Posted on 09/30/2010 7:11:50 AM PDT by dangus
On another handicapping site this race has been moved to leans Republican after starting out leans Democrats.
The seat was held by GOP for thirty years until the GOPer got a bad case of “Open Zipper” disease and had to bow out. The great candidate we had died suddenly of a heart attack and the fill in was useless. The 13th was one of only two CDs that McCain won.
In July McMahon's campaign was caught compiling a “Jewish Money” list drawn from Grimm's finance reports. The crucial mid Island area is heavily Jewish who are usually reliable Democrat voters. Door to door work is telling us McMahon is not doing well in the Mid Island area.
One third of the district is in Brooklyn. That area has a large Russian population who are anti Democrat and pro Grimm.
In the primary Grimm was the insurgent. He beat the hand picked County Committee candidate getting 73% on Staten Island and winning convincingly in Brooklyn where the Party favorite is from. Overall Grimm got 68%.
Grimm has 4 times the FaceBook friends as Grimm.
People are still unhappy with McMahon because he voted with Bloomberg to raise property taxes 18% when he was in the City Council.
McMahon will win 60/ 40 on the North shore of Staten Island, but the enthusiasm gap will depress Democrat turn out. Where he should with 75% he won't.
In Mid Island McMahon's troubles increase. He will lose 55/45 and have very little margin when the numbers from the South shore are counted. Grimm will win 73/27 on the South shore and the turnout will be the biggest on the Island.
The final stroke will be when Grimm wins 52/48 in Brooklyn. Final: Grimm 58/42.
No, these are all Democratic seats. (I listed, but did not count Djou’s seat in Hawaii, which was presumed to be Democrat and is still Republican.)
Great! I didn’t see that one.
One more question...... there is no approved budget resolution. Can the lack of budget kill Obama care this year?
Can the continuing resolution kill it if not included?
JOHN COLBERT CA 29 http://www.johncolbertforcongress.com/
If you have a ping list, could you add me? Thanks.
You make the false assumption that this Administration will follow the law. Think about the blank check that the Administration has given to Fannie Mae. The House never approved that.
Marshall actually votes with the conservatives a vast majority of the time, except where it counts - House Speaker.
Wow. I don’t think the Dems will make up much ground. They have nothing to run on, and only Obama to run away from.
I think administrative costs are part of the general budget, no? Cut those off.
Repeal the requirements on companies...put them as poison pills in other “must have” bills...
Of course there has to be creativity in rolling back his fascism. But I refuse to believe it cannot be done.
How about this: cut off any D.O.J. funding for “enforcement” mechanisms—so if a company or individual doesn’t comply, the feds cannot prosecute?
If by some wild chance Boxer, Murray, Gillibrand and Blumenthal are swept out, the Dems will be in true panic. No Dem senator will be safe in 2012.
From your keyboard to God’s ears.
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