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Election Research Request
Vanity | 3/7/2012 | pgyanke

Posted on 03/07/2012 9:18:26 AM PST by pgyanke

I got to thinking about some of the primary results. Romney's been narrowly winning some states and Santorum has done the same in other states. Both have appealed to cross-over Dems.

Gingrich has won convincingly when he's won. Paul has his zombie followers.

Does anyone have a county breakdown (visual would be great but not the most important) of the wins by candidate? I'm wondering how closely the wins for Romney and Santorum would follow traditional Dem winning counties. Getting the big cities can get you states, but that doesn't mean we're getting a winning candidate...

This map shows the 2004 county by county results of the 2004 election. The height of the bar graph shows the margin of victory. Without the big cities, the Dems win nothing...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Government; Miscellaneous; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: gingrich; paul; romney; santorum; vanity
Just a thought.
1 posted on 03/07/2012 9:18:38 AM PST by pgyanke
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To: pgyanke

Here’s a thread with some info I collected on Michigan.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2853480/posts

Mi primary results by district

http://migopprimary.com/index.asp

District map

http://migopprimary.com/map.asp

In my opinion, the Romney win map is starting to look a lot like Obama’s. I don’t have the number but I saw a graphic last night that showed Santorum winning considerably more counties than Romney so far.


2 posted on 03/07/2012 9:24:44 AM PST by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: cripplecreek
In my opinion, the Romney win map is starting to look a lot like Obama’s.

That's my fear and what I want to expose. If Romney is winning primarily in the Dems backyard, he will get crushed in November. Sorry but Dems vote for the guy with the 'D" after his name... no matter what.

3 posted on 03/07/2012 9:27:45 AM PST by pgyanke (Republicans get in trouble when not living up to their principles. Democrats... when they do.)
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To: pgyanke
Most of the country by county wins can be seen on this website.

A few of the smaller caucus states publish only statewide totals and not county by county totals. But you can get the rest by clicking on the state in the national map.

4 posted on 03/07/2012 9:50:44 AM PST by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: pgyanke
Sorry. Bad link in my post #4.

Here is the good link.

5 posted on 03/07/2012 9:54:42 AM PST by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: pgyanke

Big cities = voter fraud!


6 posted on 03/07/2012 9:56:59 AM PST by catman67
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To: pgyanke
Paul has his zombie followers.

Lost me right there. Not because I am a Paul suppoorter, but because when you draw conclusions before the study begins, you aren't studying. You will miss trends and ignore data because of your bias.

Let the chips fall where they may, and then try to explain the results.

7 posted on 03/07/2012 9:59:29 AM PST by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing)
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To: pgyanke

When looking at Shelby County, Tennessee, keep in mind that the Dims scheduled some votes of real interest to them during our voting, preventing many Dims from crossing over for Romney.


8 posted on 03/07/2012 10:02:24 AM PST by Ingtar
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To: Smokin' Joe
Lost me right there. Not because I am a Paul suppoorter, but because when you draw conclusions before the study begins, you aren't studying.

You're right. I'm sorry. That was uncalled for. I was intending to lampoon the Ron Paul folks in their dogged support despite the fact he hasn't actually won a primary. My bad.

9 posted on 03/07/2012 10:35:43 AM PST by pgyanke (Republicans get in trouble when not living up to their principles. Democrats... when they do.)
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To: pgyanke
The wikipedia election results page is updated pretty quickly, and it has the map you are looking for.


10 posted on 03/07/2012 10:37:05 AM PST by CharlesWayneCT
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To: pgyanke
Paul hasn't won any primaries, and likely won't.

I must note in North Dakota that he placed second behind Santorum, beating Romney.

I'm glad he beat Mitt here, because it is Paul's fiscal message which resonates here, not the Code Pink followers or troofers. As for Paul's foreign policy, we've been a preemptive strike target through the Cold War here in North Dakota, and the state at one time (if considered separately) was the world's third largest nuclear power, only behind the rest of the US and the Russians.

People here understand their rights are being stripped by the Federal Government's overrunning the Constitution, and the selfsame agencies usurping that power are prominent among those Paul would disband.

I think that is the heavy influence here, and the rejection of Mitt Romney's politics is strong, at least from the folks I have talked with who support him.

Newt was hurt here by three things:

First, being formally well educated doesn't necessarily play well among voters who get dirt under their fingernails, your actions have to back that.

Twice divorced isn't help with a strong family values populace, and people here still have visions of 'reaching across the aisle' to the Clintons, who were about as well received here as the current occupant at 1600 PA Ave.

People who support Paul here will tell you they do so because they feel he is the candidate who most closely would push for policies based on the Constitutionality of those policies, and would cut programs and efforts which do not comply with the Constitutional mandates for the Federal Government.

The ones I have talked with are not pro drug, are not anti war, but are pro Constitution. Unfortunately, stuffing our government back into its Constitutional constraints would render it unrecognizable to most folks, and they seem to fear that more than the Leviathan we have.

I think they'd resist the change back if it was done too suddenly, and I figured Newt would ease them itno it a little bit, but still hit the high points out of necessity.

Our Nation's best present hope lies in regaining the control of Congress.

11 posted on 03/07/2012 7:44:01 PM PST by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing)
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To: CharlesWayneCT

Perfect! Thank you!


12 posted on 03/09/2012 5:52:28 AM PST by pgyanke (Republicans get in trouble when not living up to their principles. Democrats... when they do.)
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To: CharlesWayneCT

Doesn’t look, at first glance, that my hypothesis holds. Romney’s getting some broad-based support. This election will be interesting.


13 posted on 03/09/2012 5:55:42 AM PST by pgyanke (Republicans get in trouble when not living up to their principles. Democrats... when they do.)
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