-area constituents sparked a backlash late last week when those constituents realized that $73,000 of their tax dollars paid for it. Now, on top of facing voter anger in November, Grayson faces a lawsuit. Todd Long, one of seven Republicans vying for the GOP nomination to challenge Grayson in November, filed a lawsuit Tuesday in federal court seeking an...
  • GOP deadlocked for Stupak seat (one vote difference)

    08/05/2010 4:52:28 AM PDT · by randita · 43 replies · 1+ views
    Politico ^ | 8/4/10 | Kasie Hunt
    GOP deadlocked for Stupak seat By: Kasie Hunt August 4, 2010 03:55 PM EDT One vote: That's all that separates the two Republicans vying for the right to seek retiring Michigan Democratic Rep. Bart Stupak's House seat. The unofficial vote tally kept by the Michigan secretary of state's office showed physician Dan Benishek with 27,091 votes Wednesday, compared with 27,090 for state Sen. Jason Allen. (The Associated Press gave Benishek a slightly larger, 12-vote lead.) It's a margin so slim that the top two primary finishers could remain in limbo through weeks or even months of ballot-counting and litigation. And...
  • KEY HOUSE RACES: 1 August Update - We added KY-06 & OR-05 to the Master List

    08/01/2010 11:56:30 AM PDT · by InterceptPoint · 54 replies · 9+ views ^ | 1 August 2010 | Interceptpoint
    This weeks news: We've added two more vulnerable Democrats to our Master List: Ben Chandler in KY-06 and Kurt Schrader in OR-05. Both of these races look competitive to us and our "Experts".We've made a major change to the Home Page at KHR with the addition of our "The Races at a Glance" summaries of the Districts on the Master List. These summaries include photos of the Republican and Democrat candidates, all the polling information that we can find, funding totals for the Dem and the Republican candidates, links to the Republican candidate's campaign website, links to the "Spotlight" articles...
  • What’s the Matter with Kansas Politics? Moore Questions about Moran.

    07/29/2010 3:05:28 PM PDT · by Clintonfatigued · 21 replies · 6+ views
    National Review ^ | July 29, 2010 | Kathryn Jean Lopez
    The letter went on: “Our country desperately needs men and women of backbone who don’t have to consult political weather vanes to know what they stand for. Neither candidate is perfect, but Todd Tiahrt will instinctively stand up for the country’s founding principles — without regard for the political winds. Jerry Moran would be reliable — so long as the winds are blowing in a conservative direction, as they are now.”
  • House Race Rankings

    07/27/2010 6:44:09 PM PDT · by Clintonfatigued · 6 replies
    The Hotline ^ | July 26, 2010 | Tim Sahd
    Since we last published our rankings, two important clues have emerged to give us some help in navigating the general election landscape. One is the second-quarter FEC reports, which in some cases helped Democrats' cause. That's because the party's incumbents have built up solid war chests in anticipation of extremely tough contests in the fall. Conversely, many of their Republican challengers start the general election in relatively weak positions, mostly because primaries have exhausted their stockpiles. But that should not give Democrats false comfort, for the Republican wave still appears to be building. Another important clue for November -- revealed...
  • Anti-Carney force takes new tack

    07/27/2010 5:50:35 PM PDT · by Tamzee · 18 replies · 4+ views
    The Times Leader ^ | July 23, 2010 | Jerry Lynott
    DALLAS TWP. – Someone’s at it again. A new group of signs against the re-election of U.S. Rep. Chris Carney has popped up along state Route 309 in the Back Mountain. The latest version is more colorful and detailed than the previous one that said “Dump Carney” and pictured the congressman’s name in a red circle with a line through it. This time the anonymous sign maker connected Carney to fellow Democrat Nancy Pelosi, depicting him as a hand puppet of the Speaker of the House. “Dump the Puppet!” reads the sign. The signs have angered the Chris Carney for...
  • The Key House Races 2010 - 24 July Update - Big Republican Gains

    07/24/2010 8:54:50 AM PDT · by InterceptPoint · 67 replies ^ | 24 July 2010 | Interceptpoint
    Georgia Primary: Austin Scott won the GA-08 primary and will be the GOP nominee running against the incumbent Dem Jim Marshall in November.The REALLY BIG NEWS is that  were 44 changes in our "Expert" ratings this week. We had major changes by Rothenberg,  a few by Election Projection (as usual), 4 from the mostly quiet Real Clear Politics and a few from Cook. Sabato and CQPolitics were silent this week.  Here's the summary of the changes to our Experts' ratings: There were a total of 44 updates this week to the 91 Congressional races that we believe are truly in...
  • VA-05: Democrat Perriello in Peril, One More House Seat Poised for Republican Take-Away

    07/21/2010 9:46:30 AM PDT · by randita · 10 replies
    Survey USA ^ | 7/19/10 | Survey USA
    VA-05: Democrat Perriello in Peril, One More House Seat Poised for Republican Take-Away: In an election for US House of Representatives in Virginia's 5th Congressional District today, 07/20/10, Republican State Senator Robert Hurt defeats incumbent Democrat Tom Perriello 58% to 35%, according to this latest exclusive WDBJ-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. The seat is one of many Republicans hope to capture in November 2010. 39 "take-aways" are needed for Republicans to capture control of the US House of Representatives. Perriello, who defeated 6-term Republican Virgil Goode by 727 votes in 2008, today trails among most demographic groups. Among men, Hurt...
  • Chris Gibson -- Republican Rock Star

    07/18/2010 5:15:48 PM PDT · by Raquel · 5 replies
    Political Blog ^ | July 18, 2010 | Raquel Okyay
    Impressive! Decorated, retired Army Colonel – Republican Chris Gibson, running for Congress in New York’s District 20 against phony “blue dog” Democrat Scott Murphy, is more than just incredibly knowledgeable and articulate in promoting better, smarter government and policy, his credentials alone speak volumes to Gibson’s ability to lead during an era begging for leadership. Military historian and columnist, Victor Davis Hanson, says the following about Chris Gibson: Chris Gibson is different from the rest of us. His past is almost mythical: PhD from Cornell, author of a good book on military/civilian relations, 24 years in the military, retired at...
  • The Key House Races 2010 - Updated - Republicans Gain

    07/17/2010 9:40:36 AM PDT · by InterceptPoint · 60 replies ^ | 17 July 2010 | Interceptpoint
    We've made a much requested change to the Master List format. We now show an "Incumbent or Open" column that will make it much easier to see which races are in districts where the seat is OPEN and whether it is a Republican seat or a Democrat seat. For those cases where there is an incumbent we now indicate whether the incumbent is a Republican or a Democrat.And just a reminder: The Master List has 91 seats and 79 of those are Dem Seats. These are the vulnerable Democrats. We need to generate a net 39 seat pickup from those...
  • Murphy crosses White House on immigration

    It was U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy's first time voting as a member of the highly coveted Appropriations Committee, and he did not obediently march in step. Democrat Murphy joined the Republicans in support of an amendment that would have barred the Obama administration from using federal funds to sue Arizona over its anti-illegal immigration laws. Murphy, who represents Bucks County, was the only Democrat to break ranks. The vote came June 29 at a committee meeting. Murphy alerted the public afterward in a news release. His suburban Philadelphia district has elected both Republicans and Democrats.
  • Joseph Cao Poll Shows Big Lead

    07/12/2010 6:49:14 PM PDT · by AuH2ORepublican · 57 replies
    Hotline On Call (National Journal) ^ | July 12, 2010 | Reid Wilson
    Conventional wisdome suggests Rep. Joseph Cao (R-LA) is the most vulnerable GOPer in Congress, seeking re-election in a heavily African-American district in which any scandal-free Dem should easily top half the vote. But conventional wisdom has been wrong before, and a new poll for Cao's campaign hopes to prove it wrong again. Cao led state Rep. Cedric Richmond (D) by a 51%-26% margin, according to a survey conducted May 27-June 2 by LA pollster Verne Kennedy. Cao leads Richmond by a 67%-13% margin among white voters, and by a narrower 39%-36% margin among African American voters. That African American vote...
  • VIDEO: Dem Rep. Rodriguez Flips On A Constituent

    07/12/2010 7:56:14 AM PDT · by · 19 replies
    Democrat representatives really are getting quite testy anymore… Rep. Ciro Rodriguez, a Democrat from Texas, has been caught on video getting visibly angry with a constituent questioning him– the questioner simply made a point about the Congressional Budget Office’s numbers on ObamaCare. However, Rodriguez was not going to take that without giving his two cents– along with slamming his papers on the table.
  • The Key House Races 2010 - 10 July 2010 Update

    07/10/2010 10:13:30 AM PDT · by InterceptPoint · 119 replies · 1+ views | 10 July 2010 | Interceptpoint
    We've made a few updates to the Master List this week with some candidates dropping out and a few corrections. But nothing major. The Districts where there were changes are flagged by a RED MARKER in the far left column. There were a few changes in our "Expert" ratings by Sabato, Election Projection and CQ Politics. It is worth noting that we have seen nothing from Rothenberg or Real Clear Politics for several weeks. What's up with these guys? But Cook has been making small but fairly regular updates. Here's the summary of the changes to our Experts' ratings: There were...
  • The Key House Races 2010 - 2 July 2010 Update

    07/03/2010 9:53:27 AM PDT · by InterceptPoint · 32 replies ^ | 2 July 2010 | Interceptpoint
    It's clearly half-time in the Primary Season and a Holiday Weekend to boot so we have naturally had a slow news week for the House Races. But we can report that Election Projection still sees a movement in the Dems favor that seems to be escaping the rest of the civilized world who see quite the opposite. As a result, our Index has been sent just a bit in the wrong direction - from last weeks -.353 to this weeks -.357. That's not much but it is due entirely to changes that Election Projection made in a few of the...
  • Herseth Sandlin (D) Faces Best GOP Opponent Yet (SD-AL House race)

    07/02/2010 5:32:26 AM PDT · by randita · 26 replies · 1+ views
    CQ Politics ^ | 7/2/10 | Anna Palmer
    Herseth Sandlin Faces Best GOP Opponent Yet By Anna Palmer, CQ-Roll Call Republicans have unsuccessfully tried to knock off South Dakota Democratic Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin ever since she was elected six years ago in the rural, conservative state. But with what could be a big Republican wave and an anti-incumbent narrative building — not to mention a strong GOP nominee in state Rep. Kristi Noem — party operatives believe they have the right mix of factors to beat the Congresswoman this year. Democrats, meanwhile, are already trying to paint Noem — an anti-abortion, pro-gun, anti-gay-marriage conservative — as a...
  • Facing GOP challengers, Dem fundraisers get spread thin (PA)

    07/01/2010 5:15:26 AM PDT · by randita · 10 replies
    PA2010 ^ | 6/30/10 | Dan Hirschhorn
    Facing GOP challengers, Dem fundraisers get spread thin Posted By Dan Hirschhorn On June 30, 2010 @ 3:00 pm Things seemed a lot simpler for Democrats last summer. The political climate had yet to turn violently against them. Viable Republicans had yet to come forward to challenge a host of potentially vulnerable Democratic incumbents. Money wasn’t needed everywhere, so there was plenty to go around. Fast forward a year. Kathy Dahlkemper has an opponent. So do Chris Carney and Tim Holden. Paul Kanjorski faces the same guy he’s had to knock off twice. Even Patrick Murphy, Democratic poster-child of the...
  • Key House Races Update - June 26 - What's Up with EP?

    06/26/2010 1:42:55 PM PDT · by InterceptPoint · 54 replies ^ | 26 June 2010 | Interceptpoint
    We've updated the Master List to reflect a few changes in the candidates running in the Republican primaries in New York. We've also updated NC-08 following Tuesday's runnoff where Harold Johnson emerged as the Republican nominee. There were fewer changes than last week in the ratings by our "Experts" and , due to some strange updates by Election Projection, the Dems had a better week than normal. But the Republicans still made a small net gain in our "Index" which moved from last weeks -.357 to this weeks -.353. A small change but in the right direction. Here's the summary...
  • For House Democrats: More Favorable Terrain Than ‘94

    06/24/2010 6:29:27 AM PDT · by randita · 34 replies
    Sabato's Crystal Ball ^ | 6/24/10 | Rhodes Cook
    For House Democrats: More Favorable Terrain Than ‘94 Rhodes Cook, Senior Columnist June 24th, 2010 Editor’s Note: Following last week’s article by Prof. Alan Abramowitz comparing 1994 and 2010 on the basis of open seat races, noted political author and Wall Street Journal online columnist Rhodes Cook delves into the differences between the “political terrain” of 1994 and that facing Democrats today. His smart commentary and scholarly analysis serves as a call to look beneath the surface and he offers a much-needed glimpse at the partisan and regional factors which will make or break this year for both political parties....
  • GOP Faces Possible NY 23 Repeat

    06/21/2010 2:14:07 PM PDT · by randita · 20 replies
    Hotline On Call ^ | 6/21/10 | Reid Wilson
    GOP Faces Possible NY 23 Repeat June 21, 2010 3:09 PM By Reid Wilson GOPers stung by a divisive intra-party battle last fall face the prospect of a split party, once again, in the race for an upstate NY House seat that should favor the minority. Last Nov., Rep. Bill Owens (D) won Army Sec. John McHugh's seat with just 48.3% of the vote. Still, it was enough to win after Assemb. Dede Scozzafava (R) and accountant Doug Hoffman, running on the Conservative Party line, split the GOP vote. After Hoffman attacked Scozzafava's moderate -- GOPers backing Hoffman labeled her...
  • Etheridge Trails After Video Ambush (NC)

    06/17/2010 2:47:44 PM PDT · by Clintonfatigued · 32 replies · 798+ views
    Political Wire ^ | June 17, 2010
    After Rep. Bob Etheridge (D) was seen in a video confrontation earlier this week, a new Civitas Institute poll shows challenger Renee Ellmers (R) with a slight edge in their race for Congress, 39% to 38%.
  • National Environment Puts Boucher (D-VA), Chandler (D-KY) at Greater Risk

    06/19/2010 3:55:07 PM PDT · by randita · 5 replies · 443+ views
    Congressional Quarterly ^ | 6/19/10 | John McArdle
    National Environment Puts Boucher, Chandler at Greater Risk By John McArdle, CQ-Roll Call As the national political environment continues to tilt toward Republicans, a growing number of Democrats are likely to face tough re-election fights this fall. Two of the latest examples are Democratic Reps. Rick Boucher (Va.) and Ben Chandler (Ky.), who are being targeted by national Republicans and face credible challengers in their respective conservative-leaning, coal country districts. To reflect the competitive nature of the battles both Democrats are expected to have this fall, CQPolitics is changing the race ratings in both Virginia’s 9th district and Kentucky’s 6th...
  • The Key House Races - 19 June Update - More Republican Gains

    06/19/2010 11:21:56 AM PDT · by InterceptPoint · 44 replies · 932+ views ^ | 19 June 2010 | Interceptpoint
    We've updated the Master List to reflect a few changes in the candidates running in the Republican primaries. But the major change to this weeks Master List is in the ratings by our "Experts". Election Projection made big and favorable changes and we had a couple from Cook and CQ Politics. Here is the summary: There were a total of 20 updates this week to the 91 Congressional races that we believe are truly in play this year. 19 were favorable to the Republicans 1 was favorable to the Democrats This moved our index even further in the Republican direction:...
  • Morrison (D) backs Griffin (R) - (U.S. House-AR-02)

    06/19/2010 6:05:36 AM PDT · by randita · 7 replies · 240+ views
    Politico ^ | 6/19/10 | ALEX ISENSTADT
    Morrison backs Griffin By ALEX ISENSTADT | 6/19/10 12:30 AM EDT Arkansas congressional candidate Tim Griffin has won the backing of former Democratic Senate candidate D.C. Morrison, an early victory for the Republican in his general election campaign against Democrat Joyce Elliott. Morrison, a conservative Democrat who won a surprising 13 percent of the vote in Arkansas’s May primary, announced his support for Griffin at a Friday lunch at the Political Animals Club in Little Rock. Griffin also spoke during the lunch. In an interview with POLITICO Friday, Morrison said he had decided to endorse Griffin over Elliott because he...
  • Charles Djou, Soldiers Who Cannot Comply With DADT Repeal 'Shouldn't Be In The Service'

    06/19/2010 12:10:06 AM PDT · by LeoWindhorse · 109 replies · 2,392+ views
    Hawaii Reporter ^ | 06-16-10 | Jason Linkins
    Less than a month has passed since former Honolulu City Councilman Charles Djou (R-HI) won the special election for the 1st Congressional District seat vacated by Neil Abercrombie. But in that brief window, Djou has already boldly injected himself into the debate over the repeal of the military's "Don't Ask Don't Tell" policy.
  • GOP 42, Democrat 35 . . . in Washington State ?

    06/18/2010 5:59:09 PM PDT · by RobinMasters · 9 replies · 471+ views
    NRO ^ | JUNE 17, 2010 | Jim Geraghty
    Another open seat House race where the Republican leads — at least on a generic ballot: Republicans have an excellent chance to win [Washington state's] 3rd Congressional District race this year and state Rep. Jaime Herrera would command a big lead in the Republican primary contest if it were held today, but a sizeable segment of voters remain undecided two months before the Aug. 17 primary election, according to a new poll. The survey by Moore Information, an Oregon polling firm, sampled 300 likely voters in the 3rd District by phone on June 13 and 14. In response to the...
  • Injecting Race Into Texas Politics - Hurd v. Canseco

    03/26/2010 6:51:53 AM PDT · by jagusafr · 5 replies · 338+ views
    Trevino's Blog - Texas GOP Vote ^ | 12 Mar 2010 | Fernando Trevino
    While Will Hurd is a good guy, this is not his fight. Thankfully, Quico Canseco not only has the work experience needed to bring jobs and prosperity to CD23, but he also has the surname that many Hispanics are looking for. Hispanics are a proud people, and considering that only about 4 percent of elected officials are Hispanic nationwide, it is a real task for us to vote against an incumbent Hispanic, even though we are natural conservatives who are just waiting for the Republican Party to accept us and our values with open arms.
  • Adam Kinzinger for U.S. Congress (Let's Take Back Illlinos)

    09/23/2009 10:04:26 AM PDT · by blondee123 · 4 replies · 682+ views ^ | 9/23/2009 | self
    Must see this young man, a local HERO, an airforce pilot & a conservative running for congress in Illinos! Let's take Illinois back!! Adam the hero His campaign site: PASS this on to people in ILLINOIS!
  • You May Not Know This Guy From Adam Yet, But You Should (Rising star Adam Kinzinger)

    01/20/2010 7:22:05 AM PST · by Callahan · 13 replies · 462+ views
    NRO Campaign Spot ^ | 1/20/09 | Jim Geraghty
    The Illinois primaries are on February 2, not too far away. You're starting to see the papers in that state make endorsements in the primary, and today the Chicago Sun Times endorses one guy who the NRCC thinks is one of their rising stars: Democrats are not supposed to win in this traditionally Republican district that runs from the southern suburbs to small towns to farm fields. But Democrat Debbie Halvorson did win two years ago, swept into Washington with the Democratic tide, which explains why four GOP contenders, now running in the Republican primary, are eager to take her...
  • Labrador’s Troubling Position

    05/20/2010 7:17:23 PM PDT · by Whenifhow · 6 replies · 288+ views ^ | 5-20-2010 | Greg Johnson
    I am voting for Vaughn Ward in the May 25th primary election. The opposition to Mr. Ward is waging a ‘campaign of criticism’ against him. This strategy appears in socialist Saul Alinsky’s, “Rules for Radicals”. One of Alinsky’s tactics is to continually ‘criticize’ opponents in order to destroy their credibility, instead of focusing on their positions on major issues—for example, the attack on Vaughn’s wife for holding a job at Fannie Mae. However, the positions of Vaughn’s opponent, immigration attorney Raul Labrador, are troubling. State Representative Labrador advocated for the Dream Act amnesty at the City Club of Boise, on...
  • Some stubborn facts about Raul Labrador

    05/22/2010 1:12:29 PM PDT · by Whenifhow · 14 replies · 514+ views ^ | 5-22-2010 | Carolyn Cooke
    Trusting candidate Raul Labrador to represent the values of most Idaho voters is like believing Obamacare will reduce the federal deficit. The facts unravel the spin. Fact: Immigration attorney Labrador fought to keep Javier Sotelo from deportation. He was convicted of smuggling illegal aliens and document fraud. The government introduced evidence at his immigration trial that Sotelo was wanted for murder in Mexico. Labrador could have recused himself after learning this, but did not. Fortunately, for Idaho citizens, Labrador failed. Fact: Labrador represents illegal aliens in his practice. Fact: Attorney Labrador has worked for the Idaho Dairymen’s Association, ardent supporters...
  • Tea party win embarrasses GOP establishment

    05/26/2010 6:16:20 PM PDT · by Mr. Mojo · 55 replies · 1,847+ views
    AP (Via MyWay) ^ | May 26, 2010 | PHILIP ELLIOTT
    WASHINGTON (AP) - Chalk up another win for the tea party. And another embarrassment for the Republican establishment. Tea party favorite and two-term state lawmaker Raul Labrador defeated Vaughn Ward, a Marine reservist heavily recruited by national Republicans, in Idaho's primary on Tuesday. Ward's loss comes on the heels of several other races in which GOP establishment candidates stumbled as the anti-Washington mood takes hold. National Republicans had coached Ward and had made him one of their first named recruits, known as "Young Guns." He also had the backing of former vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin. On Wednesday, the GOP...
  • Race of the Day: Reclaiming MS-01

    06/18/2010 11:22:19 AM PDT · by Kaslin · 4 replies · 196+ views ^ | June 18, 2010 | Brian Welsh
    Today’s Race of the Day brings us to northern Mississippi and the state’s First Congressional District.  Currently represented by Congressman Travis Childers, who won a surprise victory in a May 2008 special election, the battle for this seat is already heating up.  State Senator Alan Nunnelee has worked hard over the past year in preparing his challenge to Childers and is steadily moving towards success in November.  In this R+14 district, MS-01 – which is formed around the population centers of Columbus, Oxford, Southaven, and Tupelo – is one of the best Republican pick up opportunities in the country.  This...
  • Illinois Rep. Halvorson: Tea Partiers are 'Fringe'

    04/05/2010 12:06:13 PM PDT · by Mobile Vulgus · 26 replies · 622+ views
    Publius Forum ^ | 04/05/10 | Warner Todd Huston
    Attention citizens of Illinois 11th Congressional District. If you have attended a Tea Party event or are inclined to support them YOU are a "fringe" element according to your Representative, Debbie Halvorson. Halvosron's office told CBS News Channel 2 in Chicago, "The voters in the 11th District are not easily influenced by the rhetoric of fringe organizations like the tea party." On the other hand, Halvorson's opponent is very appreciative of the support he's gotten from tea party groups. Adam Kinzinger ( has been very much in touch with the tea party movement having attended some events and worked with...
  • GOP Will Win House and Senate

    04/07/2010 10:26:06 AM PDT · by jentilla · 58 replies · 1,983+ views
    Carville’s last book touted “40 more years of Democrats.” Now he dreams of a loss of “only” 25 seats in the House and “six or seven” senators. But these are pipe dreams. Republicans will gain more than 50 House seats and at least 10 in the Senate, enough to take control in both chambers. That’s reality.
  • 3rd District in play, GOP candidate says; Salazar not convinced (Colorado)

    04/08/2010 5:41:55 AM PDT · by bilhosty · 5 replies · 382+ views
    GC Sentenial ^ | April 8, 2010 | Gary Harmon
    Republican Scott Tipton says he’s reshuffling the race in the 3rd Congressional District, making it a winnable contest. A spokesman for incumbent John Salazar, though, says Salazar has nothing to fear, while Tipton has plenty of problems in his own party. this week moved the 3rd Congressional District race from “leaning Democrat” to a “toss-up” in November’s general election, a shift that led Tipton’s campaign staff to declare Salazar “is already losing his edge” in March.
  • GOP candidates for 8th district to debate April 21

    04/08/2010 12:53:59 AM PDT · by Military family member · 2 replies · 396+ views
    The Journal of Business ^ | 4/8/2010 | The Journal of Business
    The Vigo County Young Republicans and Pachyderm Club of Vigo County will co-sponsor a debate of Republican candidates for Indiana’s 8th Congressional district April 21. The event will begin at 6 p.m. in the Oakley Auditorium on the Ivy Tech Community College—Wabash Valley Campus. Republican candidates Bud Bernitt, Larry Bucshon, Kristi Risk, Dan Stockton, and Steve Westell are all scheduled to appear. Eight candidates current seek that office on the GOP side.
  • NRCC co-chairman predicts Republicans will gain 56 seats

    04/11/2010 4:59:53 PM PDT · by Forgiven_Sinner · 36 replies · 1,097+ views
    The Hill ^ | 04/10/10 03:17 PM ET | By Aaron Blake
    - NEW ORLEANS – A top House Republican campaigner says his party is set to gain more seats than it won in the 1994 election. Rep. Tom Price (R-Ga.) told the Ballot Box that he has pegged the GOP gains in this year’s election at 56 seats, which would be more than the 54 it won in its landslide election 16 years ago. It would also be more than enough to regain the majority the party lost in 2006 (which requires a 40-seat gain). “I’ve got us at 56 seats right now,” said Price, who is chairman of the conservative...
  • Template for Nov? New Ad Hammers Dem Trying to Keep Murtha Seat; Ties Him to ObamaCare - Video

    04/12/2010 6:35:20 PM PDT · by Federalist Patriot · 14 replies · 375+ views
    Freedom's Lighthouse ^ | April 12, 2010 | Brian
    Here is a new NRCC ad against liberal Democrat Mark Critz who is trying to take the special election seat (PA-12) of the late Democrat Rep. John Murtha in Pennsylvania. The ad points out how Democrats like Critz put the "liberal agenda" ahead of what is good for the people of Pennsylvania. This kind of ad could become a template for running against Democrats all over the country this November. Tim Burns is the Republican seeking the seat, but is not mentioned in the ad. The Special Election will be held May 18.
  • Special Election-PA 12th House District-May 18 (Murtha's seat)

    04/13/2010 7:50:30 AM PDT · by randita · 32 replies · 823+ views
    Key House Races ^ | 4/13/10 | randita
    This is a VERY important election. We've been fighting for this seat for a long time and finally have a great shot of taking it both in the May 18 Special Election and in November. Tim Burns (R) has been selected as the GOP candidate to run in the May 18 Special Election against Mark Critz (D), but both Burns and another good GOP candidate, Bill Russell, are running in the May 18 Primary to face off against Critz in November. Burns needs our support now to win the seat on May 18.Note that this district went for McCain in...
  • Halvorson has tough campaign ahead of her

    04/12/2010 8:35:29 AM PDT · by bcsco · 17 replies · 435+ views
    Illinois Review ^ | 04/12/2010 | Gary Layton
    Illinois District 11 Representative Debbie Halvorson is running full-tilt into the 2010 November election. Unfortunately for her, she's running full-tilt into the brick wall that is Adam Kinzinger. With his wildly popular support from area Tea Party groups to his landslide Primary victory, over 60% of the vote, you would think he is definitely an opponent to contend with. Surprisingly though, very little has been heard from the Halvorson camp concerning her opponent. The average voter may assume she's just running a 'clean' campaign and that may be the case, however it's also possible that she just can't find anything...
  • How Bad Could 2010 Really Get For Democrats?

    04/14/2010 6:44:11 AM PDT · by dangus · 66 replies · 2,239+ views
    Real Clear Politics ^ | April 14, 2010 | By Sean Trende
    Though Election Day is still months away, pundits have already begun to speculate on possible outcomes for this year's midterms. There's a general consensus that Democrats will lose seats in November, but beyond that opinions vary widely on how big those losses might be. Some argue that because of the advance notice, passage of health care, and an improving economy (or some combination of all three), Democrats will be able to limit their losses significantly. Others are predicting a repeat of 1994, when Democrats lost 50+ seats and control of the House. So how bad could 2010 get for the...