Posted on 11/02/2010 8:34:16 PM PDT by Future Useless Eater
Kristie Noem (R) was loosing ground consistently in the first 250 precincts counted, but then turned around and has been (mostly) gaining in remaining precincts.
NOW MOVES INTO THE LEAD.
Go Kristie!
pcts pcts Repub Dem Noem's /791 pct Noem Sandlin Lead 32 4.0% 7053 7507 -454 60 7.6% 10731 10248 483 100 12.6% 20064 21438 -1374 124 15.7% 23119 24503 -1384 145 18.3% 26358 27474 -1116 194 24.5% 37547 40129 -2582 215 27.2% 41107 44058 -2951 238 30.1% 46754 50545 -3791 292 36.9% 58202 61425 -3223 333 42.1% 64990 67491 -2501 386 48.8% 76764 78787 -2023 434 54.9% 86721 87357 -636 492 62.2% 100359 101281 -922 553 69.9% 121897 118843 3054
PS : I was going by the rolling Fox numbers, which differed from those listed at the start of this thread.
And another attractive Conservative female takes power. The Dems must just be squirming...
Problem with SHS is that she represents Washington and not the people of SD. She’s another Tom Daschle and will be selling the house in Brookings and setting permanent residence in DC.
My points for non-South Dakotans were;
1. Because of SD’s geographic/philosophical/time difference, early voting returns will normally be Democrat heavy. Republican votes weigh in later.
2. Because of the historic late returns of certain Democrat counties, close elections in SD cannot be “called” until vote fraud has been eliminated from the equation.
Our views do not oppose each other. Rather, yours are more refined than mine. And though your SD voting observations may be too detailed for non-South Dakotans, I will certainly use them in watching future elections.
Very glad that Kristi won. Will be good to have a South Dakotan representing us for a change. And when Miss Perky has to leave the gravy train, I'm sure it won't be to live in South Dakota. She'll be unpacking he designer carpet bags elsewhere.
As you say; “Two down, one to go...”
Yes, my post was meant to complement and tweak your own observations, not disagree with them. And they are indeed probably mainly of interest to keen (obsessed?) observers of SD politics.
Your basic principles — East vs West, potential for fraud in certain precincts, are spot-on and essential for understanding South Dakota. What is unique to South Dakota, (or at least I haven’t seen it in other states) is that the voting tendencies aren’t just separated by regions of the state (that’s pretty common,) but very neatly by time-zone.
So, as we both said, all of the most Dem friendly vote comes in first, scaring people who don’t realize that the best stuff won’t start coming in until an hour later. This is just one more close election that shows that if a Pubbie is behind by only a few thousand in East River, he/she is going to win.
Noem won the same way that Thune did — running just a bit closer than expected in just about every precinct out east, and then blowing it wide open out west.
Now if we can just find someone willing to take on Tim Johnson and do the same.
Hear, hear!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.