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To: tsomer
Can somebody direct me to some more or less dispassionate layman’s discussion on polling history,method and accuracy?

Sorry, but the polls predicting Obama's win in 2008 were correct, and they may be close to the mark now. We have our work cut out for us, so we'd better think long and hard about who we throw our support behind.

On a brighter note, no one expected an "idiot" like Reagan to beat Carter in 1980, either.

16 posted on 02/15/2012 3:06:15 PM PST by TwelveOfTwenty (Compassionate Conservatism? Promoting self reliance is compassionate. Promoting dependency is not.)
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To: TwelveOfTwenty
Sorry, but the polls predicting Obama's win in 2008 were correct, and they may be close to the mark now. We have our work cut out for us, so we'd better think long and hard about who we throw our support behind.

Bingo. It's not hard to see a trend, people can just look at the RCP average - and dismiss any outliers if they'd like. Hussein is up across the board in most all polling including Rasmussen. When people whine about the polls, it just means they don't like the results.

Poll that shows Obama's approval sinking = good and believable. Poll that shows Obama's approval rising = lies by the evil polling companies. The truth is, polling is increasingly very accurate, especially when using a tool like the RCP average.

Economic news hasn't sucked as much lately and that has helped Hussein. Additionally, if we are talking about contraception, we are losing. Period. Even on something as disgusting as Obama trying to force religious institutions to cover birth control against their will. Truth is, most people want their contraception covered (even if they'd rather not talk about or admit it), Obama knows it, and that is why this administration loves that we've been on the topic of birth control.

22 posted on 02/15/2012 3:56:28 PM PST by Longbow1969
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