Posted on 10/11/2011 8:23:03 AM PDT by tcrlaf
Businessman Herman Cain ties former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney as the leading choice of Virginia Republicans for their presidential nomination with 21 percent each, followed by Texas Gov. Rick Perry with 11 percent, less than half his showing a month ago when he had led the pack, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
President Barack Obama's job approval and re-election numbers remain seriously under water in Virginia, although he is in a statistical tie with Romney and Cain, while holding a narrow lead over Perry, in general election matchups, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe- ack) University poll finds.
In Virginia's U.S. Senate race, Tim Kaine and George Allen are too close to call, with 44 percent for the Republican Allen and 45 percent for the Democrat Kaine. There has not been more than a 1 percent difference between them in any of Quinnipiac University's three surveys so far this year.
"In 2012 general election matchups among all Virginia voters:
President Obama gets 44 percent to Romney's 45 percent; Obama gets 45 percent to Cain's 43 percent; Obama leads Perry 47 - 42 percent.
Obama and his GOP opponents do equally well among their own party members, but independent voters go to Romney 48 - 39 percent over Obama and back Cain 45 - 39 percent over the president. Obama gets 44 percent of independent voters to Perry's 43 percent.
There is a gender gap in each race. Women back Obama:
47 - 41 percent over Romney; 48 - 37 percent over Cain: 49 - 37 percent over Perry. Virginia men go Republican against the president: 50 - 41 percent for Romney; 50 - 42 percent for Cain; 47 percent for Perry to 45 percent for Obama.
Businessman Herman Cain ties former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney as the leading choice of Virginia Republicans for their presidential nomination with 21 percent each, followed by Texas Gov. Rick Perry with 11 percent
This is starting to turn into a REALLY great day. I hope that both Cain and Perry continue tonight to debate true to form for each man. It should help continue the current trend. Question, who is out of the race first; Bachmann, Perry or Santorum and who (in the top tier) will it help most?
Polls will see-saw until we get to the Conventions. Intangible factors can change their direction almost daily.
and Romney is about to be taken out with evidence that Obamacare was built on his blueprint
Not surprising or unusual...
Today is Perry’s last chance. If he fails to convince, he is out and it is Cain-Romney race.
Can Perry put together more than one coherent sentence in the same answer ? I think he is ok in the first 30 min, then it gets difficult to remember all the nice lines his aides told him to say.
Today is Perry’s last chance. If he fails to convince, he is out and it is Cain-Romney race.
Can Perry put together more than one coherent sentence in the same answer ? I think he is ok in the first 30 min, then it gets difficult to remember all the nice lines his aides told him to say.
Now see, this is all problematic to me.
Cain, I can vote for.
Perry, I have some issues with, but I can still vote for him.
I can not vote for Romney, neither can a lot of people I know, for a variety of reasons, so why the push to make him the front runner?
Never mind, I just answered my own question.
Let’s play some games: Say Bachmann’s 6% and Santorum’s 1% go to Herman, and that Gingrich’s 8% is split evenly. Then it seems like the swing percentages will be Perry’s. If he doesn’t slam the debate tonight, I look for his numbers to collapse and his supporters to go to either Cain or Romney . . . but which?
“I look for his numbers to collapse and his supporters to go to either Cain or Romney . . . but which?”
I think that most of them will whine loud and long here and elsewhere but will quietly vote (reluctantly) for Herman Cain. Some will pull a Paulista and not vote at all. One or two dead-enders will write in Perrys’ name.
In the end Herman will be the nominee 60/40 over Romney.
The dropping like a rock trend line says Perry will be long gone, single digit, fat lady is warming up.!
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