Skip to comments.2012 electoral map — as it stands
Posted on 04/21/2011 12:48:04 PM PDT by library user
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That’s a VERY doable scenario. I’ll be pretty surprised if OH goes Obama again-—but then I was stunned last time.
I hate that my state is safe D.
Why make the choice so difficult for Obama! No way he could beat out a good Ham Sandwich! Especially with so many going hungry these days.
NJ will vote Republican in the current environment; Obama’s policies have not accomplished anything here, while we recently elected a well-established fiscal conservative to the governor’s mansion. In fact, I don’t think any “safe Democrat” states even exist; those states are the ones suffering the worst right now, and they’re not going to overlook it out of tradition.
Thats so bad it borders on dem propaganda. Does this rediculous report take nationwide pro-republican redistricting into account!
“Dems up 75 points? Whoever did this is definitely playing fast and lose with the numbers, no way in hell this is remotely accurate.”
I agree; in fact, if Obama is the candidate, there is no “safe Democrat” state. None of them are doing well right now, and they’re past trying to make history by electing our first Mulatto president - been there, hated that.
Obama could win in an electoral college landslide, like Wilson in 1912. Sarah Palin wins the Republican nomination and Trump runs as an independent. Popular vote breakdown: Obama 40%, Palin 30%, Trump 30%.
Here are some more things in our favor:
1. Expensive gas
2. Expiration of “Making Work Pay” tax credit
3. Nearly 20% unemployment
4. Obama is no longer “post-racial”; he’s very “racial”
5. Obama’s “youth vote” is still looking for that first job
6. NJ elected Governor Christie, the epitome of a “Taxed Enough Already” candidate if there ever was one.
7. The number of “solid Dem” voters out of work is climbing (public sector union members)
8. Obama still stages public appearances as though we’re in the “Roaring 20s” - the disconnect is apparent to all.
“Ill be pretty surprised if OH goes Obama again-but then I was stunned last time.”
Nothing has happened since then to indicate to Obama that it can ever happen again; even before the 2010 mid-terms, he was slapped down in MA and NJ, which he had won handily. The scales had ALREADY fallen from the voters’ eyes - IN MA & NJ!
There are now more registered Democrats in Texas than registered Republicans. If a significant portion of them vote in state wide elections, they can run the table. Fortunately for Perry, most of them, particularly in Harris County, chose to stay home.
Walker’s favorability has tanked since he started spending hard won GOP political capital on union busting. Kasich too. We’ll see what happens but my guess is that we sacrificed 2 easy senate seat pickups and 28 EVs and probably a whole lot more. Honestly, I don’t think it matters if we run Trump, Palin, Romney, or Mickey Mouse.
That's what keeps me thinking on Trump. How many races would liberals have to abandon to sink tens or hundreds of millions of dollars to hang onto solid blue states. How many real conservatives can I get elected into the House and the Senate while the Democrats prop up Obama, and the Republicans don't have to prop up Trump?
Not going into this thinking I'm going to get backstabbed, I know what Trump is. I know who he is. I don't think anyone would be fooled by Trump (and if they were, they probably wouldn't be surprised either...) The question is: Unlike a typical RINO president, can this (somewhat) outsider actually spark some RINOS in congress to actually challenge the White House, or will they be lining up to pledge their support along with fellow Democrats against those nasty conservatives in Congress?
It doesn't keep me awake at night, but it does keep me thinking.
Oh, and Palin... Fight like a girl, throw down, and challenge. Because in my mind, if Trump is in there, that's undercutting the Huckster and 'I love mandates' Romney, leaving open the field for you to shine.