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The GOP Still Needs a Candidate (Can any of the present candidates beat Barack Obama?)
National Review ^ | 09/26/2011 | Michael Barone

Posted on 09/26/2011 7:04:44 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

The Republicans’ presidential debate Thursday night sponsored by Fox News and Google gave primary voters and caucus-goers at least one good reason to reject every candidate on the stage. The interesting question now is whether someone else will enter the race — at just about the same point in the election cycle in which Bill Clinton entered the Democratic race in 1991.

The spotlight was hottest on Rick Perry, the frontrunner in national polls since he announced his candidacy in Charleston, S.C., on Aug. 13, the same day that Michele Bachmann won the straw poll in Ames, Iowa.

Perry’s problem was not just that he punted on the tough question of how to respond to a terrorist takeover of nuclear-armed Pakistan. Even the smooth-talking Mitt Romney might have had trouble with that nightmare scenario. And Perry was right to cite our informal alliance with India as a source of leverage.

The problem was that Perry couldn’t respond cogently to utterly predictable questions and was unable to articulate his pre-scripted criticisms of Romney. A case can certainly be made that Romney has flip-flopped on issues. But Perry failed to make it.

Perry defended his order requiring HPV vaccinations by citing his talks with a woman with cervical cancer — but they took place only after his order. He failed to fend off attacks on his criticisms of Social Security in his book Fed Up!, saying he was only endorsing the longtime exemption from the program for state and local public employees.

He failed to explain why Texas, with its large legal- and illegal-immigrant and young populations, has a high percentage of people without health insurance.

He was eloquent in defending Texas’s in-state college tuition for children of illegal aliens, but his stand is hugely unpopular with Republicans outside Texas. And he failed to point out that it helped him win a respectable 38 percent from Latino voters in the 2010 election.

Mitt Romney clearly benefited from his greater experience over the years and his superior preparation in recent weeks. But he also benefited from the fact that no one challenged him convincingly on claims that he is unlikely to be able to sustain.

He sloughed off Perry’s accurate charge that he supported the Obama administration’s Race to the Top education program — a defensible position, but not a popular one for Republicans.

He repeated now what has been his standard defense of his Massachusetts health-care program. But someday someone is going to nail him on his insistence that its individual mandate to buy insurance covers only 8 percent of the population. It actually applies to everyone.

He avoided Perry’s claim that he deleted defenses of the program from the paperback edition of his book. He won’t be able to deftly dodge that forever.

If he overtakes Perry in the polls — a likely possibility after the Texan’s stumbling performance — he will likely become the piñata for the rest of the field, a role he figured to play before Perry entered the race.

None of the other seven candidates on the stage made a convincing case for advancing to the top tier. The closest was Rick Santorum, who was eloquent and knowledgeable on foreign policy. But his answer on gays in the military was cringe-inducing for people on all sides of the issue.

Michele Bachmann refused to back down from her statement relaying the claim of a woman who approached her saying that the HPV vaccine caused retardation in her child. Bachmann has made headway by championing the instincts of ordinary hardworking citizens over the supposed wisdom of experts. But on vaccinations the experts are right.

Pundits are fixated on designating a frontrunner, but the polls in this race — witness Romney’s rise and fall and Perry’s rise — have all the solidity of cotton candy. Bachmann’s numbers peaked in July, Herman Cain’s in June, Ron Paul’s and Newt Gingrich’s in May — and not at high levels. Santorum’s haven’t peaked at all.

Could another candidate give a better performance than Perry and deliver more sustainable responses than Romney? To judge from their performances in various public and private venues, the answer is yes for Mitch Daniels, Paul Ryan, and Chris Christie.

Each has taken himself out of the race. Each still has time to get in. Most voters are ready to reject Barack Obama. But not necessarily for one of those on the stage Thursday night.

— Michael Barone, senior political analyst for the Washington Examiner, is a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, a Fox News Channel contributor, and a co-author of The Almanac of American Politics


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: candidates; gop; potus; primary
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1 posted on 09/26/2011 7:04:53 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Cain or Romney can beat him...


2 posted on 09/26/2011 7:07:06 AM PDT by Fawn (No TO PERRY!!!!!!!!!)
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To: SeekAndFind

“The GOP Still Needs a Candidate (Can any of the present candidates beat Barack Obama?) “
*************************

Y’mean BESIDES RP?????


3 posted on 09/26/2011 7:07:19 AM PDT by gunnyg ("A Constitution changed from Freedom, can never be restored; Liberty, once lost, is lost forever...)
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To: SeekAndFind

People should STOP asking can the candidate beat Obama and START asking would it make much difference if they did.


4 posted on 09/26/2011 7:09:25 AM PDT by PaleoBob
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To: SeekAndFind

Who? oh, Herman Cain? never mind him or the fact that he cleaned the clocks of Perry and Romney (Republican’s top picks before they imploded), we need someone who can win...


5 posted on 09/26/2011 7:10:04 AM PDT by dps.inspect (the system is rigged...)
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To: SeekAndFind
I have the greatest respect for Michael Barone but he must be losing it...
6 posted on 09/26/2011 7:11:09 AM PDT by Doofer ("If debt is the problem, how is more debt the solution"?)
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To: SeekAndFind

Who couldn’t beat him?

Ok, probably Romney. How do you beat Zero on his obamacare record when you supported it.

But even an empty orange juice can could beat him.


7 posted on 09/26/2011 7:11:23 AM PDT by cableguymn
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To: SeekAndFind
I'm hoping for none other than Sarah Palin as the next President of the United States ...

A reading of her two books is highly recommended, and watching the Sarah Palin documentary "The Undefeated" is too. That film's trailer is at

http://victoryfilmgroup.com/theundefeatedmovie/

8 posted on 09/26/2011 7:13:46 AM PDT by OldNavyVet (One trillion days, at 365 days per year, is 2,739,726,027 years ... almost 3 billion years)
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To: PaleoBob; SeekAndFind
People should STOP asking can the candidate beat Obama and START asking would it make much difference if they did.

It won't, the real power in this country is with the Federal Reserve and the Banksters.

9 posted on 09/26/2011 7:14:49 AM PDT by Doofer ("If debt is the problem, how is more debt the solution"?)
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To: SeekAndFind

Ruprecht, the monkey boy,a Steve Martin Character from Dirty Rotten Scoundrels, could beat Obama and the MSM know it but the media will NEVER say it.

Obama is “dead Man Walking’..


10 posted on 09/26/2011 7:14:49 AM PDT by Le Chien Rouge
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To: SeekAndFind

She’s ineluctable.


11 posted on 09/26/2011 7:16:04 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Palin is coming, and the Tea Party is coming with her.)
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To: Fawn

Any of them can beat Obama just by asking “Are you better off now than you were four years ago?” Barone is an establishment Republican, trying to pick our candidate. There’s a lot of time left for the candidates to stop picking on each other, and start making a coherent case for ridding ourselves of Obama.


12 posted on 09/26/2011 7:16:47 AM PDT by hsalaw
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To: SeekAndFind
Michael Barone pretty much says that the door is open for a genuine conservative to enter the GOP primary race and win the nomination. I hope Sarah Palin reads this. The leftmedia has made turned the meme that 'Palin can't win' into a shibboleth that holds no real substance, as some recent polls showed. Obama is falling fast in polls and I believe America is ready to dump him as president the same way American dumped Jimmy Carter in 1980. Sarah Palin has all the attributes needed to defeat Obama in 2012 and the left knows it, which is why she has been their target for the past 3 years. It hasn't worked the way the left thought it would. Palin is still standing tall, retains a lot of popularity with the Republican base and if she is the GOP nominee, she'll win. I expect Sarah Palin to declare her candidacy very soon...and I can hardly wait.
13 posted on 09/26/2011 7:18:31 AM PDT by Jim Scott ( "Game On!" - Sarah Palin)
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To: Doofer
It won't, the real power in this country is with the Federal Reserve and the Banksters.

So that would mean Ron Paul for real change. BTW, I can't handle his foreign polity - but he makes some sense to me when he discusses "The Fed"

Cain knows a thing or two about The Fed.

14 posted on 09/26/2011 7:20:05 AM PDT by Aria ( "If we ever forget that we're one nation under God, then we will be a nation gone under.")
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To: SeekAndFind

HA! More likely there is not a single candidate on that stage that would lose to Obama. Not necessarily because they are all awesome candidates, but because Obama and his administration have done such a thorough job of destroying his own elect-ability. Obama's shrill cry of "pass the bill" is a last ditch effort by his handlers to fleece the taxpayers one last time before he is ousted. Michele Bachmann said it best when she relayed on stage that for once we don't have to settle. We get to put a real conservative in the Executive Office. Unless, of course, the spineless Republicans let the fear mongering get to them. If we only set the bar at "better than Romney", we still lose -- we throw away what for many of us will be a once in a lifetime opportunity.


15 posted on 09/26/2011 7:20:33 AM PDT by so_real ( "The Congress of the United States recommends and approves the Holy Bible for use in all schools.")
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To: SeekAndFind

We need a candidate who could beat Hillary plus a third party candidate.
We can’t set back and think we got it won since BO is so scuzzy. The dems are really wanting rid of him.
Someone will come up with the prize that will make him decide not to run. I am sure they have some evidence that could put him in prison if they wanted to make it public.
They just need Hillary to say yes.


16 posted on 09/26/2011 7:23:10 AM PDT by IceAge
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To: cableguymn

The media desperately wants us to call for more RINOs in the race.


17 posted on 09/26/2011 7:23:47 AM PDT by cripplecreek (A vote for Amnesty is a vote for a permanent Democrat majority. ..Choose well.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Perry/Rubio can beat Obama.


18 posted on 09/26/2011 7:23:48 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: so_real

this is ridiculous with obama’s ratings in the toilet.


19 posted on 09/26/2011 7:24:58 AM PDT by television is just wrong
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To: SeekAndFind

Oh, sure... almost every one (if not every one) of the current and potential candidates can, and likely would, beat Obama.

Is that really the point, though? We’re running headlong into a collapse, accelerated but not entirely caused by Obama’s recklessness. We need someone who is capable of putting on the brakes and stopping it.

To that end, most, if not all of the current GOP candidates are lacking. Those who have the desire don’t have the experience to show that they can follow through. Those who have the experience haven’t demonstrated the desire or will to take on the system.


20 posted on 09/26/2011 7:27:34 AM PDT by kevkrom (This space for rent.)
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