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Dem Turnout Falls Off A Cliff
National Journal ^ | 5/5/10 | Wilson

Posted on 05/05/2010 12:33:50 PM PDT by pabianice

Turnout among Dem voters dropped precipitously in 3 statewide primaries on Tuesday, giving the party more evidence that their voters lack enthusiasm ahead of midterm elections.

In primaries in NC, IN and OH, Dems turned out at far lower rates than they have in previous comparable elections.

Just 663K OH voters cast ballots in the competitive primary between LG Lee Fisher (D) and Sec/State Jennifer Brunner (D). That number is lower than the 872K voters who turned out in '06, when neither Gov. Ted Strickland (D) nor Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) faced serious primary opponents.

Only 425K voters turned out to pick a nominee against Sen. Richard Burr (R-NC). The 14.4% turnout was smaller than the 444K voters -- or 18% of all registered Dem voters -- who turned out in '04, when Gov. Mike Easley (D) faced only a gadfly candidate in his bid to be renominated for a second term.

And in IN, just 204K Hoosiers voted for Dem House candidates, far fewer than the 357K who turned out in '02 and the 304K who turned out in '06.

By contrast, GOP turnout was up almost across the board. 373K people voted in Burr's uncompetitive primary, nearly 9% higher than the 343K who voted in the equally non-competitive primary in '04. Turnout in House races in IN rose 14.6% from '06, fueled by the competitive Senate primary, which attracted 550K voters. And 728K voters cast ballots for a GOP Sec/State nominee in Ohio, the highest-ranking statewide election with a primary; in '06, just 444K voters cast ballots in that race.

Top Dem strategists have promised to spend millions to get their voters to cast ballots, and polls show they will need to succeed in order to avoid an electoral beating. The latest weekly Gallup tracking survey shows 43% of GOPers are "very enthusiastic" about voting, while just 33% of Dems feel the same way.

But some Dems say they don't worry about low turnout in primaries at the moment.

"We had historic increases in registration in 2008 and we are working to turn out those first time voters again this fall, and we'll do so united behind our nominees -- which can't be said of Republicans," DNC spokesman Hari Sevugan said. "The real story in looking at motivation of the base from yesterday was a deeply divided Republican party that nominated deeply flawed candidates that overwhelming majorities of their own voters couldn't support."

Sevugan pointed to ex-Sen. Dan Coats (R), who won just 39% of the IN primary vote, and to Rep. Dan Burton (R), who held off 2 strong challengers to win renomination with just 30% of the vote, as evidence that the GOP coalition is fractured.

But Dems face problems in reuniting their base, too. Asked recently how much she would campaign for Fisher if she lost the primary, Brunner made a zero with her hands. NC Sec/State Elaine Marshall (D) and ex-state Sen. Cal Cunningham (D) will face off again in a June 22 runoff, sapping more of their already-limited treasuries.

About the only state the party doesn't have internal conflict at the moment is in IN, where Sen. Evan Bayh's (D) retirement means the party will hand-pick Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D) later this month. But in search of party harmony, there is peril: Bayh's departure gives the GOP an excellent shot at winning the seat, and Ellsworth's candidacy means his own GOP-leaning district is up for grabs too.

Efforts are already underway to improve Dem turnout this fall. The DNC has promised $30M to be spent on GOTV operations run through Organizing for America, Pres. Obama's political wing. The group will emphasize voter turnout and persuasion, as well as personal interaction that DNC chair Tim Kaine recently told reporters is more effective than TV advertising.

-- Dan Roem, Jamie Shufflebarger and Sean Sullivan contributed to this report.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2010election; 2010midterms; democrats; elections
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To: MrB
Yeah, I can see another repetition of the “angry white males threw a temper tantrum” like they were saying in 1994.

Well nObama did give that speech imploring miniories, women, students and probably gays to mobilize. He purposely left out the hated white-man. I guess he effed up!

21 posted on 05/05/2010 1:07:22 PM PDT by subterfuge (BUILD MORE NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS NOW!!!)
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To: pabianice

Let’s hope they don’t wake up until Nov 3.


22 posted on 05/05/2010 1:08:05 PM PDT by clintonh8r (Times Square: Intelligence failure facilitated law enforcement success.)
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To: Snickering Hound

Their other motto>

You may be an illegal alien, but you can still vote.

You may not exist, but you can still vote.

You may be a cat or dog, but you can still vote.

Yes, You Can, as long as you vote Dem and often.


23 posted on 05/05/2010 1:27:10 PM PDT by Texas Fossil (Government, even in its best state is but a necessary evil; in its worst state an intolerable one.)
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To: AngelesCrestHighway

You cannot help the poor by destroying the rich. You cannot strengthen the weak by weakening the strong. You cannot bring about prosperity by discouraging thrift. You cannot lift the wage earner up by pulling the wage payer down. You cannot further t.he brotherhood of man by inciting class hatred. You cannot build character and courage by taking away people’s initiative and independence. Abe Lincoln

Which is to opposite this parasite is doing.


24 posted on 05/05/2010 1:47:34 PM PDT by GailA (obamacare paid for by cuts & taxes on most vulnerable Veterans, retired Military, disabled & Seniors)
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To: Nonstatist
The precinct I worked at in Dayton, Ohio had about a two to one Republican vote edge. That was strange since we had a Democrat Presiding Judge which means the precinct went to Obama in 2008.

Libby

25 posted on 05/05/2010 2:16:00 PM PDT by libbytarian
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To: pabianice

Hey now, Larry Harmon aka Bozo was a great American. He doesn’t deserve to be compared to that piece of crap.


26 posted on 05/05/2010 2:17:03 PM PDT by Tony in Hawaii (NUTS!)
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To: pabianice
But some Dems say they don't worry about low turnout in primaries at the moment.

Yeah, they don't ever "discover" any "misplaced" boxes of "previously unrecorded" ballots in primaries. They save that for the general.

27 posted on 05/05/2010 2:30:32 PM PDT by denydenydeny (The welfare state turns us all into zoo animals, mouths open, waiting for the next feeding.)
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To: Tony in Hawaii
Larry Harmon could have made a pretty decent president.

I would also think that the truth would come out of his mouth once in a while.

28 posted on 05/05/2010 2:30:41 PM PDT by oyez (The difference in genius and stupidity is that genius has it limits.)
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To: pabianice

No time to read this but how much of this is due to ACORN’s problems? Can’t organize and pay for “voters” as easily anymore?


29 posted on 05/05/2010 2:35:00 PM PDT by Ladysmith ("A community organizer can't bitch when communities organize." Rush Limbaugh)
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To: pabianice

It first is a primary and second an off year election. The majority of Democrats only show up every 4 years to vote the rest of the time they don’t vote.


30 posted on 05/05/2010 3:06:15 PM PDT by chris_bdba
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To: napscoordinator
I won`t vote for so called "Rinos", those will be bypassed for real conservatives who may be running as independents or a vote that office/position will be declined.
31 posted on 05/05/2010 4:51:12 PM PDT by nomad
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To: nomad; napscoordinator

Exactly who are the “RINOs” you are referring to that were recently nominated?


32 posted on 05/06/2010 6:27:18 AM PDT by AFPhys ((Praying for our troops, our citizens, that the Bible and Freedom become basis of the US law again))
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To: AFPhys

Coats.


33 posted on 05/06/2010 7:38:53 AM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: napscoordinator

Coats? You mean the Coats who acheived a 90 Rating from ACU?

Calling him a RINO is beyond ignorant.


34 posted on 05/07/2010 9:48:52 AM PDT by AFPhys ((Praying for our troops, our citizens, that the Bible and Freedom become basis of the US law again))
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To: AFPhys

How funny of you to say. You are in the huge minority on that one bub. Get with the program. Your blinders are telling.


35 posted on 05/07/2010 1:29:52 PM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: AFPhys

In Ohio, where do I begin? The GOP is the little rat party,try looking into Ohio first,before comenting,OK?


36 posted on 05/07/2010 5:02:01 PM PDT by nomad
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To: nomad

So, Coats having an ACU rating of 90 makes him a RINO for Ohio.

If only I could manage having such a RINO senator in NYState! Heck, I would praise the Lord for someone with HALF that rating!


37 posted on 05/08/2010 3:47:06 PM PDT by AFPhys ((Praying for our troops, our citizens, that the Bible and Freedom become basis of the US law again))
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To: pabianice

Oh...I thought the DEMOcrats fell off a cliff...oh well...


38 posted on 05/08/2010 3:48:07 PM PDT by Pharmboy (The Stone Age did not end because they ran out of stones...)
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