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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: StAnDeliver

its time for the GOP to look at who is allowed to run on our ticket, no more nuts like Paul he is a libertarian let him run on their ticket, no more liberals, libertarians and Dems voting in our elections.

No wonder the GOP shake and scratch their heads when it comes to elections, they need to have elections for republicans


461 posted on 01/03/2012 6:24:31 PM PST by manc (Marriage is between one man and one woman.Trolls get a life, I HATE OUR BIAS LIBERAL MEDIA.)
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To: Palladin

I don’t think there’s much doubt about that.


462 posted on 01/03/2012 6:24:31 PM PST by Rational Thought
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To: Luke21

On Cavuto, the old hack, Alan Simpson is bashing Santorum for being “too religious” and not recognizing the benefits of that good old “medical procedure,” partial birth abortion.” <<<<

Good Grief. Quit watching that crap. Let’s boycott the big boy FOX tonight. You’ve got all of us who won’t jerk your chain like that. At least on abortion!


463 posted on 01/03/2012 6:25:15 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
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To: darrellmaurina
"The numbers are bad. REALLY BAD. If this entrance poll data proves correct, it shows that Mitt Romney and Ron Paul are both getting large percentages of the evangelical Christian vote and of self-identified strong conservatives."

People are so angry with what's happening in DC, it's beginning to metastisize into cancer...and Paulbot is a physician...

464 posted on 01/03/2012 6:25:43 PM PST by StAnDeliver (=)
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To: deport

Looks like the Paulbots have their hands deep in the pockets of the Obama Machine.....He’d love nothing better then to debate with Ron Paul...He’d blow Ron PAul over with a feather.


465 posted on 01/03/2012 6:26:07 PM PST by caww
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To: Twinkie
So, SHUT UP and MAN UP LIKE WE DID!!!

Shuddup...Man up??? Take a good dose of Government like YOU did?? A lot of us DO NOT WANT part of a government system, but because YOU DID, we are all supposed to be indentured slaves to your bidding?

Screw you..

466 posted on 01/03/2012 6:26:17 PM PST by Michael Barnes (Obamaa+ Downgrade)
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To: Berlin_Freeper
>>> Gingrich/Santorum 2012 Santorum/Gingrich 2012 Take your pick. <<

Either scenario would cause me to lose a lot of respect for Santorum. He doesn't need a backstabbing scumbag on the ticket with him. Also, given how weak most of the current crop of GOP candidates is, he'd be much better off without an also-ran from the presidential primaries. Names like Susana Martinez, Paul LePage, Paul Ryan, Marco Rubio, and Allan West come to mind.

Same deal with the freepers who fantasized about a Cain/Gingrich or Gingrich/Cain ticket. NO NEWT!

467 posted on 01/03/2012 6:26:23 PM PST by BillyBoy (Illegals for Perry/Gingrich 2012 : Don't be "heartless"/ Be "humane")
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To: Anitius Severinus Boethius

It is early yet...waiting to see what happens after Des Moines comes in


468 posted on 01/03/2012 6:26:23 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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To: altura

5th and 6th place finishers in IA always drop out. Sorry.

http://iowacaucus.com/results/

Go Santorum 23%+!!! Could be good for 1st
Go Newt 13%+!!! Good enough for 4th

Perry 10% and Michele 6% = BOTH drop out Wednesday : ( .. : (

And Willard could finish in 3rd very easily which is pathetic for Mr. Flopney.


469 posted on 01/03/2012 6:26:49 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Rubio 2012 with Cain, Bolton, Santorum, Perry, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: Kenny

You picked my order exactly. And it ain’t over till the fat lady sings, sometime in March! :)


470 posted on 01/03/2012 6:26:52 PM PST by seekthetruth (I want a Commander In Chief who honors and supports our Military!)
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To: Proud2BeRight

I don’t care about being the “dominant military power.” What’s the point of being the “dominant military power” when Mexico is allowed to invade and colonize California and the Southwest?

The military is not used to protect our own homeland. The government allows Muslim terrorists to walk right into the United States through the front door and establish colonies in American cities.


471 posted on 01/03/2012 6:27:01 PM PST by WilliamHouston
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To: Reagan69

” What happened to Michele Thatcher?” <<<

LOL! Michele Thatcher!


472 posted on 01/03/2012 6:27:11 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
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To: BillyBoy

GO NEWT!


473 posted on 01/03/2012 6:27:40 PM PST by Parley Baer
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To: Twinkie
We are retired after YEARS of paying through the nose for YOUR grandparent’s SOCIAL SECURITY and MEDICARE for YEARS, and YEARS, and YEARS .

You and I are sadly the victim of a colossal ponzi scheme. Take comfort in knowing that since I homeschool all of my considerable brood, you have not paid a red cent for their government EDUCATION! God bless Dr. Paul!

474 posted on 01/03/2012 6:27:46 PM PST by Theophilus (Not merely prolife, but prolific)
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To: BenKenobi

You do understand that it is congress that spends the money right? And Paul in congress has reduced how much spending over the last several decades?

And if you “young’uns” are so concerned about your future (which you should be) why on earth did you vote for Obama in droves?

Obama/congress has been spending our futures faster than ever before and Obamacare is greatly based on forcing young people to buy health insurance they don’t need to fund older peoples healthcare expanding the overall Ponzi scheme.


475 posted on 01/03/2012 6:27:46 PM PST by DB
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To: Anitius Severinus Boethius
Just looking at the current results and the projections, it looks as if Perry will most likely run 5th...unless there's a major shift in the next few minutes.
476 posted on 01/03/2012 6:27:46 PM PST by Rational Thought
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To: katiedidit1
Now that Bachmann is dead last she will really vie for a position with Romney.

If so; it won't be long before the Tea Party types are referring to her as 'Benedict Bachmann'...

477 posted on 01/03/2012 6:28:11 PM PST by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: WilliamHouston

if you don’t think Paul is a nut then you need to have a word with yourself

You said those who have served and are young , well I am under your age limit and have served and think he is a nut,

The man thinks Iran is not a threat, he has no problem with men marrying dogs or their daughters, wants to get rid of the FBI, CIA the list is endless and should br allowed to run on the GOP ticket

Also he is getting mostly young and first time voters because they want their drugs and sex with anything plus pay no taxes.

He wants anarchy and yes he is a frigging nut and I will speak for those who I have served with we all think he is nuts.
Now did you serve in combat seeing as you made your claim?


478 posted on 01/03/2012 6:28:11 PM PST by manc (Marriage is between one man and one woman.Trolls get a life, I HATE OUR BIAS LIBERAL MEDIA.)
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To: WilliamHouston
You believe that America's enemies would just leave it alone if we left them alone.

For you young kids, that's called naivety.

At Ron Paul's age, it's called stupidity and lunacy.

479 posted on 01/03/2012 6:28:32 PM PST by Anitius Severinus Boethius
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To: WilliamHouston

And most everyone else thinks these kids need to grow up.


480 posted on 01/03/2012 6:28:36 PM PST by ari-freedom
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