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Battleground-State Voters Leaving the Democratic Party
National Journal ^ | December 7, 2011 | Josh Kraushaar

Posted on 12/08/2011 8:30:49 PM PST by neverdem

President Obama and his re-election team have prided themselves on their well-oiled get-out-the-vote effort.  But a new study from the centrist think tank Third Way suggests Democrats are losing ground organizationally in nearly all of the key battleground states in the general election.

The group's analysis found that, in the eight politically-pivotal states that register voters by party, a significant number have left the Democratic party since 2008, with many choosing to register as independents.  Over 825,000 registered Democrats in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina and Pennsylvania have departed the party rolls since President Obama's election in 2008, a much more significant share than the number of Republicans (378,000) who have done the same.  Meanwhile, the number of registered independents has ticked upwards by 254,000.


(RELATED: GOP Candidates to Trump Debate: You're Fired)

"In 2012, Independents are likely to turn out in their largest numbers in 35 years, and President Obama will need those Independent votes even more than he did in 2008, if he hopes to be re-elected," Third Way analysts Lanae Erickson and Michelle Diggles write in the report.

(RELATED: Obama's Oops: President Confuses Texas and Kansas -- VIDEO)
 
The Democratic decline is especially stark in Iowa and Florida, two early Republican primary states where Democrats have lost significant ground.  In Iowa, the number of registered Democrats has declined 7.9 percent since 2008, while the number of registered Republicans has increased by two percent.   In the Sunshine State, Democratic registration decreased by five percent, while Republican registration dipped 2.2 percent.
 
In New Hampshire, Democratic registration plummeted a whopping 14.6 percent, with Republican registration declining a similarly significant 13.5 percent. 

(RELATED: Poll: Gingrich Riding Tea Party Support in Iowa )

In every one of the eight battleground states, Democrats lost ground to Republicans.  (In Colorado, Republicans saw a larger rate of growth in voter registration than Democrats, 1.8 to 0.9 percent.)

The report underscores how much different 2012 will be for Obama than 2008.  Back then, it was commonplace to hear how many new voters the Obama campaign was registering.  Now, it looks like some of those voters, newly disenchanted, are leaving the party rolls.


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: District of Columbia
KEYWORDS: battlegroundstates; democraticparty; voterregistration
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To: kearnyirish2
"Ross Perot didn’t run to win;"

That's right - he ran to "get back" at the Bush family, with whom he had a long-running fued. And he succeeded in blocking Bush's re-election and gave us Bill Clinton.

Perot saddled the country with a lying, cheating, coke-sniffing hillbilly in the White House to carry out his vendetta against the Bush family. What a patriot! /sarc

21 posted on 12/09/2011 10:07:30 AM PST by In Maryland ("Truth? We don't need no stinkin' truth!" - Official Motto of the Main Stream Media)
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To: In Maryland

Well said. I agree.


22 posted on 12/09/2011 10:11:20 AM PST by Fu-fu2
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To: kearnyirish2

>> Clinton also learned from it, and was a better “Republican” than the one he followed.

The Towers would still be standing if Perot stood down — my subjective opinion of course.


23 posted on 12/09/2011 12:44:51 PM PST by Gene Eric (Save a pretzel for the gas jets.)
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To: Gene Eric

“The Towers would still be standing if Perot stood down — my subjective opinion of course.”

Arabs in my class were questioned by the FBI when the towers were first bombed in 1993, about a month after Clinton took office. Republicans weren’t doing anything about expired visas or illegal aliens, either.


24 posted on 12/09/2011 2:08:58 PM PST by kearnyirish2
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To: In Maryland

19% is not “getting back at someone”; he talked about things that were being ignored by both parties who were interested in seeing our jobs sent overseas.


25 posted on 12/09/2011 2:12:15 PM PST by kearnyirish2
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To: Matchett-PI

bttt


26 posted on 12/14/2011 8:04:41 AM PST by GOPJ (Better is a dinner of herbs where love is, Than a fatted calf with hatred - Proverbs 15)
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