Romney-Christie, Gingrich-Rubio are most likely ticket pairings

Yahoo! ^ | 1/30/12 | David Pennock

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... who gets the would-be VP nod depends greatly on who is the nominee. As Newt Gingrich's odds of winning have spiked and dissipated twice in the last two months, the market for vice presidential candidates has reacted...

If Mitt Romney is the Republican nominee, my model estimates that he is 25 percent likely to pick Chris Christie as his running mate, a popular moderate governor from New Jersey who himself flirted with running for president before strongly endorsing Romney. (This in spite of the fact that you'd have two Northeasterners on the ticket.) The market puts Christie's overall chance of being the VP of any Republican nominee at only 14 percent, but because his odds tend to rise in tandem with Romney's, my model boosts his chances to 25 percent in the scenario where Romney is the nominee. Rubio is a close second to be Romney's right-hand man at 22 percent. Rubio's VP odds actually drop whenever Romney's go up (they are anti-correlated), but because Rubio's such a likely overall pick, he's still the second-most likely Romney pairing. Rubio so far hasn't endorsed a presidential candidate and has repeatedly said he's not interested in the VP job. No other candidate rises above single digits as Mitt's pick for a-heartbeat-away.

If Gingrich wins the Republican primary, he's most likely, at 30 percent, to pair up with Rubio. Christie virtually falls out of the running for VP at below 5 percent if Gingrich emerges the primary winner. Over the past 90 days, when Gingrich rose in the presidential market, Rubio tended to rise too and Christie tended to fall in the vice presidential market...

[backwoods-engineer]

This whole "two citizen parent" nonsense is nothing more than a device birthers embraced to be a standard of eligibility that Obama could not possibly meet once the whole "born in Kenya" stupidity fell apart.

The Obots are out, I see.

This "two citizen parent nonsense" was embraced by our founders, and by the Supreme Court long before you were born.

Just because you're shilling for Obama doesn't negate Supreme Court stare decisis.

[thatjoeguy]

Much better.

Rubio can go fly a kite for all I care.