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Panelists Predict Third Party in 2012 Presidential Election
Harvard Crimson ^ | 11/08/11 | Dillon van Auken

Posted on 11/08/2011 5:57:59 AM PST by TigerLikesRooster

Panelists Predict Third Party in 2012 Presidential Election

By Dillon van Auken, CONTRIBUTING WRITER

Published: Tuesday, November 08, 2011

Harvard Institute of Politics holds a forum called “Campaign 2012: How Americans Will Select Their Next President,” which focus on the possiblity of a third party option in the upcoming presidential election.

A third party candidate might have a much better shot at winning the 2012 presidential election than most citizens believe, experts in campaign media and communications said at the Institute of Politics on Monday.

The speakers identified Americans’ growing discontent with Washington partisanship and gridlock in Congress as factors that make a third party ticket more viable.

“People always say about a third party when we bring this up, ‘Oh, this isn’t going to happen,” said Mark McKinnon, former chief media advisor to President George W. Bush’s campaigns and a fellow at the Harvard Kennedy School. “Just because it hasn’t happened in American politics doesn’t mean it won’t now.”

Karen E. Tumulty, a political correspondent for the Washington Post, said that principles matter to today’s voters more than party membership.

“It feels like the center of gravity of politics has changed,” Tumulty said.

She noted that the Consumer Confidence Index, which measures citizens’ outlook on the economy, is currently at a low which it last reached in 1980 and 1992—both years in which an incumbent president was thrown out of office.

Each of those years also saw campaigns by significant third party candidates: John B. Anderson in 1980 and H. Ross Perot in 1992.

(Excerpt) Read more at thecrimson.com ...


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 3rdparty; election2012; liberal

1 posted on 11/08/2011 5:58:03 AM PST by TigerLikesRooster
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To: TigerLikesRooster

I predict a brokered Republican Convention.


2 posted on 11/08/2011 5:59:14 AM PST by Galtoid ( .)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Anyone but Obama. He sucks.


3 posted on 11/08/2011 6:06:02 AM PST by Recovering_Democrat
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To: Galtoid

due to the new rules I think that will happen too.

I am not usually a big 3rd party proponent, but I will never vote for Romney, and if Romney somehow takes this, and a viable worthy 3rd party option is offered, I will vote 3rd party, if not I will just stay home.

Because Romney would be worse than Obama, because he is just as liberal as Obama, but could do more damage because the Republicans in congress wouldn’t fight as hard against his policies because he has an “R” after his name.


4 posted on 11/08/2011 6:07:39 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Cain 2012!)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Amen to that, brother. I’d sooner vote for Wrong Paul on a third-party ticket than Mitt Romney.


5 posted on 11/08/2011 6:35:08 AM PST by Cato in PA (The Herminator 2: Judgment Day 2012)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

BO’s fellow Marxists at Harvard will be promoting this scenario.That is his ticket to keeping the presidency another four years, just as Clinton would not have been president if Ross Perot had not run on a third party ticket.


6 posted on 11/08/2011 6:37:36 AM PST by txrefugee
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To: txrefugee

0bama cannot win in a two way race and he doesn’t intend to run a two way race.

His entire political career consists of eliminating his opponents (or having the media do it for him) and running unopposed.

We’re seeing this happen with Cain, though I don’t think he’ll succeed. This 3rd party candidate route is another facet of his strategy.


7 posted on 11/08/2011 6:39:41 AM PST by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter knows whom he's working for)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

As long as it is a Left-wing third party - Green or Social(ist) Democrat or something like that. That would guarantee that Obama loses.

A right wing third party would guarantee an Obama win. If I were a Evil Democrat Mastermind (but I repeat myself), I’d be funding a “Tea Party” presidential ticket with just that in mind.


8 posted on 11/08/2011 6:44:46 AM PST by Little Ray (FOR the best Conservative in the Primary; AGAINST Obama in the General.)
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To: Cato in PA
"I’d sooner vote for Wrong Paul on a third-party ticket than Mitt Romney."

I did that last primary election- by the time TX primary got here, the lib crossovers had eliminated ALL conservatives from the ticket, leaving only RP, Juan McCain, and Mike Huckleby.

9 posted on 11/08/2011 6:45:30 AM PST by matthew fuller ((1) fully fund defense, (2) transform entitlement programs, and (3) do not raise taxes!)
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To: txrefugee
Clinton would not have been president if Ross Perot had not run on a third party ticket.

NONSENSE. Here is correct way to phrase your statment: Perot or no Perot if George Bush had not lied and raised taxes Clinton would not have been president. Your error is corrected.

10 posted on 11/08/2011 6:49:58 AM PST by Captain Kirk
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To: TigerLikesRooster

This may all be part of Sarah’s plan.


11 posted on 11/08/2011 6:52:58 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (The enemy of my enemy is my candidate.<sup>®</sup>)
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To: Cato in PA

This could be right. I speak in favor of a 3rd Party but this is not how to do it. It must be built up slowly with a whole range of candidates—not just a White House bid like Ross Perot (But he did have some good ideas and dire predictions that have come true). If Mitt is forced down our throats like McCain, Dole etc... (The Loser of the week) then we might be forced into this dark, 3rd Party place. IF, and I do mean IF, we are forced down this path we should do it deliberately and with thought, not as an emotional response. No Ron Paul, he’s a nut with few good ideas. We must look to the Tea Party people to find someone who can lead us. Maybe Herman Cain? Maybe even Draft Sarah Palin?
Before that day comes we should, on the right:
1. Work to block Mitt Romney from the ticket—Vote Cain, Perry, etc...
2. Work with everything we can to start a Forth Leftist Party (Green-Communist-Progressive) and see if Hillary will lead this group or Jerry Brown or some other Liberal. The only reason the MSM want a 3rd Party is to get Obama Re-elected—break the left in two so its a four party election and that will stop this. (Think election of 1860)
3. Redouble efforts to find scandals linking Obama to corruption—I don’t believe this will be hard now. We must find real cause for people to dump him.
4. Look to keep the Tea Party alive in the face of the OWS demonstrations this Spring. Don’t let this movement die or the other side wins.
5. Keep finding more dirt on the OWS demonstrations and show them to be bankrupt ex-Hippies with an anti-American Message. This is real Astroturf.
6. Keep influencing the GOP and keep her on the right path. Support Right thinking Media like Beck’s Blaze.
7. Lastly—if forced to go 3rd Party—Go all the way. Not a protest but a replacement for the GOP. A Real, viable Party with a solid set of beliefs and a moral fabric. New symbols, new slogans and an agenda. It should be Pro-America, anti PC, Anti-Abortion, anti Illegal, etc... Here many Libertarian ideas might be a help. We must find new leaders not from politics —Military heroes, businessmen, actors who are right thinkers, sports heroes, etc...


12 posted on 11/08/2011 7:10:33 AM PST by Forward the Light Brigade (Into the Jaws of H*ll)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Any prediction made by Harvard professors is bound to be wrong. Bet the other way.


13 posted on 11/08/2011 7:17:21 AM PST by mort56
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To: Forward the Light Brigade

This is an excellent plan. I try to keep a level head when talking politics, but Romney’s candidacy frustrates me so much that I guess I lost sight of the finer details in my decision.

I agree that now is the time to start working on a contingency plan such as this in case Slick Willard gets the nod. But why aren’t we hearing more about an organized effort - especially here, where there are so many others who refuse to vote for Romney?

I’d think planting the seeds for an OWS party would be a good campaign strategy regardless of who the Republican nominee is.


14 posted on 11/08/2011 7:43:33 AM PST by Cato in PA (The Herminator 2: Judgment Day 2012)
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15 posted on 11/08/2011 7:44:53 AM PST by TheOldLady (FReepmail me to get ON or OFF the ZOT LIGHTNING ping list)
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To: Forward the Light Brigade

We need a ‘50% + 1’ system...a MAJORITY of voters REJECTED Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996, yet he served two terms. Would a ‘50% + 1’ system had given us different results? It’s possible. (in 1992, Perot eliminated; Bush vs. Clinton for all the marbles.)


16 posted on 11/08/2011 7:51:30 AM PST by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: TigerLikesRooster
Hillary Clinton might jump in ... that's possible. Other than that, this article is about a bunch of democrats with their dream scenario....
17 posted on 11/08/2011 8:02:41 AM PST by GOPJ ( Democrats are the only reason to vote for Republicans.... Will Rogers)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

I think they are right. We could even see this split into 4 parties.

I think if the GOP forces Romney on us the Tea Party will say “no thanks” and run their own candidate in November. They will have come to realize that they can’t make any headway so long as the GOP establishment is always there waiting to shiv them in the back. So they’ll take them out and the party will start to wither when Mitt finishes third.

I also think it possible that the unions will exploit the OWS protests to try and start their own Labo(u)r Party. Particularly in view of reports that Wall Street has made more money in 2 1/2 yrs. under Obama than under eight of George Bush.


18 posted on 11/08/2011 8:16:05 AM PST by Buckeye McFrog
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To: who knows what evil?
We need a ‘50% + 1’ system

Be careful what you wish for. That is getting dangerously close to the Instant Runoff voting system being pushed by so many Progressives. And they would not be shilling for it if it did not tend to elect moonbats most of the time.
19 posted on 11/08/2011 8:17:54 AM PST by Buckeye McFrog
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