Posted on 11/19/2011 12:12:20 AM PST by Rick_Michael
If the election were held today, Romney would earn 29% of the vote and Gingrich would earn 27%. Texas Congressman Ron Paul continues to show resolve by earning 16%. Herman Cain gets 10%. No other candidate is in double digits.
WHY GINGRICH IS GAINING
When asked why people felt Gingrich was moving up in the polls, 44% of respondents cited his depth of knowledge on the issues. Ten percent referred to his strong debate performances while another 6% said they liked that he was challenging the media in those debates. Ten percent referenced his past experience as Speaker of the House.
A close look at the data shows Gingrich is actually leading Romney among certain important subgroups of the electorate. Among self-identified conservative voters, Gingrich beats Romney 34%-27%. Among self-identified tea party voters, he leads Romney 38%-21%....
The survey of 746 likely Republican primary voters was conducted on November 15th and November 16th, 2011. This survey has a margin of error of +/- 3.59% at the 95 percent confidence interval. Continue to link
The folks who call Romney “inevitable” must use an outdated dictionary.
I am confused why Romney is at 69 on IN-Trade where people actually bet their own money. He should be at 25.
I feel the same way. How is he so high on intrade!? I guess the bet is purely on organization right now...that’s all I can come up with!? I think as long as Newt is clean, he’ll win Iowa, come in close second in NH and win SC...that of coarse means he wins the rest.
For the same reasons bettors lose at race tracks betting on the favorite.
Fools and their money are soon and often parted.
Just view Romney as a race horse -— an old gelding, who’s only won one race, but has racked-up some earnings.
He’s not going to win this time either. Second place, maybe show...LOL.
Send him back to his beach side, mansion barn in La Jolla.
I really don’t want to be called a “Concern Troll”. I would love for Newt to be somewhere in the equation. With the exception of a few issues I agree with him politically on a great number of things. Looking at things from the eyes of someone who has worked on a campaign though - his personal life is a HUGE stumbling block. I’m aware the heat has picked up since he’s has been rising in the polls. And, I’m not trying to add on. I do not believe we’ve got ANY chance with the other candidates, except Cain, frankly. Romney is absolutely unacceptable and it seems that’s who they’re reserving ammunition for this time around (he may be more like McCain than we know).
Just trying to look at Newt without bias, and also examine the facts about what our fight would look like with him at the forefront of our political attack on Obama. I have a fear that he may be being put forward because he can talk a good game, and the establishment doesn’t want to get taken over by Cain who will change the status quo. It’s like Romney was plan (A), and Newt is plan (B) to the friendly sides of the GOP bigshots. ALL JMHO, and definitely speculation in some ways.
I should also say that I don’t take much stock in any of these polls. People are rather desperate and can slant polls in many ways in order not to get any kind of an accurate picture, and instead twist things to a candidate’s favor.
Well, we know Romney won’t win Iowa; he has all but written it off. He has hardly been in Iowa at all. Now, if he loses New Hampshire on the heels of losing Iowa, turn out the lights; the party’s over.
Newt ahead in Iowa, tied in NH, and should do well in S. Carolina. If Newt wins those, Romney is out. Send Newt money.
Romney won’t be at the Thanksgiving Family Forum in Iowa tomorrow that’s being held in a Christian church where 1,500 are expected to be. Newt will be there.
If New Hampshire is a race, then that spells big trouble for Mitt Romney.
Ultimately though, I remain convinced that the challenge won’t come from Gingrich or Paul.
Keep your eye on Huntsman there......
I believe that after the republican primary is over it will come down the the candidates with the less baggage.
So, personal life trumps experience. I suppose that was the case with Mr Jefferson and the rest that came after him.
The body politic, like the human body, is destined to decay, and moves towards its inevitable destruction.
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