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Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 47%, Democrats 38%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 8/23/2010 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 08/23/2010 12:04:29 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush

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To: Tennessean4Bush

Now all we need are some “generic Republicans”.. :)


21 posted on 08/23/2010 12:42:27 PM PDT by Pessimist
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To: Gen. Burkhalter
If these numbers are accurate and do hold, look for the Dems to lose anywhere between 75 and 100 seats this November.

We'll see. Don't count 'em before they're hatched.

22 posted on 08/23/2010 12:43:37 PM PDT by ScottinVA (The West needs to act NOW to aggressively treat its metastasizing islaminoma!)
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To: 1035rep
71% of African-Americans prefer the Democrat

In the minds of liberals, blacks are allowed to roam freely but are expected back on the plantation by Nov 2.

23 posted on 08/23/2010 12:46:40 PM PDT by ScottinVA (The West needs to act NOW to aggressively treat its metastasizing islaminoma!)
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To: ScottinVA

Yes I know. But I can’t help but enjoy watching and enjoying this. Three nonpartisan analysts I pay attention to, Michael Barone, Charlie Cook, and Larry Sabato are all predicting Armageddon for the Dems. Even Democrat stategists and pollsters such as Doug Schoen, Pat Cadell, Stanley Greenberg, and James Carville seem to be equally pessismistic about their Party’s prospects this November.


24 posted on 08/23/2010 12:51:20 PM PDT by Gen. Burkhalter
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To: ScottinVA

If the Dems only get 71% of the black vote, they REALLY are cooked. Considering they usually get 90% +.


25 posted on 08/23/2010 12:54:35 PM PDT by Gen. Burkhalter
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To: ScottinVA

Got it :)


26 posted on 08/23/2010 1:08:05 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: Gen. Burkhalter
But I can’t help but enjoy watching and enjoying this.

Oh, ditto here! I'm just trying to manage expectations, but it's hard not to get a bit more giddy with each passing day toward Election Day. I hope we don't get let down.

27 posted on 08/23/2010 1:08:44 PM PDT by ScottinVA (The West needs to act NOW to aggressively treat its metastasizing islaminoma!)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

What I am noticing is that the pundits and talking heads on the left are starting to spin this meme that Obama is Centrist... LOL... yeah right. Like the far left Progressives don’t support him.. This is a trick and for lack of a better term.. I consider it a vast leftwing conspiracy..

Conservatives need to stand up and destroy Obama because Obama is not really running against Bush, certainly he blames Bush because people on all sides don’t like Bush, for a whole host of reasons, but what he is actually trying to change are pro business, lower taxes and growth economic policies and Foregin Policy changes that were put in place by Ronald Reagan.

Defining Conservatism to the masses is in order and should be a series of campaign commercials by Conservative Republicans. It is imperative that Obama be seen for exactly what he is a Far left Radical Ideologue.

Make the moderates defend their fringe wacky nut cases because that is exactly what they are trying to slowing implement in America.


28 posted on 08/23/2010 1:13:30 PM PDT by Typical_Whitey (Our nation has a choice, Vote or Die.)
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To: hattend
How did this big of a lead translate into seats won in previous off-year elections? 1994 for example.

I don't have numbers for Ras in 1994 (not even sure he did one back then). On the week before the election the Dems and the GOP were dead even. In mid August the Dems were up. And the result was a pickup of 54 seats.

Remember if the polls perfectly represented the republic a dead even poll would mean a dead even congress. That would require a 40 seat GOP pickup. Since there is not a single case where the GOP has not beaten what was expected of them in the generic ballot you have to think 50+ seat pickup if the GOP can simply break even. There are no precedents for what a +9 GOP lead would mean as they have never had a lead that big in any prior election that I know of.
29 posted on 08/23/2010 1:20:32 PM PDT by GonzoGOP (There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

Until names are added to the “generic ballot”, the ballot will alwys reflect current popular opinion.

When names are added, the numbers will often shift . . . . sometimes better for the “good guy”, sometimes not so good.


30 posted on 08/23/2010 1:23:16 PM PDT by DustyMoment
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To: Tennessean4Bush

31 posted on 08/23/2010 1:35:01 PM PDT by mrmeyer ("When brute force is on the march, compromise is the red carpet." Ayn Rand)
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To: hattend
IIRC from former Senator Santorum hosting a recent Bill Bennett Show, the numbers were only +3 in 1994.

The reason even small positives turn into big pubbie wins is the overwhelming vote for rats by minorities in their special, Voting Rights Act, carved out districts like Charlie Rangel’s.

That means outside of the carve outs, the actual number intending to vote GOP is larger than nation wide polling would indicate.

32 posted on 08/23/2010 1:59:58 PM PDT by Jacquerie (There isn't a single problem threatening our republic that cannot be pinned on democrats.)
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To: 1035rep
71% support for the one from bloc-voting African-Americans would indicate an unprecedented drop. That's why I don't believe it. They didn't vote for the Messiah because they liked his policies but because they liked his race. And neither his race nor their attitudes have changed.
33 posted on 08/23/2010 2:01:10 PM PDT by luvbach1 (Stop Barry now. He can't help himself.)
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To: hattend

Some quotes in here:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/08/22/AR2010082202859.html

1) In an August 1994 Washington Post-ABC News poll, 49 percent of respondents said they would vote for the Democrat while 42 percent said they would back the Republican. Last month, 47 percent said they would support the Republican while 46 percent chose the Democrat.

2) The results were strikingly similar in several other national surveys. In an August 1994 Gallup poll, 46 percent said they would vote for the Democrat and an equal 46 percent said they would support the Republican. The most recent Gallup data give Republicans an edge of 50 percent to 43 percent over Democrats


34 posted on 08/23/2010 2:18:48 PM PDT by Uncledave
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To: DustyMoment

Sure, each race is different. The reason people focus on the Generic Ballot is that for the House races, there is very little polling, at least public polling, going on. So in order to get an estimate, they look at this. Some Dems will campaign better than others, or will not have strong opposition, etc. But in the end, if a GOP candidate campaigns well and doesn’t blow bubbles with his drool, he should do well.


35 posted on 08/23/2010 2:50:36 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: RexBeach

The only crats left will be the ones in communist safe districts..Cowabunga Dynamite!


36 posted on 08/23/2010 3:01:21 PM PDT by screaminsunshine (m)
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To: Tennessean4Bush
Gallup....I believe showed a modest 3-5pt lead for the GOP in 1994. Gallup is showing almost twice that now.

A few phrases come to mind... Wipe Out. Total Disaster. Ultimate Implosion. Historic Disaster. Refudiation....

And, I believe that the coming mass firing of congressional Democrats is only the beginning. The current wave of anti-Democrat sentiment will not abate until the people begin to see real restoration to American basics occurring across the country.

By that time, the Dems are going to be so whipped and diminished as a national party, that it will probably take them decades to recover.

37 posted on 08/23/2010 3:40:29 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: AdmSmith; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; bigheadfred; blueyon; Convert from ECUSA; dervish; ...

Thanks Tennessean4Bush.


38 posted on 08/23/2010 3:50:42 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Democratic Underground... matters are worse, as their latest fund drive has come up short...)
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To: Uncledave

Raise your hand if you think VP Biteme will be the first interview on all the talk shows the day after Pelosi and Reid are removed from majority and leadership positions

He said the Dems will hold both houses

I wish the tsunami could remove him as well


39 posted on 08/23/2010 3:58:38 PM PDT by hattend (Like a termite to wood, Obama only wants to destroy - Mark Levin)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

Wow.


40 posted on 08/23/2010 4:12:53 PM PDT by Tzimisce (No thanks. We have enough government already. - The Tick)
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