Posted on 07/19/2010 4:58:37 PM PDT by militanttoby
With just one day left until the Georgia Republican primary for Governor, Karen Handel has opened a wide lead (38% Handel/20% Deal/17% Johnson/12% Oxendine/6% Other/7% Undecided). At this point, it appears that the real race is for second place. Former Congressman Nathan Deal is statistically tied with State Senator Eric Johnson, 20% to 17% respectively. Both candidates are well positioned for the second place slot. These results are based off of a Magellan Strategies survey of 1,181 likely Republican primary voters. This survey was conducted using automated telephone touchtone technology. The sample for this survey was randomly drawn from past Republican primary elections in the 2008, 2006, 2004, and 2002 election cycles. The 1,181 interviews were conducted Sunday night, July 18th, from 5 to 7 pm. this survey has a margin of error of +/- 2.8% at the 95% confidence interval.
12% Oxendine ?!?! That doesn’t pass the smell test.
Oxendine and Deal have engaged in some pretty nasty stuff agains their percieved opponent—Handel. The voters are fed up with this nasty campaigning from so-called professionals. I would rather see Johnson get into the runoff.
I agree - doesn’t sound accurate. But I do see Handel in the lead - just not this much.
I feel the same way; put out your positives and quit mailing me anti-Handel pieces — with no named return address (political cowards).
First two choices are Handel and Johnson.
I like Deal, BUT I have a strong case of anti-incumbent-itis.
Oxendine was a good insurance comm. Not sure I want him as Gov.
Right now we are getting carpet bombed with robo-calls, and I presume the rest of Ga is as well. THAT makes it hard to get a good sample on these surveys. Who in their right mind answers the phone with a foreign Caller-ID tonight?~!?!
(call coming in right now from “Red Lodge, MT”)
What concerns me is the polling which shows Deal as the only candidate who can beat Roy Barnes. I really do not want Barnes back in. But if Handel ultimately gets the Republican nomination, would attacks by Barnes against Handel backfire?
“Wow. Handel has opened a lead of 10 pts (Mason-Dixon Poll a couple odf days ago), and here 18 pts. She was probably behind Oxendine 1-2 weeks ago. A surge similar to Haley in SC”
I wonder why could it be some former Governor./s :)
Handel works for me. Oxendine was a self promoting horse’s patoot when I lived in GA - an insurance commissioner who drove an unmarked Crown Victoria that was essentially an unmarked state patrol car. He was quickly on the scene of any tornado, fire or flooding incident - but you could tell he was there to get in front of cameras, not to contribute to remediation of the losses. Glad to see he is sinking fast.
“12% Oxendine ?!?! That doesn’t pass the smell test.”
It could be right:
“It appears Handel picked up much of her increase in support from Oxendine voters, who switched over following Palin’s endorsement. Palin has put her touch on other races around the country as well, including the neighboring South Carolina GOP gubernatorial primary, which Nikki Haley won after a runoff.”
She is probably ahead, but how could Oxendine drop over 20 points in less than two weeks?
Exactly, it doesn’t make sense. He’s declined, obviously, but that seems absurdly dramatic.
When I saw the debate last weekend I was impressed by Handel and Johnson.
I think I am voting for Johnson or Deal. Fair or not Oxendine has a huge cloud of ethics charges over his head.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.