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Posted on 10/05/2010 10:42:25 AM PDT by GOP_Lady
The real historical parallel may be 1894 when Republicans took 100 seats.
As Election Day draws closer, every major public opinion poll shifts from interviewing registered voters to those whom it identifies as "likely" voters. Gallup, the oldest U.S. polling company, first developed the model it uses for identifying likely voters back in 1950 and its final election polls have proven highly accurate.
Yesterday, Gallup delivered its first 2010 "likely voter" poll and the results floored the political community. In the generic ballot question, which asks which party a voter would favor in a generic House contest, Gallup gave the GOP a 46% to 42% edge. But then Gallup applied two versions of its "likely voter" turnout model. In its "high turnout model," Republicans led Democrats by 53% to 40%. In its "low turnout model," the GOP edge was a stunning 56% to 38%. That kind of margin in favor of Republicans has never been seen in Gallup surveys.
What should worry Democrats most is that the "low turnout model" is typical of recent midterm elections. If the Gallup numbers hold up (and the firm cautions that "the race often tightens in the final month of the campaign"), some word more cataclysmic than "tsunami" would be needed for the Democratic losses.
(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...
Nuclear ping
The truth is people are FED UP and want these self absorbed, narcissistic critters OUT!
We cannot slack off a bit!
We have a bottle of Moet on ice. New Years comes early this
year!
1894 good...1984 baaaaaaad! Rediscover Liberty by destroying Tyranny.
vaudine
My personal guess is a gain of 132 seats. The Democrats will survive in black districts, chablis-and-brie districts and college towns, but that’s it.
registered Democrats are scum.
Work and give. Work and give.
If the Gallup numbers hold up (and the firm cautions that “the race often tightens in the final month of the campaign”), some word more cataclysmic than “tsunami” would be needed for the Democratic losses.
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phrases like this are really starting to make me nervous. We need to get out and fight like we’re 10% down!
We all need to re-'quintuple' our EFFORTS now. So, I say...
They're just trying to instill a sense of complacency so you will consider staying away from the polls on election day.
Call me too cynical to believe it until November 3. I hope and pray this Country takes a hard right to sanity, this really would be for our children.
Stay energized. Find at least one conservative person who doesn’t vote, and convince them to go to the polls with you.
If the Gallup numbers hold up some word more cataclysmic than “tsunami” would be needed for the Democratic losses.
We be PRAYIN!!!!
Dick Morris is still saying 100 seats. I pray one of you is right!
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