Posted on 10/04/2010 12:17:03 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush
Republican candidates now hold a three-point lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, October 3, 2010. This is the smallest gap between parties in roughly a year.
Forty-five percent (45%) of respondents say they would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate, while 42% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent. This is the first time during 2010 that the GOP edge has fallen below five points.
Still, while the margin has varied somewhat from week-to-week, Republicans have been consistently ahead in the Generic Ballot for over a year, and it has run as high as 12 points. When Barack Obama first took office as president of the United States, the Democrats enjoyed a seven-point lead on the Generic Ballot.
Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Republicans hold an 18-point lead.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Define "tsunami"
First, people started to really pay attention to their own races. Second, the Dhims started to campaign. This means they offer competing narrative and attacking the Republican candidates relentlessly. With a help from their MSM friends, it shouldn't be surprising that the races are tightened. Finally, we need to adjust our own expectations. Many of them are based on surveys taken in or before Summer when opposition to HC was at its peak.
Agreed, short of a major game changer like a world war, massive global disaster or massive earth event.
Radiation is the only cure...preferably from orbit. It's the only way to be sure.
I just received this in an email the other day. It’s an indication of why we still need to worry about this election. The Democrats will pull every dirty trick in the book.
________________________________________________________
Right to Work on TV: SEIU’s Crooked Political Fundraising Scheme
Last week, I appeared on the Fox Business Channel to discuss the Obama Federal Election Commission’s (FEC) refusal to investigate the radical Service Employees International Union (SEIU) for its shady political fundraising scheme.
Before the 2008 elections, the SEIU amended its constitution to require local affiliate unions to meet an annual fundraising obligation to the SEIU’s political action committee (PAC) under the threat of heavy fines.
But federal election law requires that PAC contributions must be 100 percent voluntary, and unions cannot funnel cash from their general treasuries into a PAC.
Foundation attorneys filed a complaint with the FEC later that year but were only notified 23 days after the FEC quietly dismissed the complaint this spring. Stonewalling even further, the FEC only released its reasoning 111 days after that — well after the 60-day window period in which Foundation attorneys could appeal.
Meanwhile, the SEIU’s PAC has already disbursed over $21 million this election cycle, and that’s just the tip of the iceberg for the union bosses’ electioneering.
I hope you are correct.
60 to 100 seats in the House
Take back the Senate
My oh my how things have changed! Nine months ago it was "going to be a rout", then it became "an unfair contest", soon after it became "probable that conservatives would win both houses", then "probably that conservatives would win a narrow margin in the House...then recently it became " a real toss up"....and now, it's "little probability that conservatives will win either chamber at all".
Seems the "fire in the belly" turned out to be nothing but gas....as it usually does.
More's the pity too!
“I’ll bet you 5 bucks the tsunami happens... do you have Paypal so you can pay me?”
Define tsunami. Can’t make bets on terms, numbers please?
Also be aware, I’m rooting for the tsunami as much as anyone. It’s like when I bet against the Browns, most times I win money. But, once in a while, I wouldn’t mind losing a few bucks.
All polling outfits are going to tighten up their propaganda until just before the election... they cannot sell any polling data if it appears to be a blowout election.
LLS
See #28
Perhaps the “community organizer” is proving successful to remind his followers they have to go back and vote again, to keep the stuff government is doling out to them under Obama and his dems.
I don’t see genuine “middle of the roaders” and “inependents” being swayed by his overtures. Just the minority takers class, who showed up in DC and left the mess for others to clean up.
This fellow needs some of your magic Jim.
LLS
That’s why I support space colonization...
Wow. Way to blow your head off in such dramatic fashion.
Now that you are done calling races based on generic ballot polls, people can now go vote district by district, like we’ve done the past 200 + years.
This is why I’ve been discounting Dick Morris’ rosy predictions of a “tsunami,” “wipeout,” etc. for the dems. It’s always far too easy to forget the dems have the media, unions, illegals and most judges in their back pocket.
We’re going to see some gains for the GOP in November, but far fewer than hoped. One should always manage expectations of American voters, because they have an enormous propensity for stupidity at critical moments. It’s akin to running backwards and taking a safety when a winning touchdown is a near-gimme.
I still think the GOP gets the House and about 49 in the Senate, that holds with what the individual polls suggest.
The liberals’ dumbing down and inculcation of a dependency mentality in the electorate is nearly complete.
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