Posted on 05/19/2010 9:17:44 AM PDT by DB9
Good read.
Goofy. It will shake out in November. The Crats are crowing about this???
Burns still has a shot in November, when the Indies come out to vote
If I read this article correctly, the Governor set things up so that the special election was, in effect, being run like a primary. Democrats had no choice but to vote for a Democrat.
You may remember the trick of providing a pencil attached to a string in each voting booth. The powers-that-be could then note which way the string was angled to tell who voted for whom. Since, in this case, the polling records indicate who asked for a given ballot, the “secret ballot” principle was eliminated, for all intents and purposes.
Voter intimidation without the New Black Panther clubs.
Perhaps the constituency loves their pork more than their liberty?
Independents don't vote in PA unless, PA is a closed primary. I agree at a high level with his premise but there is no crossover voting in PA for a primary unless you change parties before the election with that purpose in mind.
If these factors adjust the Republican candidate should do better in November, but the history of the district still makes it a considerable long shot. The ability of the Republicans to take back the House does not depend on this one-off district.
November may end up being a little different - by this time, Critz will have a record that may be used against him, if he's toed the Obama/Pelosi line, or he may lose Demecrat Party enthusiasm and support if he hasn't. There will also be no Sestak/Specter race heading up the ballot to get Dems enthusiastic. Toomey may have some coattails. Burns won't be hurt by a concurrent primary battle within his own Party.
Who knows.
It'll still be a trick to win it in November, and I'm personally doubtful, since PA-12 is NOT, despite the efforts of some to cast it as such, a swing district by any means.
So only about 8000 Independents ended up voting.
I knew burns was finished when I saw the first commercial saying that Burns advocated a 23% national sales tax on everything. Showed what people would pay for food and medicine. They kept running ‘em and it was all over. People must have thought he was nuts.
This was a special election held on the SAME DAY as the regular primary.
The problem here is voter HABITS, and Rendell understood those habits, and worked it to the Dems advantage.
The Democrat Primary voters COULD have voted for the Republican, but that was never likely -—
You read it wrong. People could vote for anybody they wanted in the special election regardless of their party affiliation. I spent the past five days in PA-12 working GOTV for Burns and confusion like yours is endemic among the voters.
He didn’t advocate any such thing, he discussed the concept of a 23% sales tax REPLACING ALL OTHER TAXES, purely as a concept, without even supporting it. Mark Critz is a liar and had to retract and apologize for 2-3 different ads. The rednecks in PA-12 (who have now proven John Murtha was correct in his characterization of them twice over) voted for him anyway.
Good analysis. Another reason Tim lost is that organizations like the GOP, ALG, and others that brag about their “grassroots organizing” are too busy playing games to get down to the business of registering voters, counting heads, and turning out the vote. What we really need is some “Tea Roots” organizing. The Tea Party folks will definitely do it right!
Russell does, too.
Not being there and seeing comercials and ads — did he run campaign ads that tried to promote a National Sales Tax as part of his campaign?
One important lesson here...if you support the Fair Tax, the Dems will use it to beat you into the ground with brazen demagoguery. (the truth on this issue cannot be explained in 30 second ads) Sad that we’ve entered an age where constructive ideas can’t be sold to voters if they don’t fit into a 30-second jingle.
ping
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