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Election 2012: Romney 45%, Obama 39%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | December 29, 2011 | NA

Posted on 12/29/2011 9:34:58 PM PST by neverdem

Mitt Romney has now jumped to his biggest lead ever over President Obama in a hypothetical Election 2012 matchup. It’s also the biggest lead a named Republican candidate has held over the incumbent in Rasmussen Reports surveying to date.

The latest national telephone survey finds that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters favor the former Massachusetts governor, while 39% prefer the president. Ten percent (10%) like some other candidate in the race, and six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

A week ago, Romney trailed Obama 44% to 41%. The week before that, he held a slight 43% to 42% edge over the president. The two candidates have been essentially tied in regular surveys since January, but Romney remains the only GOP hopeful to lead Obama in more than one survey. Despite Romney’s current six-point lead, his latest level of support is in line with the 38% to 45% he has earned in matchups with the president this year. However, Obama’s 39% is a new low: Prior to this survey, his support has ranged from 40% to 46% in matchups with Romney.

A generic Republican candidate holds a narrow lead over the president again this week as has been the case all but three times in weekly tracking...

--snip--

In his latest matchup with the president, Romney holds a 20-point lead among male voters but trails by six among female voters. The Republican posts a 45% to 29% lead among voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties.

Romney earns an overwhelming 75% of the vote from those Tea Party members, while the president leads 49% to 37% among those who are not part of the grass roots movement.Obama has 65% support from the Political Class. Romney leads 51% to 31% among Mainstream voters...

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: District of Columbia
KEYWORDS: independents; obama; romney; teaparty
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The Republican posts a 45% to 29% lead among voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties.

45:29 is greater than 3:2. IIRC, The GOP got a little under 3 out of 5 independents in November 2010.

1 posted on 12/29/2011 9:35:00 PM PST by neverdem
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To: neverdem

Outlier.

Obama-lite will never beat Obama. Nor should he.

On the other hand, a real conservative has a great chance
one-on-one versus Obama-lite or Obama himself, imo.


2 posted on 12/29/2011 9:43:11 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Rubio 2012 with Cain, Bolton, Santorum, Perry, Watts, Duncan, and Bachmann in the Cabinet!!)
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To: neverdem

I don’t care what the polls say.

Still not voting for Myth Romney.


3 posted on 12/29/2011 9:46:07 PM PST by SoConPubbie
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To: neverdem
Romney 45%, Obama 39%

Hemlock vs. cyanide. Who cares, you're still dead either way.

4 posted on 12/29/2011 9:46:50 PM PST by EternalVigilance
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To: EternalVigilance
How convenient. Rasmussen comes out 5 days before Iowa and declares Romney is the only Republican who can beat the Obammunist.

yitbos

5 posted on 12/29/2011 10:07:35 PM PST by bruinbirdman ("Those who control language control minds." -- Ayn Rand)
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To: neverdem

Rasmussen is pushing ‘electability’ for Romney.........right before Iowa. Whodathunkit.


6 posted on 12/29/2011 10:09:12 PM PST by lacrew (Mr. Soetoro, we regret to inform you that your race card is over the credit limit.)
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To: neverdem
Romney earns an overwhelming 75% of the vote from those Tea Party members

Say, What?

7 posted on 12/29/2011 10:10:23 PM PST by sockmonkey (He's not perfect, but Perry is no wussy boy)
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To: CainConservative
Outlier.

That's not an outlier. That's the bounds of Romney's range.

"A week ago, Romney trailed Obama 44% to 41%. The week before that, he held a slight 43% to 42% edge over the president. The two candidates have been essentially tied in regular surveys since January, but Romney remains the only GOP hopeful to lead Obama in more than one survey. Despite Romney’s current six-point lead, his latest level of support is in line with the 38% to 45% he has earned in matchups with the president this year. However, Obama’s 39% is a new low: Prior to this survey, his support has ranged from 40% to 46% in matchups with Romney.

"A generic Republican candidate holds a narrow lead over the president again this week as has been the case all but three times in weekly tracking since late May."

Whoever gets the GOP nomination, their fate will be in the hands of the independents, just like the results in November 2006, 2008 and 2010.

8 posted on 12/29/2011 10:11:19 PM PST by neverdem (Xin loi minh oi)
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To: neverdem
Newt is likely to win many states and has a strong chance to be the Conservative nominee. Go NEWT !

January
? - Iowa 28 delegates

? - New Hampshire 12
Newt - South Carolina 25
Newt - Florida 50


February
Newt - Nevada 28

Newt - Maine 24

Newt - Colorado 36
? - Minnesota 40

Newt- Arizona 29
? - Michigan 30

March
Newt - Washington 43
Newt - Alaska 27
Newt - Georgia 76

Newt - Idaho 32
RINO - Mass 41

Newt - North Dakota 28

Newt - Ohio 66

Newt - Oklahoma 43

Newt - Tennessee 58

? - Vermont 17
Newt - Virginia 50

Newt - Wyoming 29

Newt - Kansas 40

Newt - Alabama 50

? - Hawaii 20
Newt - Mississippi 40

Newt - Missouri 52

? - Illinois 69

Newt - Louisiana 46

April

Newt - Maryland 37
Newt or Perry - Texas 155

? - Wash D.C. 19

Newt - Wisconsin 42

? - Connecticut 28

? - Delaware 17
? - New York 95

Newt - Pennsylvania 72

? - Rhode Island 19

May
Newt - Indiana 46

Newt - North Carolina 55

 Newt - West Virginia 31

Newt - Nebraska 35

Newt - Oregon 29

Newt - Arkansas 36

Newt - Kentucky 45


June
? - California 172
Newt - Montana 26

Newt - New Jersey 50

Newt - New Mexico 23

Newt - South Dakota 28

RINO - Utah 40

9 posted on 12/29/2011 10:14:58 PM PST by show
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To: lacrew; bruinbirdman
Rasmussen is pushing ‘electability’ for Romney.........right before Iowa. Whodathunkit.

7 REASONS WHY MITT ROMNEY'S ELECTABILITY IS A MYTH

Shocker. Obama’s Top Political Advisor Directly Linked to Occupy Wall Street Protests

The polls at Rasmussen Reports come out at regular intervals, no?

10 posted on 12/29/2011 10:24:40 PM PST by neverdem (Xin loi minh oi)
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To: neverdem

I’m skeptical of all polls. They think republicans are easy to manipulate with polls. The MSM, Dems and GOP establishment want Romney to win. I will never vote for Romney.


11 posted on 12/29/2011 10:45:12 PM PST by cnsmom (csmom)
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To: SoConPubbie
Still not voting for Myth Romney.

Nothing on this Earth will EVER get me to cast a vote for the sociaslist Mitt.

I sincerely believe that Mitt is the one behind ALL the attacks on Consersatives (Palin, Cain, etc.) and the attacks on Newt.

Words cannot express how much I loathe that vile man. I will glad vote down the ticket and NOT cast a vote for this fraud.

12 posted on 12/29/2011 11:09:17 PM PST by sand88
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To: cnsmom

Bingo!


13 posted on 12/29/2011 11:12:18 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Rubio 2012 with Cain, Bolton, Santorum, Perry, Watts, Duncan, and Bachmann in the Cabinet!!)
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To: neverdem

Propaganda. Just say he can beat barry and they think everyone will vote for him. LOL!


14 posted on 12/29/2011 11:16:53 PM PST by presently no screen name (If it's not in God's Word, don't pass it off as truth! That's satan's job.)
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To: neverdem
"Whoever gets the GOP nomination, their fate will be in the hands of the independents"

The BASE will largely sit at home if weird Willard gets anywhere near the presidency. As will conservative Independents.

Obama BEATS Willard Flopney in Ohio, Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina, and another southern state or two and nationally by at least 5 points.

15 posted on 12/29/2011 11:18:36 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Rubio 2012 with Cain, Bolton, Santorum, Perry, Watts, Duncan, and Bachmann in the Cabinet!!)
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To: SoConPubbie
“I don’t care what the polls say. Still not voting for Myth Romney.”

Never say never. I said the same thing about John McCain. Many of us on FR did. It took one very wise pick for a VP running mate (Palin) to change nearly every ones mind. Within days many of us McCain haters were reaching for our check books or asking how to volunteer. Whoever is nominated, be it Romney, Newt, Perry or whoever, they better remember why McCain picked Palin.

16 posted on 12/29/2011 11:22:41 PM PST by NavyCanDo
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To: neverdem

It’s not an accurate poll, for a finite number of reasons, and one of the major reasons is because the MSM hasn’t, fully, gone after Mitt yet.


17 posted on 12/29/2011 11:26:36 PM PST by johnthebaptistmoore (If leftist legislation that's already in place really can't be ended by non-leftists, then what?)
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To: neverdem

It’s not an accurate poll, for a finite number of reasons, and one of the major reasons is because the MSM hasn’t, fully, gone after Mitt, yet.


18 posted on 12/29/2011 11:27:02 PM PST by johnthebaptistmoore (If leftist legislation that's already in place really can't be ended by non-leftists, then what?)
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To: bruinbirdman

“How convenient. Rasmussen comes out 5 days before Iowa and declares Romney is the only Republican who can beat the Obammunist.”

I believe that whoever is the Republican candidate will be the next president; the candidates themselves seem to know it, and that is why even the long-shots are hanging in there. The media cannot save the Kenyan Pirate; the “new normal” has done him in, and the voters will be happy to get us back to the crappy standard of living we had in late 2008 at this point. Anyone can see that things are much worse for most Americans with Obama in power; he’s toast, and gimmicks will be seen as such by a battered, cynical middle class.


19 posted on 12/29/2011 11:34:47 PM PST by kearnyirish2
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To: kearnyirish2
"I believe that whoever is the Republican candidate will be the next president;"

Whew! Good to hear. Now I can vote for Newt.

yitbos

20 posted on 12/29/2011 11:56:16 PM PST by bruinbirdman ("Those who control language control minds." -- Ayn Rand)
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