Posted on 11/03/2010 2:03:15 AM PDT by Lexinom
I put some effort into compiling this data and hope it may help prove, with hard data, that the Nevada "election" was not a one-legal-citizen, one-vote affair. I believe the Angle campaign has a case based on a comparison of the accuracy of polling of other races with that of their own, where the result was well outside the MOE of an aggregate of polls. Off one pull fine. Off seven by a wide margin, not kosher.
The first data points (EXHIBIT A) are from a sampling of races and the poll aggregates leading up to election day.
The second set of data points (EXHIBIT B) represent the polling for the Nevada race and shows a great deviation not only outside of the consistently polled trends but well beyond the margin of error of multiple, agreeing polls. I think the Angle campaign may have a case, and it's critical, if nothing else, that they use this golden opportunity before them to begin cleaning up the corruption that hampers the democratic process and disenfranchises thousands of legal citizens. PLEASE... Move forward with this!
EXHIBIT A - ACCURATE POLLING IN RACES FROM 2 NOVEMBER 2010(*)
Toomey/Sestak RCP Average 10/24 - 10/31 -- 49.5 45.0 Toomey +4.5 PPP (D) 10/30 - 10/31 772 LV 51 46 Toomey +5 Morning Call Tracking 10/28 - 10/31 474 LV 48 44 Toomey +4 Quinnipiac 10/25 - 10/30 1244 LV 50 45 Toomey +5 Rasmussen Reports 10/28 - 10/28 750 LV 50 46 Toomey +4 McClatchy/Marist 10/26 - 10/28 461 LV 52 45 Toomey +7 Susquehanna 10/24 - 10/27 800 LV 46 44 Toomey +2Toomey won by 2%.
Boxer/Fiorina race RCP Average 10/26 - 10/31 -- 48.3 43.3 Boxer +5.0 PPP (D) 10/29 - 10/31 882 LV 50 46 Boxer +4 SurveyUSA 10/26 - 10/31 587 LV 46 38 Boxer +8 Rasmussen Reports 10/27 - 10/27 750 LV 49 46 Boxer +3"The AP called the race as Boxer took a lead of 48 percent to 46 percent, with 15 percent of precincts reporting."
Rubio/Crist/Meek RCP Average 10/25 - 10/31 -- 47.0 30.0 19.2 Rubio +17.0 PPP (D) 10/30 - 10/31 773 LV 47 30 21 Rubio +17 Sunshine State News/VSS 10/29 - 10/31 1527 LV 48 31 20 Rubio +17 Quinnipiac 10/25 - 10/31 925 LV 45 31 18 Rubio +14 Rasmussen Reports 10/27 - 10/27 750 LV 50 30 16 Rubio +20 Mason-Dixon 10/25 - 10/27 625 LV 45 28 21 Rubio +17Rubio won by 19%.
Marco Rubio REP 2,604,892 (49.00%) Kendrick B. Meek DEM 1,070,242 (20.13%)
Kirk/Giannoulias RCP Average 10/18 - 10/31 -- 44.8 41.5 Kirk +3.3 PPP (D) 10/30 - 10/31 814 LV 46 42 Kirk +4 FOX News/POR-Rasmussen 10/30 - 10/30 1000 LV 46 42 Kirk +4 Chicago Tribune 10/18 - 10/22 700 LV 44 41 Kirk +3 Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon 10/18 - 10/20 625 LV 43 41 Kirk +2Kirk won by 2%.
Kirk (R) 1,749,941 48.4% Giannoulias (D) 1,667,527 46.1%( source)
Blumenthal/ McMahonRCP Average 10/24 - 10/31 — 53.0 44.3 Blumenthal +8.7 Rasmussen Reports 10/31 - 10/31 750 LV 53 46 Blumenthal +7 Quinnipiac 10/25 - 10/31 930 LV 53 44 Blumenthal +9 PPP (D) 10/27 - 10/29 759 LV 54 43 Blumenthal +11 CT Capitol Report/MRG 10/24 - 10/26 1846 LV 52 44 Blumenthal +8Blumenthal by 8%
Johnson/Feingold RCP Average 10/25 - 10/28 — 52.7 45.0 Johnson +7.7 McClatchy/Marist 10/26 - 10/28 491 LV 52 45 Johnson +7 PPP (D) 10/26 - 10/28 1372 LV 53 44 Johnson +9 Rasmussen Reports 10/25 - 10/25 750 LV 53 46 Johnson +7Johnson by 5%
Coons/O’Donnell RCP Average 10/14 - 10/27 — 53.0 39.0 Coons +14.0 Monmouth University 10/25 - 10/27 1171 LV 51 41 Coons +10 Fairleigh Dickinson 10/20 - 10/26 797 LV 57 36 Coons +21 Rasmussen Reports 10/14 - 10/14 500 LV 51 40 Coons +11Coons by 16%
Burr/Marshall RCP Average 10/12 - 10/31 — 50.3 37.5 Burr +12.8 PPP (D) 10/29 - 10/31 847 LV 52 40 Burr +12 SurveyUSA 10/22 - 10/25 590 LV 53 38 Burr +15 Civitas (R) 10/18 - 10/20 600 LV 44 34 Burr +10 Rasmussen Reports 10/12 - 10/12 500 LV 52 38 Burr +14Burr by 12%
These demonstrate the veracity of the polling mechanisms. All margin of victories closely matched the leadup polling.
EXHIBIT B: POLLING AND RESULT OF NEVADA SENATE RACE, 2 NOVEMBER 2010(*)
RCP Average 10/25 - 10/31 48.0 45.3 Angle +2.7 --------------------------------------------------------------- PPP (D) 10/30 - 10/31 682 LV 47 46 Angle +1 FOX News/POR-Rasmussen 10/30 - 10/30 1000 LV 48 45 Angle +3 LVRJ/Mason-Dixon 10/25 - 10/27 625 LV 49 45 Angle +4 Rasmussen Reports 10/25 - 10/25 750 LV 49 45 Angle +4 CNN/Time 10/20 - 10/26 773 LV 49 45 Angle +4 Rasmussen Reports 10/17 - 10/17 750 LV 50 47 Angle +3 LVRJ/Mason-Dixon 10/11 - 10/12 625 LV 48 46 Angle +2 Rasmussen Reports 10/11 - 10/11 750 LV 49 48 Angle +1<
Result: Angle -5 ( source )
Counted Ballots 11/2 45 50 Angle -5
7 polls by professional and reputable pollsters are off by an average of 7.7% And we are to lend credibility to this result? Not one poll, not two. SEVEN, each with a typically small MOE.
It's in Sharron's hands at this moment, but from what I've seen in the past - Rossi/Gregoire (2004) was enough. I say Franken/Coleman (2008) - was enough to convince me of enough.
It's time for accountability and action.
*All polls in this and previous posts by lexinom and Black_Shark are from Real Clear Politics. All credit is to be given to them and their team for compiling this data. We are just copying it here for evidence.
The close ones are inside the Democrat fraud margin.
Evidently the casinos pretty much tried to force employees to vote Reid. As a big thank you to same casinos, I won’t be traveling to Vegas again until Reid is gone. Let casino owners reap what they sow.
Interestingly, I was over at Reno Republican HQ on Sunday afternoon and their phone polling had Angle ahead 4-5%. (They try hard to keep their phone polls at 50% each Dim and Rep.)
Just way too much of a swing between junior and papa for me to believe.
I’ve been saying since the last debate that this race would be stolen by Reid’s army of union, street and mog thugs and/or their lawyers. The reason I said it is because of how unprepared, uncaring and nonchalant Re the debate. The fix was in by then.
The rats started busing illegals into vote at secret polling places since the beginning of early voting. Most were bussed from the casinos and hotels where they work. Pubs should have been watching for this but they didn’t even notice it for four days, and then all they did was file a complaint with the SOS. Then their were the machines switching votes to Reid. They should have gone to court to have those machines seized immediately. They did nothing.
They’re a bunch of lame pollyanna pubs who need to buy a clue before they run again. Any decent candidate could have beaten Reid with a half-way competent ground game.
Of all the senate losses, this is the stupidest one of all. We got exactly the number of gains I said and the races I said, except for Kirk. I thought it would be Buck because the IL corruption machine would steal it for Giannoulias, which could still happen if they sue. If we get Buck and the Kirk win sticks, I’ll be off by one, but right now Buck’s lead is collapsing.
I think conservatives have good thoughts and great values, and that’s why it’s hard for us to really look at and grasp how evil these people are and the lengths they’ll go to to stay in power. We expect fairness and the best from others because that’s what we strive for. That’s what the voice in our hearts tell us is right. We have ethics.
We are also naive.
Son Rory is the Clark County Commissioner in charge of vote tabulation!
He threw his own kid under the bus to maintain his (illegitimate) seat. GOP was on the bus with him however, just like in DEL. That’s OK, Rand is just our camel’s nose under the tent. The GOP better wake up, the tea party is on it’s way.
Of interest:
SzaboServices News: Nevada voting machines automatically checking ...
26 Oct 2010 ... Clark County is where three quarters of Nevada’s residents and live and where Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid’s son Rory is a county commissioner. Rory is also a Democratic ... Should they really be responsible for tabulating the votes? ... The House is duty-bound to Bring Articles of Impea. ...
szaboservices.blogspot.com/.../nevada-voting-machines-automatically.html - Cached
Voting machines and scanners should be impounded immediately.
Well, it would be interesting if Harry Reid were to be impeached, as the Senate doesn’t impeach Senators — they are expelled.
I had a minor dispute with someone over this issue last week. So, I telephoned the Senate Historical Office. They said Senators are expelled — never impeached in that deliberative body.
Here’s their number: 1(202)224-6900; ask for Betty Koed.
Just thought you might like to know.
Yep. The little dork is a chip off the old man’s block.
We needed a better candidate - not to overcome Reid’s record but to overcome his fraud and corruption machine. A large enough lead would have made it impossible to steal.
When dealing with scum like Reid, you need to be bullet-proof and you need pros.
Please look at this: Rory is DIRTY and with a new REP Gov. on NV we can all hope things get very interesting.
http://sweetness-light.com/archive/problems-with-nvs-seiu-voting-machines The service agreement with SEIU was on page 74 of the contract!
Of course they cheated, and of course Reid didn’t really win.
Venezuela knows a lot about stealing elections and Diebold Seq
The 46: SEIU Visits Venezuela?
17 Jan 2009 ... SEIU Visits Venezuela? The pilgramage of leftists who cater to Chavez is nothing new, but why is the SEIU sending people down there. ...
46in08.blogspot.com/2009/01/seiu-visits-venezuela.html
Compromised by Diebold, Damschroder Comes Out Against Testing The ...
29 Oct 2010 ... Could it be because the voting machines are their last possible way of holding on to power in Ohio? See Also: Diebold rep gave $10000 to county GOP ... Hoffman and Bryan Clark working inside the ODP does NOT help at all, ...
The SEIU, Harry Reid, And Voting Problems - Voting Machines are ...
51 posts - 38 authors - Last post: 26 Oct
Did you know that the SEIU represents the voting machine technicians in Clark County (Las Vegas), ..... More like Stalinist Russia meets Louis XVI. ... this is total B.S.! first we have Sequoia voting machines straight from Venezuela! ... Harvard “Larry” Lomax, Clark County Registrar of Voters: ...
www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2615112/posts?page=94 - Cached
Yeah, the difference between the Republican Governor win and Dirty Harry winning got my attention. Will Obama’s boy Holder do anything?
The Unions, Casinos, and Reid machine stole this one clearly.
On a related note, I also called for a full and extensive conservative boycott of the state of Nevada. I was flamed a bit, but I stand by it. As the only way to kill the beast is to starve it. As far as I am concerned Las Vegas can turn into Dingyville.
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