Skip to comments.Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (WTH? Hussein rising?)
Posted on 11/14/2011 6:56:26 AM PST by ScottinVA
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 23% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Thirty-eight percent (38%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -15 (see trends).
Thats the presidents best Approval Index rating in three months. Still, most voters continue to favor repeal of his primary legislative accomplishment, the health care law.
The Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the number who Strongly Disapprove from the number who Strongly Approve. It is updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update). Updates are also available on Twitter and Facebook
Overall, 50% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Thats the first time since June that the president has reached the 50% mark. Forty-nine percent (49%) at least somewhat disapprove.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Obama is still going to get 45% of the vote a year from now unless there’s a complete economic collapse... if we’re headed into a depression, his numbers could start caving in. A year is an eternity in the political calendar.
“huge war chest”
His fundraising has been disappointing and way below what he and pundits have been boasting.
It is not recovering. Where do you live?
I work with hundreds of employers and they are still in layoff mode and will not hire due to the DC/Obama crap.
Rasmussin is skewed, I am afraid.
Not a big surprise. The GOP traveling circus (aka the endless debates) is fertile ground for the liberal media to make foolish the GOP as a whole, while taking the focus off Obama. Too many debates, too much GOP infighting is giving Obama the chance to make up ground.
He LEFT the country.... just NOT HEARING his whiny voice for a few days improves his ratings..
Rasmussen is the standard and worth checking every day. I too have watched the rise coming. This Obama guy can get over 50% in 2012, if we are not careful. After all, it is only briefly that he polls, at Ras, under 45. This means with a little tomfoolery he can, in a pinch, rouse up 6% by next November.
This past 10 days sees Perry’s fall and Cain’s peaking and neither has been helpful. These events leave then the spot light on Santorum and Bachman and Gingrich. The first two are seen as too “extreme”, and Newt will get a baggage hit next. This leaves Romney standing. Romney is a bore and an empty suit.
People are voting their pocket book, and if we can’t come up with a fluent, tried and proven conservative candidate who does ECONOMICS and JOBS, and who doesn’t make everyone cringe, we are going to get Romney. Expect that the Perry bashing has sold voters on Romney, I’m afraid.
How much difference is there between Romney and Obama? Heck, that’s why polls in the know are seen this week to be betting on Obama.
what has fundamentally changed for the democrats since the shellacking they endured in November ‘10? If anything, it’s worse today for the democrats, and new scandals are on the horizon, and the economy is worsening. and obama is even asking bubba how to get re-elected. wt*
huge war chest
His fundraising has been disappointing and way below what he and pundits have been boasting.
I haven’t seen that reported, but I hope it is true.
“When that happens its not going to be pretty.”
It won’t be pretty if he loses either. How many inner cities do you think will burn? Me? I’m bringing marshmallows and hotdogs.
That’s why we call the MSM a propaganda arm of the DNC.
Well I think we’re all greatly underestimating something. For the first time in my life that I can ever remember the “tax the rich” “screw them for their success” is not a just a fringe element of people anymore. What I mean by this is I don’t believe it’s just the OWS people. I think there are people you would not expect in your neighborhoods, daily lives, who secretly are angry at the rich and want them punished. I think there is an undercurrent out there in the country where people who have either stayed stagnant in their salaries or have had financial difficulties are blaming the wealthy for it.
I’ve never seen anything like that before in America, and its awful. Point is, I think it’d be unwise for the GOP candidates, and the right overall to dismiss the class warfare angle as a singular radical left wing OWS idea. I think it has gained traction, and I think people who don’t identify with the left or the radicalism of it are actually starting to agree with. Which is terrifying.
Specific economic improvement indicators—please.
Just prove we need someone that will peel away his black support, that can only be done by Cain. Cain/bachmann
2012 will be a year to remember if we survive.
After the media spending the last month talking about the (in their view) sexual harassing, gaffe making, wife divorcing, flip-flopping, iran supporting republicans, I would expect the president to get a bit of a boost.
Like him or not, Newt is right that we only hurt ourselves by attacking each other and not attacking obama.
Another matter that gets overlooked as well... part of that current 49% disapproval includes hardcore libs who don't think he's gone far ENOUGH toward setting America down the path of destruction. They'll bitch up and down about how much of a "disappointment" Obama has been in terms of not delivering the "change" they demanded in 2008, but they'll fall in line... they always do.
It's also important to know the "disappointment" factor permeates not only the left. The most recent FoxNews poll found 52% say they like Obama's ideas, but are disappointed many of them haven't been passed by Congress. The fact many haven't been passed is viewed as good news by FReepers, but we aren't representative of the public at large. We're far more conservative in philosophy.
We're going to know on the morning of the first Wednesday next November as to whether America chose the path of prosperity and freedom, vs. one of government ownership of our lives and future. While I'm not swayed by a single poll result, what I do consider are trends... and the trends show a disturbingly high percentage of Americans aren't quite ready to give up on Obama.
It will be close, but I'm confident in a slim R victory.
I cannot believe some of you people lap up these daily tracking polls the way you do. If Obama and his administration thought they were in such great shape, they wouldn't be asking Clinton for guidance; they wouldn't be going full throttle against Cain...yada....yada.
It's a daily tracking poll for crying out loud. Way too many variables for me to have a conniption fit over.
I swear, the Left must laugh their A$$es off at us.
How is it recovering from the prospect of jobs, which is all the American people care about and rightly so.
If 175-250,000 jobs per month need to be created just to keep pace with new entry’s into the work force and we are creating about 85-110,000 per month, many of those part time and what I call “weak” jobs in low paying fields, where is the improvement?
My take is we are actually LOSING ground as the number of people who want to work and cannot is growing and not shrinking.
While statistically a small percentage of the population, they carry tremendous clout and the money follows. Obama's dismissal of Israel pissed off a lot of high profile money makers, so much so that the White House had to launch an outreach program to smooth things over.
His snarky remarks to Sarkozy aren't playing well, either.
Overall, though, I agree with the sentiment expressed by others. Don't presume this will be a cake-walk. Fight like there is no tomorrow, because if this clown gets a second term, there will be no tomorrow for an America we actually recognize.
I find it amazing that when Ostupid is at -25 with Rasmussen most here jump up and down cheering “he’s toast, we can’t lose, blah, blah, blah”, but when for whatever reason such as he killed bin Laden his negatives with Rass, drop it’s all doom and gloom.
Tell you what, there are some really whacked out people here who seem to live their lives by the minute and haven’t a clue what a long view is and don’t seem to care.
based upon what exactly????
His number have always gone up first of the year, too. People are always optimistic. This is likely just a blip. Other polls are not registering it. We’ll see a bump in January too, and everyone here will have a heart attack. This guy is unlikely to be reelected. Very unlikely. That’s not to say it is not going to be a fight, but we have the upper hand. No one wins reelection when the outlook is this bad. Unless there is real recovery...not .1% changes, but massive improvement, it ain’t happening. The states that went red in 2004 will be red in 2012, plus a couple more.
Rasmussen may be “the most accurate” of the for profit marketing organizations putting out public available “polls.” However, common sense tells you they cannot be accurate or representative knowing what you know. It is more easily explained that such polls match the reality they manufacture then measure the reality that exists.
Especially when the bookies are the ‘educators,’ protecting the house edge via a long production line of ignorant Junior Marxists.
I fear the republican stonewall earlier this year may be Obama's ace of spades. The leeches blame republicans for not passing the freebies bill. This Occupy Wall Street movement is evidence of a huge population of deadbeats and socialists who want free everything. Free college tuition, free free free.
I expect a tough fight for the eventual republican nominee, whoever it may be. America has changed. There's no way Obama should have been elected. Those people have not gone away. If anything, they want more and more freebies because the economy is worse today than when they elected Obama. And republicans are easy to blame.
Firmly I believe that with the fall of faith in the US, that voters can hardly be expected to vote as if it were present and flourishing. It is not.
Our founding principles came by way of a faith filled people, but can not survive in a vaccum. We need to pull out our copy of De Toqueville now. What is happening was no mystery to him, in 1832.
Ive never seen anything like that before in America, and its awful. Point is, I think itd be unwise for the GOP candidates, and the right overall to dismiss the class warfare angle as a singular radical left wing OWS idea. I think it has gained traction, and I think people who dont identify with the left or the radicalism of it are actually starting to agree with. Which is terrifying.
The polls on OWS seem to agree with your sentiments. That stated, the kids and other idiots occupying the camps will almost assuredly overplay their hands. Whether this affects Obama or not will remain to be seen, given the media will surely cover for him.
The people, they are fickle. Don’t panic, and don’t retreat.
Overall, though, I agree with the sentiment expressed by others. Don’t presume this will be a cake-walk. Fight like there is no tomorrow, because if this clown gets a second term, there will be no tomorrow for an America we actually recognize.
Agree...it will be a dogfight. And if he wins, this country will have a serious crisis on its hands. We are really talking loss decade and beyond at that point.
Gas prices are down, and that inverse relationship has been well documented. Warm fall in the Midwest/South/Seaboard also means no need to run the heat or the a/c since late September. It’s a fluke, aided in no small measure by an MSM-ordinated EU cool-off news cycle after Berlie resigned.
A lot can happen in a year. But if you need more certainty, you might as well hide in your bunker now.
Predictably, the hand-wringers and doom-and-gloomers here on FR are WAY, WAY overreacting to an job approval poll that is clearly an OUTLIER from every other approval poll currently out there. And of course the majority here is already throwing up their hands, waving the white flag of surrender, and more-or-less declaring Obama the victor one full year prior to an election. YOU PEOPLE SHOULD BE ASHAMED OF YOURSELVES.
Folks, think about it... Has there been ANY positive news for the country in the past week? NO! Unemployment is still at an alarmingly high 9%, there are still 14 million people out of work, the national debt has increased by $5 TRILLION over the past three years, we’re on the verge of a nuclear Iran, Obama continues to be mired in scandals, etc. etc. Obama’s approval numbers have consistently remained around 44% on every other poll. So did you ever stop to think that perhaps Rasmussen has taken a BAD SAMPLE of popular opinion over the past several days???
But no, too many of you want to panic, give up, and declare Obama unbeatable. It quite frankly MAKES ME SICK and makes me not want to post on Free Republic any longer because I don’t need all this extra negativity in my life.
If there is ever a time to start building a backbone of steel, it’s NOW!!! And QUIT READING AND LISTENING TO THE STATE RUN MEDIA FOR CRYING OUT!! The media is purposefully going to try to depress you. They’re going to try to convince you that the economy is improving when it’s NOT, that Obama’s poll numbers are improving when they AREN’T (Heck, let’s not forget that Jimmy frickin’ Carter had a 54% approval rating in Gallup just 10 months before the 1980 election!), and that the GOP candidates are terrible when they AREN’T! The American people all KNOW things are bad right now. Poll after poll is showing 80% of them think the country is going in the wrong direction and even more think the economy STINKS, for crying out loud!
I’m officially making my prediction right now that OBAMA IS TOAST IN 2012 AND WILL LOSE HIS RE-ELECTION BID IN A LANDSLIDE. That’s right... MARK IT DOWN AND BOOK IT. I also predict that Rasmussen will have Obama’s job approval numbers back around 45% within the next week and may even drop below 40% with the next year. A LOT can and will happen between now and the November 2012 election. We’re gearing up for yet another deficit reduction battle in Congress with the super-committee over the next couple of weeks, which will almost certainly be a drain on Obama like it was this past summer. ObamaCare has a very good chance of being struck down and he will be rightly portrayed as a overreaching president who’s signature piece of legislation was ruled unconstitutional. Greece and Italy is almost certain to default at some point, which will send the U.S. stock markets into a tail spin. The U.S. has a 50-50 chance of lapsing back into another recession during the next year. Would ANY of this make Obama more re-electable??? HELL NO!!
So get a damn grip, people, and START CAMPAIGNING AGAINST OBAMA BY TALKING TO YOUR FAMILY, FRIENDS, AND CO-WORKERS RIGHT NOW!!
I think it is the liberals going back to left vs. right as they do not want a Cain in there. They are mad at obama re; wars and other issues but they’re hackery hate of America trumps common sense partisan politics.
That’s my guess. If this keeps happening, we’ve got a trend. But otherwise, it’s not to be believed. He hasn’t done anything to cause this boost.
At this point people are used to a bad economy.
I am sorry, but anyone who thinks we will just coast to taking him down are ridiculous.
People are only just begging to get a tinge of paying attention and won’t really until May or so...many even later.
I am not surprised Obama is improving a bit, though I would be surprised if he improves a lot here.
Um... the media beating silly his primary Republican opponent comes to mind.
Dirty tricks can be very effective.
“I agree with those of you who think Hussein will pull this off and it might not even be close.
We have weak GOP candidates, ...”
I have been worried about this for quite a while. A bunch of very flawed candidates have emerged thus far from the Republican campaigns, and none of them seems to be able to build a bridge of support between the party’s conservative base and the independents and moderates that are necessary to win the general election. Fortunately, the House will stay comfortably Republican, and there is a decent chance that the Democrats will lose control of the Senate.
They have been on deathwatch for 10 years and are very much alive and kicking. The print media is slowly going away but TV isn’t and the Internet is more powerful and unlike people on FR think, Democrats like the Internet as well.
Good grief. Blaming it on some primary sniping is ridiculous. It is not even Thanksgiving. That’s not an issue at all.
It was just a few days ago that Rasmussen reported that polling for the month of October 2011 was the worst ever for Obama. Nothing has changed that dramatically in the past 2 weeks.
A poll of 1,000 LIKELY VOTERS by the LIBERAL-LEANING Politico/GWU/Battleground polling outfit released today shows Obama’s job approval as follows:
To me, this is just further evidence that Rasmussen’s latest numbers are the result of a BAD SAMPLE and will come back down to earth shortly. I still consider Rasmussen to be the most credible and accurate polling outfit in the market today, but his latest numbers are CLEARLY an outlier:
So RELAX out there, all you panicked apocalyptic FReepers! :-)
First off, remember that polling is a caeer and a lucrative one for the major pollsters. To keep the various groups engaged (spending money on polls) it has to at least appear to be a real neck-n-neck horse race. Next remember that if the "Devil is in the Details" then the details are in the questions driving the polls and how they are phrased in order to raise or lower the desired marks in the stats. That's a pretty mercenary viewpoint, I admit, but I think it's also accurate. Remember the great book: "How to Lie With Statistics?" That's what's pushing the entire polling industry. It's all smoke and mirrors -- especially when it comes to the nefarious and politically lethal EXIT POLLS.
Man, that was a GREAT post!
Best post of the thread, in fact.
As you said, the election is a year away. Alot will happen between now and then, and damn little of it will be good for America, damn little of what happens will be good for the world, and damn little of what happens will be good for Obama.
I agree with you....Obama is TOAST in 2012.
Mandate for Obamacare is coming in 2014. Everybody knows it and it will keep companies from creating positions.
Whatever “recovery” there is will be crushed. I’m not saying the economy won’t recover a bit before 2014, but it will hold back most of any recovery.
Here’s what I’m going to do...and I’ve been a Conservative activist for the past 20 years.
1.Concentrate on helping my Gov. Scott Walker in WI. and also, work for local GOP candidates to keep our senate and assembly GOP majority..
2. Send contributions directly to Conservatives(sorry RNC. You lost me) in other states who are running WHO HAVE A GOOD CHANCE TO BEAT INCUMBENT DEMS.
Like you say riverdawg, we have to remember that there is so much more at stake here that the Presidency...and many other ways to make a difference in ‘12.
I agree with your assessment about the candidates. It’s depressing, isn’t it?