...if Pajamas Media is still asking, then it’s probable.
I’d say 48 or 49 and would’t be too surprised if we ended up with 47. I hate being pessimistic and will vote and do everything I can but we’re a week away from the election and the races are moving in the wrong direction or remain toss ups. If we were going to take the Senate, I would think we’d see races like WA and CA moving in the GOP direction. Instead, we have races like PA moving in the Dem direction and others remaining toss ups. Toss up = Dems can win by playing their tricks.
I’ve read that every time the House has flipped, so did the Senate. I haven’t researched that myself beyond having read it more than once, but is does seem logical. If someone goes into the booth to vote a Democrat out of the House, they are probably going to vote for a Republican Senator if there is one on the ballot.
I’ve noticed something interesting this cycle. Precious few campaign signs have party affiliation on them. If there is part affiliation, it is Republican. I can’t recall seeing a single sign with a Donkey on it.
It also demonstrates very clearly that this election is not "in the bag", and that conservatives have to fight and scrabble for every last possible vote.
Turnout is the key; it will be extremely interesting to see how those numbers look after November 2nd. Will conservatives have put their "vote where their mouth is"....or not?
TEA Minus 7 Days and Counting.
48 with a Senator Angle sounds better than 50 with Reid still in the Senate if you ask me.
I’ll stand by my prediction that it ends up 50/50.
On 11/3, we’ll find out the answer to the question we have voiced thousands of times:
Oh, say does that star-spangled banner yet wave
O’er the land of the free and the home of the brave?
I predict, when the dust is settled, the GOP will have a gain of 6. Well short of a takeover, but enough to dent the 0bama agenda significantly.
BTW, this guy was stellar and I am proud to call him my senator--now Harkin is another story.
The bottom line is that two years ago the Dems gained a fillibuster proof majority in the Senate. They are on verge of becoming the minority party. Even if we fall one or two seats short, that is a MAJOR victory.
Wasn’t it in 2006 that the GOP lost almost every closely contested race and the Senate flipped to the Dems? That was the year the House went over to the Dems too?
The current GOP over Dem enthusiasm gap is much larger than in 2006 and everyone is thinking we will have a different result and the Dems will be able to hold on. That is what they predicted in 2006, too. Well, until a historical trend has been broken, I will stick with the trend. I say we get to at least 50 and Lieberman, the whore, will caucus with the GOP. And Nelson (NE) the great big whore may switch parties.
We would have to fight an Obama veto all the time anyway. We may be able to work with a Democrat senate to get things done than to work directly with that idiot in the White House.
This was the most disturbing sentence in the entire article:
“a higher than expected Hispanic turnout could lift Reid to victory.”
Pray for a deluge on Election Day in Las Vegas.