Posted on 08/04/2010 11:56:54 AM PDT by randita
GOP's Significant Turnout Edge
August 4, 2010 1:54 PM
By Quinn McCord
It's usually perilous to draw too many conclusions from primary turnout, in terms of forecasting general election outcomes. But for a Democratic leaning state like Michigan, it's noteworthy that twice as many voters chose GOP ballots yesterday as those picking Dem ballots. In fact, the 1.045M GOP ballots cast yesterday nearly match the 1.047M Dem ballots cast in the '02 GOV race. Both contests were fiercely-contested primaries, so the 1M+ turnouts in these races shouldn't be surprising. What's more interesting is that even the barely-contested '02 GOP GOV contest (in which then-LG Dick Posthumus smoked then-state Senate Pres. Pro Tem Joe Schwarz 81%-19%) still brought 583K Republicans to the polls. By contrast, yesterday's competitive MI Dem GOV primary between Virg Bernero (D) and Andy Dillon (D) only convinced 527K voters to select a Dem ballot. To be sure, the money spent by the GOP GOV candidates compared to the Dems surely played a large factor, but these numbers may indicate some MI Dems aren't enthused about their chances to win this fall. In a similar vein, 578K voters in MO picked GOP ballots yesterday, compared to 316K Dem ballots, a 1.8-to-1 ratio. GOPers probably got a boost courtesy of the open MO-07 seat and the MO-04 contest to find an opponent for Ike Skelton (D), but still, for a state in which statewide Dem candidates have fared well in recent cycles, these numbers are hardly encouraging for the majority party.
89 days ‘til election 2010. (November 2, 2010)
824 days ‘til election 2012. (November 6, 2012)
900 days ‘til Inauguration Day 2013. (January 20, 2013)
Ping
Not to worry.
The GOP will screw it up somehow.
This will just establish how many buses and vans the Dems will need to send out to round up Democrat voters for the general election.
“824 days ‘til election 2012. (November 6, 2012)”
January 20, 2013 - hopefully and prayerfully BHO’s last day as President of the United States of America.
Snyder is about as conservative as Jenny Granholm.
Despite taking a screwing in that race, we actually picked some grade A candidates in a few of the house races. Basically we did more good for the nation than we did for ourselves.
The braindead electorate is a much bigger problem than the GOP.
They don’t ALWAYS screw up—sometimes the Dems do that—Do you recall the 1994 midterm elections? What a thumper!
Kansas had a primary yesterday. Overall county turnout averages: Republican 44%, Democrat 17%
Open primaries? I don’t trust dems to just pick their candidates.
Nice, but I wish they would have elected Todd Tiahrt to the US Senate!
Hoekstra and Cox split the conservative vote, giving Snyder the win.
That said, Hoekstra’s an arrogant jerk and Cox is linked by innuendo to a dead stripper. Who do you pick?
The Missouri proposition wasn’t all that big of a calling card in Michigan.
for a Democratic leaning state like Michigan, it's noteworthy that twice as many voters chose GOP ballots yesterday as those picking Dem ballots. In fact, the 1.045M GOP ballots cast yesterday nearly match the 1.047M Dem ballots cast in the '02 GOV race.
If you would like to be added or dropped from the Michigan ping list, please freepmail me.
The turnout edge damn well better be more than significant. After all, we have all those dead people, dogs, and the demented to outvote.
The rats also had a competitive primary for Governor so I’m pleasantly surprised.
Really? Damn. Who did you back?
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