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Key House Races - 28 August 2010 Update - Biggest Gains Yet by the Republicans
KeyHouseRaces.com ^ | 28 August 2010 | Interceptpoint

Posted on 08/28/2010 11:10:17 AM PDT by InterceptPoint

This weeks news:

It was a BIG WEEK for our "Experts" and as usual the changes were highly favorable to the Republicans. We had a total of 55 updates this week, the largest number we've recorded for a single week. CQ Politics finally woke up up so we will lay off of them for awhile. RCP also came through with several updates. And Sabato has promised a major update on September 2nd.

See below for the summary.

We have winners in the Arizona and Florida primaries.

The Master List has been updated to include the winners of all completed primaries The "Race at a Glance" entries on the KHR Home Page have also been updated to include the Arizona and Florida primaries and all funding data, polls and "Expert Ratings" have been updated as well. Our normal procedure is to update the financial data and Expert Ratings once a week but to update the poll data as we find it.

So please send us links to any poll data that you think we've missed. You can always see our latest 3 polls on the KHR Home Page and we also list the most recent poll for each district on the KHR Polls Page.

Here's the summary of the changes to our Experts' ratings:

  • There were a total of 55 updates this week to the 93 Congressional races that we believe are truly in play this year.
  • 46 were favorable to the Republicans
  • 9  were favorable to the Democrats

Those changes moved our index to -.177 from last weeks -.251. That's a very big jump and reflects the fact that the Republicans won this weeks rating upgrade race by a huge margin. Take a look at our KeyHouseRaces Experts Page to see where the changes in ratings were this week - lots of RED entries. For the newbies, the -.177 figure means that the average "Expert Rating" for every race on our list is rated a Toss-Up but slightly favoring the Dems. If the index gets into positive territory (where it seems to be heading) then the average rating for all 93 races would be Toss-Up with a Republican tilt.

Note that you can always see the latest changes and the current state of the "Expert" evaluations of all of the races on our Master List and an explanation of our methodology on the KeyHouseRaces Experts Page

We've added a new page to show the Master List in a ranked order last week and there is now a link to this page on KeyHouseRaces Home Page. The ranking is based on the average Expert Rating of each district by our six "Experts" with the Most Likely Republican Winners at the top and the Most Likely Dem Winners at the bottom. The fight for control of the House is in the middle of this list where the Toss-Up races meet the Leans Ds. That's the ones we have to win.

You  can see the ranked version of the Master List HERE .

Just a reminder: Here is the schedule for all the remaining Primaries:

August 28: Louisiana

September 14: District of Columbia, Delaware, Massachusetts, Maryland, New Hampshire, New York, Rhode Island and Wisconsin

September 18: Hawaii

TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: election2010; elections; keyhouseraces; khr
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I'm posting the "Expert's View" of the Master List today just so everyone could see the huge number of favorable updates. It was a banner week for sure. The trend continues.

District Incumbent Party Average Average Sabato CQP EP.com Cook Rothenberg RCP District
AL 2 Bobby Bright Incumbent D Toss-Up -0.5 Toss-Up Leans D Weak D Leans D Toss-Up Toss-Up AL 2
AR 1 Open D Toss-Up 0.5 Toss-Up Toss-Up Mod R Toss-Up Toss-Up Leans R AR 1
AR 2 Open D Likely R 2.0 Leans R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Likely R AR 2
AZ 1 Ann Kirkpatrick Incumbent D Leans D -0.7 Toss-Up Leans D Weak D Leans D Leans D Toss-Up AZ 1
AZ 5 Harold Mitchell Incumbent D Leans D -0.8 Leans D Leans D Weak D Leans D Leans D Toss-Up AZ 5
AZ 8 Gabrielle Giffords Incumbent D Leans D -0.7 Leans D Leans D Weak D Leans D Toss-Up Toss-Up AZ 8
CA 3 Dan Lungren Incumbent R Leans R 1.3 Leans R Leans R Mod R Leans R Leans R Likely R CA 3
CA 11 Jerry McNerney Incumbent D Leans D -0.8 Leans D Leans D Weak D Leans D Leans D Toss-Up CA 11
CA 47 Loretta Sanchez Incumbent D Likely D -2.3 Safe D Likely D Safe D Leans D Safe D Likely D CA 47
CO 3 John Salazar Incumbent D Leans D -1.3 Leans D Likely D Weak D Leans D Likely D Leans D CO 3
CO 4 Betsy Markey Incumbent D Leans R 0.7 Toss-Up Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Likely R Leans R CO 4
CT 4 Jim Himes Incumbent D Likely D -2.3 Likely D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Leans D CT 4
CT 5 Christopher Murphy Incumbent D Likely D -2.2 Likely D Safe D Safe D Likely D Likely D Leans D CT 5
DE AL Open R Leans D -1.0 Leans D Leans D Weak D Leans D Leans D Leans D DE AL
FL 2 Allen Boyd Incumbent D Toss-Up 0.0 Leans D Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up FL 2
FL 8 Alan Grayson Incumbent D Toss-Up 0.3 Toss-Up Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Toss-Up Leans R FL 8
FL 12 Open R Likely R 2.3 Likely R Likely R Safe R Likely R Safe R Likely R FL 12
FL 22 Ron Klein Incumbent D Leans D -1.5 Leans D Likely D Mod D Likely D Likely D Toss-Up FL 22
FL 24 Suzanne Kosmas Incumbent D Toss-Up 0.5 Toss-Up Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Leans R Leans R FL 24
FL 25 Open R Leans R 1.2 Leans R Leans R Weak R Leans R Leans R Likely R FL 25
GA 8 Jim Marshall Incumbent D Leans D -0.7 Likely D Leans D Weak D Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up GA 8
HI 1 Charles Djou Incumbent R Toss-Up -0.2 Leans D Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Toss-Up Leans D HI 1
IA 3 Leonard Boswell Incumbent D Toss-Up -0.5 Leans D Leans D Weak R Toss-Up Leans D Leans D IA 3
ID 1 Walter Minnick Incumbent D Leans D -0.8 Toss-Up Leans D Weak D Leans D Leans D Leans D ID 1
IL 8 Melissa Bean Incumbent D Likely D -1.8 Likely D Safe D Safe D Likely D Toss-Up Leans D IL 8
IL 10 Open R Toss-Up 0.2 Toss-Up Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up IL 10
IL 11 Debbie Halvorson Incumbent D Toss-Up 0.3 Leans D Toss-Up Mod R Toss-Up Toss-Up Leans R IL 11
IL 14 Bill Foster Incumbent D Toss-Up 0.2 Toss-Up Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up IL 14
IN 2 Joe Donnelly Incumbent D Leans D -1.3 Likely D Leans D Mod D Leans D Leans D Leans D IN 2
IN 8 Open D Toss-Up 0.5 Toss-Up Toss-Up Weak R Leans R Toss-Up Leans R IN 8
IN 9 Baron Hill Incumbent D Toss-Up -0.2 Toss-Up Toss-Up Weak D Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up IN 9
KS 3 Open D Leans R 0.8 Toss-Up Leans R Weak R Leans R Leans R Leans R KS 3
KY 6 Ben Chandler Incumbent D Leans D -1.3 Likely D Leans D Mod D Leans D Leans D Leans D 6 0
LA 2 Joseph Cao Incumbent R Leans D -1.3 Leans D Likely D Weak D Toss-Up Likely D Likely D LA 2
LA 3 Open D Likely R 2.2 Leans R Safe R Safe R Likely R Likely R Likely R LA 3
MA 10 Open D Leans D -0.7 Leans D Leans D Weak R Leans D Likely D Toss-Up MA 10
MD 1 Frank Kratovil Incumbent D Leans R 0.7 Leans R Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Leans R Leans R MD 1
MI 1 Open D Toss-Up 0.3 Toss-Up Toss-Up Mod R Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up MI 1
MI 7 Mark Schauer Incumbent D Toss-Up 0.3 Toss-Up Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Toss-Up Leans R MI 7
MI 9 Gary Peters Incumbent D Likely D -1.8 Leans D Likely D Mod D Likely D Safe D Leans D MI 9
MN 1 Tim Walz Incumbent D Likely D -2.3 Likely D Likely D Safe D Likely D Safe D Likely D MN 1
MN 6 Michele Bachmann Incumbent R Likely R 2.3 Likely R Likely R Safe R Likely R Safe R Likely R MN 6
MO 4 Ike Skelton Incumbent D Leans D -1.0 Likely D Leans D Weak D Leans D Leans D Toss-Up MO 4
MS 1 Travis Childers Incumbent D Toss-Up 0.5 Leans R Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Toss-Up Leans R MS 1
NC 8 Larry Kissell Incumbent D Toss-Up -0.5 Toss-Up Leans D Weak D Toss-Up Likely D Leans R NC 8
ND AL Earl Pomeroy Incumbent D Leans R 0.7 Leans R Toss-Up Mod R Toss-Up Toss-Up Leans R ND AL
NE 2 Lee Terry Incumbent R Likely R 2.0 Likely R Likely R Mod R Likely R Likely R Likely R NE 2
NH 1 Carol Shea-Porter Incumbent D Toss-Up 0.5 Leans R Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Toss-Up Leans R NH 1
NH 2 Open D Toss-Up 0.5 Leans R Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Toss-Up Leans R NH 2
NJ 3 John Adler Incumbent D Leans D -1.0 Leans D Leans D Weak D Leans D Leans D Leans D NJ 3
NM 1 Martin Heinrich Incumbent D Leans D -1.0 Likely D Leans D Weak D Leans D Leans D Toss-Up NM 1
NM 2 Harry Teague Incumbent D Leans R 0.7 Leans R Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Leans R Leans R NM 2
NV 3 Dina Titus Incumbent D Toss-Up 0.3 Toss-Up Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Toss-Up Leans R NV 3
NY 1 Tim Bishop Incumbent D Leans D -1.0 Likely D Leans D Weak D Leans D Leans D Toss-Up NY 1
NY 13 Mike McMahon Incumbent D Leans D -1.5 Likely D Likely D Mod D Leans D Likely D Toss-Up NY 13
NY 19 John Hall Incumbent D Leans D -0.8 Likely D Leans D Weak D Leans D Toss-Up Toss-Up NY 19
NY 20 Scott Murphy Incumbent D Leans D -1.0 Leans D Leans D Weak D Leans D Likely D Toss-Up NY 20
NY 23 Bill Owens Incumbent D Leans D -1.0 Leans D Leans D Weak D Leans D Likely D Toss-Up NY 23
NY 24 Mike Arcuri Incumbent D Toss-Up 0.2 Toss-Up Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up NY 24
NY 25 Dan Maffei Incumbent D Likely D -2.2 Likely D Likely D Safe D Likely D Safe D Leans D NY 25
NY 29 Open D Likely R 2.2 Leans R Safe R Safe R Likely R Likely R Likely R NY 29
OH 1 Steve Driehaus Incumbent D Leans R 0.7 Leans R Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Leans R Leans R OH 1
OH 2 Jean Schmidt Incumbent R Safe R 2.8 Safe R Safe R Mod R Safe R Safe R Safe R OH 2
OH 13 Betty Sutton Incumbent D Leans D -1.2 Likely D Leans D Weak D Leans D Likely D Toss-Up OH 13
OH 15 Mary Jo Kilroy Incumbent D Leans R 0.7 Leans R Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Leans R Leans R OH 15
OH 16 John Boccieri Incumbent D Toss-Up 0.2 Leans D Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Toss-Up Leans R OH 16
OH 18 Zach Space Incumbent D Leans D -0.8 Leans D Leans D Weak D Leans D Leans D Toss-Up OH 18
OR 5 Kurt Schrader Incumbent D Leans D -1.2 Likely D Leans D Weak D Leans D Likely D Toss-Up OR 5
PA 3 Kathleen Dahlkemper Incumbent D Toss-Up -0.2 Leans D Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Toss-Up Leans D PA 3
PA 4 Jason Altmire Incumbent D Likely D -1.8 Likely D Likely D Mod D Likely D Likely D Leans D PA 4
PA 6 Jim Gerlach Incumbent R Likely R 1.8 Likely R Likely R Mod R Likely R Likely R Leans R PA 6
PA 7 Open D Toss-Up 0.3 Toss-Up Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Toss-Up Leans R PA 7
PA 8 Patrick Murphy Incumbent D Leans D -0.7 Toss-Up Leans D Weak D Toss-Up Likely D Toss-Up PA 8
PA 10 Chris Carney Incumbent D Leans D -0.7 Leans D Leans D Weak R Leans D Likely D Toss-Up PA 10
PA 11 Paul Kanjorski Incumbent D Toss-Up 0.5 Toss-Up Toss-Up Mod R Toss-Up Toss-Up Leans R PA 11
PA 12 Mark Critz Incumbent D Leans D -1.0 Leans D Leans D Weak D Leans D Likely D Toss-Up PA 12
PA 17 Tim Holden Incumbent D Likely D -1.8 Likely D Likely D Mod D Likely D Likely D Leans D PA 17
SC 5 John Spratt Jr. Incumbent D Toss-Up -0.3 Leans D Toss-Up Weak D Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up SC 5
SD AL Stephanie Sandlin Incumbent D Toss-Up 0.3 Toss-Up Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Toss-Up Leans R SD AL
TN 4 Lincoln Davis Incumbent D Likely D -1.7 Safe D Leans D Mod D Leans D Likely D Leans D TN 4
TN 6 Open D Likely R 2.2 Leans R Safe R Safe R Likely R Likely R Likely R TN 6
TN 8 Open D Toss-Up 0.5 Leans R Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Toss-Up Leans R TN 8
TX 17 Chet Edwards Incumbent D Toss-Up 0.3 Toss-Up Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Toss-Up Leans R TX 17
TX 23 Ciro Rodriguez Incumbent D Leans D -1.0 Likely D Leans D Weak D Leans D Leans D Toss-Up TX 23
VA 2 Glenn Nye Incumbent D Toss-Up 0.2 Toss-Up Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up VA 2
VA 5 Tom Perriello Incumbent D Toss-Up 0.5 Toss-Up Toss-Up Mod R Toss-Up Toss-Up Leans R VA 5
VA 9 Rick Boucher Incumbent D Leans D -0.8 Leans D Leans D Weak D Leans D Leans D Toss-Up VA 9
VA 11 Gerald Connolly Incumbent D Leans D -1.2 Leans D Likely D Weak D Leans D Likely D Toss-Up VA 11
WA 3 Open D Toss-Up 0.5 Toss-Up Toss-Up Mod R Toss-Up Toss-Up Leans R WA 3
WA 8 Dave Reichert Incumbent R Leans R 1.3 Leans R Leans R Mod R Likely R Leans R Leans R WA 8
WI 7 Open D Toss-Up 0.3 Toss-Up Toss-Up Weak R Toss-Up Toss-Up Leans R WI 7
WI 8 Steve Kagen Incumbent D Leans D -1.2 Likely D Leans D Weak D Leans D Likely D Toss-Up WI 8
WV 1 Open D Toss-Up -0.2 Toss-Up Toss-Up Weak D Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up WV 1
District Average Average Sabato CQP EP.com Cook Rothenberg RCP District
Average Toss-Up -0.177 Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up Toss-Up Average
Updated 28-Aug-10 -0.446 -0.380 0.109 -0.250 -0.391 0.293 Updated
Rating and Color Code Average Expert
Rating
From To
Safe D -3 -2.5
Likely D -2.5 -1.5
Leans D -1.5 -0.5
Toss-Up -0.5 0
Toss-Up 0 0.5
Leans R 0.5 1.5
Likely R 1.5 2.5
Safe R 2.5 3.5

1 posted on 08/28/2010 11:10:20 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: 100%FEDUP; 1010RD; 101voodoo; 1035rep; 1776 Reborn; 2 Kool 2 Be 4-Gotten; 23 Everest; 2A Patriot; ..
Here's the summary of the changes to our Experts' ratings:


2 posted on 08/28/2010 11:15:24 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: InterceptPoint

John Hall, (NY19) who’s as lefty as they come, came out against the mosque this week....he’s crappin in his pants and the campaign has not even moved into full swing yet...


3 posted on 08/28/2010 11:21:33 AM PDT by God luvs America (When the silent majority speaks the earth trembles!)
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To: InterceptPoint

Placemark and thank you!


4 posted on 08/28/2010 11:23:50 AM PDT by onyx (Sarah/Michele 2012)
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To: InterceptPoint

BTTT


5 posted on 08/28/2010 11:24:59 AM PDT by E.G.C.
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To: God luvs America

It won’t work. Hayworth has the campaign cash to take him out and we’ve already started to get the mailers from her.


6 posted on 08/28/2010 11:25:08 AM PDT by BCEagles
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To: InterceptPoint

Luv you guys for all this hard work!

NY20 is lookin’ good. Since early July, 5 of the 6 ‘experts’ have changed their rating of NY20.

FReepers that want to adopt a contender district, and help turn NY 20 back-to-red, please take a look at Chris Gibson.
http://www.chrisgibsonforcongress.com/
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dO_SzyqjbG4

Side notes
—talking to a couple Lib relatives yesterday. They got a tele/pollster re Obama, and said they would never ever vote for him again....hee

—and my Lib brother, who also voted for Obama, and usually votes dem, is searching his soul re which party really lost him big$$ to his 401k...etc

And, they are starting to realize the ‘teach someone to fish’ mantra I’ve always preached them

You can just ‘feel’ the energy on the ground here in NY20

I...can see November from my house
repeat, rinse, repeat

~Kate


7 posted on 08/28/2010 11:38:48 AM PDT by Hush44
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To: InterceptPoint

Dick Morris presaged on FOX this week that the GOP will pick up 80 Seats on November 2nd.

Check out this post re: how the Party Trend has not even set in yet, and that this years mid-terms will be a greater victory for the GOP than we now think.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2579244/posts


8 posted on 08/28/2010 11:40:41 AM PDT by no dems (To Every Democrat in the U.S. House and Senate: "Shame, shame. Shame on all your houses.")
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To: InterceptPoint

Scott Tipton Leads John Salazar in New CO-3 Poll.

The Tipton for Congress campaign today released results of a telephone survey that demonstrates Republican businessman Scott Tipton leads Democrat Congressman John Salazar 49% to 43% in the 3rd Congressional District race.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2576891/posts


9 posted on 08/28/2010 11:42:50 AM PDT by george76 (Ward Churchill : Fake Indian, Fake Scholarship, and Fake Art)
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To: InterceptPoint

Frazier Leads Perlmutter 40-39 (CO-7)

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2578989/posts


10 posted on 08/28/2010 11:44:18 AM PDT by george76 (Ward Churchill : Fake Indian, Fake Scholarship, and Fake Art)
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To: InterceptPoint
Some suggestions:

IL-17 - for some reason this has flown under the radar nationally, but Phil Hare is a weak incumbent and a poor campaigner with very bad poll numbers and a strong challenger, Bobby Schilling.

OH-2 - think you could just take this district off?

NC-7, NC-11 - very little information about these races so far but could emerge as competitive quickly, depending on what outside groups get involved with how much $

WA-2 - an interesting one to watch - the Republican nominee (John Koster) won more votes than the incumbent Democrat (Rick Larsen) in the jungle primary

GA-2 - if black turnout is low, Sanford Bishop could be in trouble in this district

11 posted on 08/28/2010 11:57:44 AM PDT by Crichton
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To: InterceptPoint; TonyInOhio; fieldmarshaldj; chimera

OH looking great. Virtually every one of the people who came in during the 08 election is losing or in tossup mode.


12 posted on 08/28/2010 12:05:32 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: InterceptPoint
The only race I am really interested in is watching that nutjob Grayson lose in Florida. Otherwise, I am confident we will take back the Congress.
13 posted on 08/28/2010 12:08:10 PM PDT by ozzymandus
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To: InterceptPoint; randita; onyx; Liz; LS
Using the expert ratings above, the results of 32,000 simulated elections are listed in the table below. The definitions of the columns are:

Week GOP
House
Seats
P10		 GOP
House
Seats
EV		 GOP
House
Seats
P90		 Probability
of 218		 GOP
Gain
09-Apr-10 199 204.77 210 0.18% 25
16-Apr-10 199 205.09 211 0.22% 26
22-Apr-10 200 205.28 211 0.37% 26
01-May-10 201 206.22 212 0.73% 27
08-May-10 201 206.33 212 0.66% 27
19-Jun-10 203 208.44 214 2.29% 29
10-Jul-10 203 208.49 214 2.43% 29
17-Jul-10 203 208.49 214 2.34% 29
24-Jul-10 203 209.25 215 3.37% 30
31-Jul-10 203 209.06 215 2.96% 30
07-Aug-10 203 209.15 215 3.11% 30
14-Aug-10 204 209.33 215 3.33% 30
21-Aug-10 204 209.86 216 4.47% 30
28-Aug-10 205 210.91 217 7.03% 31

Alternatively, below is a model that uses the most recent poll instead of the expert assessment, when there is one. I "expire" the poll if it is greater than 60 days old and revert back to the expert assessment until a new poll is taken. If the trend is moving downward, I suspect it is because a poll expired and the expert asssessment is lagging public opinion.

This week, the polls cover 37% of the 92 races being tracked. 34 polls are being used out of 54 that were captured, for a poll utilization of 63%.

Using the expert ratings above and recent poll data, the results of 32,000 simulated elections are listed in the table below. The definitions of the columns are:

Week GOP
House
Seats
P10		 GOP
House
Seats
EV		 GOP
House
Seats
P90		 Probability
of 218		 GOP
Gain
31-Jul-10 207 212.12 217 8.64% 33
07-Aug-10 206 211.07 216 4.66% 32
14-Aug-10 206 211.04 216 5.02% 32
21-Aug-10 207 211.6 216 6.03% 32
28-Aug-10 211 215.2 220 25.97% 36

And in the Senate...

This week saw the race in California tighten up as Carly Fiorina pulled within one percent of Barbara Boxer, Marco Rubio moved outside the margin of error against Charlie Crist in Florida, and Missouri's Roy Blunt moved outside the margin of error against Robin Carnahan. However, Illinois moved from a tie to favoring Alexi Giannoulias over Mark Kirk.

Most of Rasmussen's polls have the races outside the margin of error, but for those within the MOE, here are the movements during the past week and the separation in the polls.

Using the most recent Rasmussen polls, the results of 32,000 simulated elections are listed in the table below. The definitions of the columns are:

Week GOP
Senate
Seats
P10		 GOP
Senate
Seats
EV		 GOP
Senate
Seats
P90		 Probability
of 51		 GOP
Gain
17-Jul-10 47 48.84 50 6.95% 7
24-Jul-10 47 48.95 50 7.69% 7
31-Jul-10 47 48.18 50 1.29% 7
07-Aug-10 47 48.13 50 1.46% 7
14-Aug-10 47 48.46 50 2.92% 7
21-Aug-10 47 48.69 50 3.05% 7
28-Aug-10 47 48.86 50 5.88% 7

-PJ

14 posted on 08/28/2010 12:09:07 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too ("Comprehensive" reform bills only end up as incomprehensible messes.)
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To: Political Junkie Too
Oops... make that 93 races.

-PJ

15 posted on 08/28/2010 12:14:57 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too ("Comprehensive" reform bills only end up as incomprehensible messes.)
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To: InterceptPoint

Goodbye Pelosi.


16 posted on 08/28/2010 12:15:42 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: InterceptPoint

Gee, the Marxist have a lot to do if they expect to stay in power.

Bribes, blackmail, fraud..you name it, they’ll do it.


17 posted on 08/28/2010 12:24:30 PM PDT by TribalPrincess2U (demonicRATS= Obama's Mosque, taxes, painful death. Is this what you want?)
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To: InterceptPoint

Republicans will win every one of those races in Pennsylvania. Count on it!


18 posted on 08/28/2010 12:27:46 PM PDT by Dems_R_Losers (U.S. Out of My Doctor's Office!!)
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To: LS

Good deal. Keep the pressure on. We need to give Strickland the gate, and I’d love to see the voters in OH 15 kick Mary Jo Kiljoy out on her DSA butt (I know I’ll do my part).


19 posted on 08/28/2010 1:28:39 PM PDT by chimera
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To: InterceptPoint
Illinois 11 is definitely leaning (R) Halvorsen is toast.
20 posted on 08/28/2010 1:34:31 PM PDT by usconservative (When The Ballot Box No Longer Counts, The Ammunition Box Does. (What's In Your Ammo Box?))
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