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Dick Morris: 100 GOP-Seat Win in House Conceivable, Senate a Tossup
Newsmax ^ | Wednesday, 27 Oct 2010

Posted on 10/27/2010 9:27:00 AM PDT by GonzoII

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To: library user

Don’t tease me bro! (where have I heard that before?)...

Let’s hope that history repeats itself. Have high hopes to be sure!


41 posted on 10/27/2010 10:00:38 AM PDT by Deagle
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To: DGHoodini
I’m just going to have to bow down and proclaim Dick Morris a Polling Prophet without peer

I will rejoice and make a graven image called aqua-toe and worship it too.

42 posted on 10/27/2010 10:01:29 AM PDT by BRL
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To: SmokingJoe
because of racial gerrymandering, the house is going to be a landslide for the republicans, remember that 91% + of blacks still support Obama... this is padding his numbers considerably. Right now Obama is polling as low as 36% WITH 91% black support factored in... Now keep in mind that most blacks live in small confined areas where they are the majority, these areas a gerrymandered by federal law to ensure that at least a few blacks are elected to congress... SO... that means that the vast majority of the remaining districts have little to no blacks and without the blacks Obama’s numbers are down near the 20’s.
43 posted on 10/27/2010 10:04:20 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama = Epic Fail)
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To: Pollster1

I’ve got taking the Senate as more likely than not.

We are pumped in Louisiana. People are coming home from vacations early to vote. PLEASE Lord, don’t let me have to look at Reids beady eyes or Pelosis botox face for another term PLEASE!!!!


44 posted on 10/27/2010 10:05:36 AM PDT by Bitsy
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To: TexasFreeper2009
Obama is polling as low as 36% WITH 91% black support factored in

Excellent point

45 posted on 10/27/2010 10:05:41 AM PDT by BRL
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To: GonzoII

If the Republicans can just take one house it will have achieved the purpose of stopping the Obama agenda in its tracks until 2012.It will not make that much a difference if the Republicans win both houses because Obama, with his veto pen, will still be able to stop any positive fiscal changes the Republicans might try to legislate.Obama is so far ideologically left,unlike Clinton, he is incapable of compromise. I think we will have to wait to 2012 when the Republicans can take back the Presidency before positive change can be effected. In the meantime, at least Obama and the Dems will be prevented from digging the ditch further.


46 posted on 10/27/2010 10:09:11 AM PDT by chuckee
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To: Longbow1969
?Morris’ predictions were on the silly side, but he achieved his goal of getting people to watch him, buy his books and go to his website.

Now he will begin dialing back those ridiculous predictions to something more realistic so he can still say he was right

How so?
His prediction about a massive GOP win and takeover of the House, given long ago (before the “experts” even said the GOP would win the House, let alone by a big margin), is looking very prescient {noun knowledge of things before they exist or happen; foreknowledge; foresight} indeed.
As far as the US Senate is convcerned, of course he made his prediction when Castle was the assumed US Senate candidate for Delaware. No one was going to beat him in a general election, and that was going to give us the 10th seat we needed to take over the US Senate. However, even if we don't win Delaware, we have an even chance of taking the US Senate, if we can take one of the US Senate seats in Washington or California, either of which are very possible if there is a GOP tsunami next Tuesday.

47 posted on 10/27/2010 10:09:47 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: Longbow1969

You might want to read this:

“Bookie says GOP can’t lose House, pays bets early
Saying there’s no way Democrats can keep control of the House, Ireland’s largest bookie on Wednesday said it has already paid off all bettors who wagered the GOP would capture the chamber.

“In our opinion this race is well and truly over with nothing short of a miracle stopping the Republicans taking down the House,” said Ken Robertson, communications manager for Paddy Power, the Irish bookmaker.”
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2010/oct/27/bookie-says-gop-cant-lose-house-pays-bets-early/


48 posted on 10/27/2010 10:11:40 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: TexasFreeper2009
"without the blacks Obama’s numbers are down near the 20’s."

Amazing!

49 posted on 10/27/2010 10:12:20 AM PDT by GonzoII ("That they may be one...Father")
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To: GonzoII

Are we ready for recounts in the close races, especially in the Senate? We cannot have another Franken-Coleman debacle and need to have lawyers at the ready to ensure the votes are counted correctly. Especially the absentee ballots!


50 posted on 10/27/2010 10:16:54 AM PDT by castowell ("I'm 95% cured" - BHO, 6/23/09)
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To: chuckee
"It will not make that much a difference if the Republicans win both houses"

But federal judges come to mind..

51 posted on 10/27/2010 10:17:58 AM PDT by GonzoII ("That they may be one...Father")
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To: GonzoII
You'd think a trillion in political stimulus spending would energize someone.

Its the darnedest thing. The Dems spend a trillion on political payoffs for votes, and no votes came.

52 posted on 10/27/2010 10:18:24 AM PDT by Plutarch
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To: LS
"From your pen to God's eyes!"

It really is going to depend almost entirely on turnout. The amount of "cheating" the dem/lib/prog/pops to is - when taken as a whole - a very small number of votes.

But we must must must have turnout. It will be a very interesting thing to see what the final count is of the actual turnout once all this is over.

If conservatives/republicans have a turnout exceeding 50%.....then we'll see the tidal wave. If it's between 40% and 50%, we'll get the House...and 7 or 8 in the Senate.
However, if the turnout for the conservatives/republicans is less than 40% (say down around 30% to 32%) then we'll squeek by with 40+ in the House and maybe 6 or 7 in the Senate.

It really is all about turnout!
I wonder... is there a poll "predicting" turnout percentages and the resulting outcomes in the House and Senate??

53 posted on 10/27/2010 10:20:16 AM PDT by Logic n' Reason (You can roll a turd in powered sugar; that don't make it a jelly donut)
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To: GonzoII

Karl Rove was predicting 50 gains. John McCain was kind of a downer too.

I guess we’ll see who’s right.


54 posted on 10/27/2010 10:34:26 AM PDT by MNDude (Ask the Native American's how their "Open Borders" policy worked out for them.)
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To: BigSkyFreeper
He'll use Executive Orders and the bureaucracy to pass legislation. Without the need for Congress.

If he tries to pull that, the House will de-fund everything. The electorate is pumped, and the Tea Party isn't going away. Here's why: The level of fury you see now is based on the outrageous way he's already been doing things—assuming some course-correction was coming in 2010. But if that correction doesn't come and Obama's illegality actually accelerates:

1) Obummer will lose RINO toleration and more Democrat support; and consequently

2) he will face active and routine insurrection from the states and individuals who defy Federal regulations of the most ordinary sort; this can't be contained if it builds across a broad spectrum;

3) an impeachment crisis will drag Obummer down and cause him to leave office, whether or not he is convicted.

I don't know what he will do. I agree with you in that he is brittle and unchangeable, and lacking in common sense. He would consider and may well attempt exactly what you describe. But with the economy as it is, the consequences for him would not be pretty. And no, it will not help if he attempts to call out the military to help him. If the GOP wins the mid-terms, I think it's possible the Obummer will pull in his horns and lower his arrogance level—but when someone is stupid, you never know.

55 posted on 10/27/2010 10:35:19 AM PDT by SamuraiScot
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To: rushmom
Rasmussen now has Mansion (D) up three in WV.

Yeah, that sucks. I was really starting to count on this seat to offset shooting ourselves in the foot and nominating a sure loser in Delaware.

I suppose if we are right on the edge we can maybe get Lieberman or Nelson to caucus with us.

56 posted on 10/27/2010 10:44:16 AM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: chuckee
(I)It will not make that much a difference if the Republicans win both houses (/I)

What does SCOTUS stand for? Big matter....

57 posted on 10/27/2010 10:46:41 AM PDT by fantail 1952 (Truth is a virus!)
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To: castowell
"Are we ready for recounts in the close races, especially in the Senate? We cannot have another Franken-Coleman debacle and need to have lawyers at the ready to ensure the votes are counted correctly. Especially the absentee ballots!"

Better yet, militia!

58 posted on 10/27/2010 10:53:37 AM PDT by fantail 1952 (Truth is a virus!)
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To: fantail 1952

SCOTUS is a big matter. But a minority can still block the more radical picks assuming they have more than 40 seats as it would take 60 votes to overcome a Senate filibuster. But yes it would be a bit easier if you have a majority


59 posted on 10/27/2010 11:00:57 AM PDT by chuckee
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To: Longbow1969

I’ve got news for you. Even if he’d been elected, Mike Castle is a sure loser.


60 posted on 10/27/2010 11:04:31 AM PDT by rushmom
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