Indiana and Ohio are SOLID R’s for 2012. Likely Wisconsin, Michigan and PA, too.
NO WAY Obama can win without those.
Also, 0bama not visiting tornado-stricken Virginia and North Carolina recently (instead deciding to fund-raise out west), which killed four times as many people who were killed in the BP drilling accident last year, I can imagine there won’t be much love for him when he campaigns in either of those states.
As a result, I would put both NC and VA in the Lean-R, not tossup.
During the 2010 elections we took control of the Governor's mansion, both the State House and the State Senate. Sent Pat Toomey to Washington to counter the lib Casey, as well as took control of most of the House districts.
Pennsylvania leaning Dem? Not likely!
IF Kasich's number improve. They're deep in the crapper now.
WI, PA, and MI are not Republican states. PA especially is always a teaser, like NJ. Do not count on any of those three states.