Skip to comments.Back On Top: Mitt Surges Ahead In New Poll As Half Of GOP Think He Will Be The Nominee
Posted on 11/13/2011 6:21:46 PM PST by Steelfish
Back On Top: Mitt Surges Ahead In New Poll As Half Of GOP Think He Will Be The Nominee By DAILY MAIL REPORTER 13th November 2011
Mitt Romney has a growing lead in the race for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination with almost half of the party's voters expect him to be the nominee.
Twenty-eight per cent of Republicans backed the former Massachusetts governor, giving him a lead of eight percentage points over his nearest challenger Herman Cain in a Reuters/Ipsos poll, taken November 10-11. Romney was five percentage points ahead in a survey November 7-8.
'Most presidential': Almost half of Republicans believe he will be the face of the GOP, but critics still think he's too liberal Newt Gingrich, the U.S. House of Representatives speaker in the mid-1990s, solidified a recent rise among conservatives seeking an alternative to the more moderate Romney, coming in third place in the current poll with 16 per cent, Reuters reports. Gingrich, who is seen as having performed well in recent debates, was viewed as the second-most 'presidential' of the Republican hopefuls, according to the poll.
Whether or not they support him, almost half of the Republicans surveyed expect Romney to become the nominee to oppose President Barack Obama, a Democrat, in the November 2012 election.
Romney, who also ran for president in 2008, has been in first or second place in polls for months and enjoys by far the most campaign funds of the Republican field. But some in his party see him as too liberal, and he has so far failed to significantly boost his level of support in polls.
The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll, however, shows he is benefiting from missteps by his rivals.
(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...
Not sure of that but hope you are right. I am a believer in primaries and let best person win etc. Where it breaks down IMO is when there is someone like Romney that can take advantage of the system and possibly get in. Plus dem dirty tricks will come into play as well during primaries.
There’s the fact the party has open primaries in a number of states and the Left can and will pick the GOP nominee... Slick Willard, of course.
Slick Willard does not need to break out. With Cain, Perry, Newt & Paul in the race and dividing the other 75% votes, Slick Willard has a clear road to victory.
Republican Party convention delegates are chosen according to a winner-take-all system. It doesn’t matter if only a minority of the Party favors Romney. As long as he finishes first in a given state, he will get ALL of that state’s delegates. The system is stacked in Mittens’ favor. He doesn’t even have to capture a majority of the GOP vote. All he has to do is come in first on the ballot.
See what a lot of money and PR will get you. You can write your own ads.
BTW, here's an UPDATED state by state color-coded map with the latest polling percentages, delegates, etc..
Click on each state for the FUN details or just scroll down at:
Btw, my wife and I are flying into Iowa Monday to work in the Cain campaign as we did for Bachmann at the Ames straw poll this past summer, and of course, Huck in '07-'08. Going for THREE IOWA wins in a row -- Nicest folks in the country, those hard working Iowans. (c;P
Cain/Huck 2012 ..or Cain/Anyone except Romney, Huntsman, or Paul
After IA, NV, NH, SC and FL have voted we will know many things that we can’t know now. I expect that the top three vote-getters at that point will be Cain, Mitt and Newt with Cain well ahead of Newt.
If that is correct then we Cainiacs can then approach our conservative brethren and start discussing with them their need for a come-to-Herman experience.
If the fact are different from this then the conversation will be different.
No, Mitt will never drop out no matter what. He will compete with organization, energy, and scads of money in every primary.
We will have to beat him long and hard.
Campaign Projected Delegates
Yup. I think Romney is unbeatable in states with open primaries. The liberals will come out and pull the lever for him because there’s no contest for the Democratic presidential nomination.
The only way Mitt can win with less than 30% is if three others all simultaneously and consistently poll in the low 20s (or four in the teens). That seems very unlikely to me. I don't think Ron Paul will poll that high and I think one of the conservatives will pull ahead and then draw an increasing share of the anti-Romney vote.
I will not vote for Romney in the primary, nor will I vote third party in the general. In other words, if he is the Republican nominee, I will vote for him....but I pray it doesn’t come to that.
I don’t think there is a sufficient number of ‘Rats who think that tactically and are willing to get of their butts.
Some, yes, but not enough I don’t think.
2012 Republican Presidential Nomination RCP Average
RCP Average 10/31 - 11/10
Romney Cain Gingrich Perry
22.5 22.0 14.2 9.8
And we know where the lion's share of Perry voters are going if/when he drops out after IA, NH, or SC....
And we know where the lion’s share of Perry voters are going if/when he drops out after IA, NH, or SC....
Romney is the GOP candidate most like Obama, most like Clinton, and most like Jimmy Carter. I might be tempted to describe Mitt as "the most presidential" based on those comparisons, but it would not be a compliment.
Yeah the same poll that told us in 2004 it was going to be "President John Kerry" the day before election day Nice try but nonsense
Gingrich, cause just like their candidate they are GOP bots who will do exactly what their party master’s tell them to do.