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"Mississippi...between Gingrich and Romney with Santorum falling well back"
Public Policy Polling ^ | 3/10/12 | Public Policy Polling (via Twitter)

Posted on 03/10/2012 10:20:38 AM PST by BCrago66

Public Polling Polling is polling both Mississippi & Alabama Saturday (today) and Sunday, and will release the full results sometime tomorrow night.

Tweets from within the last hour:

1) "Mississippi looks like it's between Gingrich and Romney with Santorum falling well back"

2)"Alabama looks like a 3 way tie with maybe slight advantage Romney...but it's just the first round of calls"

(Excerpt) Read more at twitter.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Alabama; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: alabama; kenyanbornmuzzie; mississippi; mittromney; newtgingrich; ricksantorum
I though Alabama and Mississippi were pretty similar ideologically & demographically, so this difference is curious.
1 posted on 03/10/2012 10:20:41 AM PST by BCrago66
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To: BCrago66

Go Newt!!!


2 posted on 03/10/2012 10:30:43 AM PST by sheikdetailfeather (Obama Green Energy Is a Money Laundering Operation)
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To: BCrago66

With all of Romney’s “yall” gaffs the last 24 hours (and counting) there is NO WAY he’s ahead.


3 posted on 03/10/2012 10:31:06 AM PST by sillsfan (Reagan and Sarah are right- WE win, they lose!)
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To: BCrago66

I’m finding PPP to be pretty reliable. I look to their results more than Rassmussen.


4 posted on 03/10/2012 10:33:24 AM PST by Lauren BaRecall (I declare for Santorum)
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To: BCrago66

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/election-2012/post/is-gingrich-winning-over-southern-voters/2012/03/09/gIQAeRVX1R_blog.html

An American Research Group poll of 600 likely Republican primary voters in Mississippi has Gingrich leading with 35 percent, followed by Mitt Romney with 31 percent, Rick Santorum with 20 percent and Ron Paul with 7 percent. The poll, conducted via live telephone interviews, was held after Super Tuesday.

An automated Rasmussen poll of 750 likely Republican primary voters in Alabama also showed a near three-way tie, with Gingrich barely ahead with 30 percent of the vote. Rick Santorum had 29 percent, Mitt Romney 28 percent and Ron Paul 7 percent.


5 posted on 03/10/2012 10:33:31 AM PST by Texas Fossil (Government, even in its best state is but a necessary evil; in its worst state an intolerable one)
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To: Texas Fossil

Pretty good corroboration, right there.


6 posted on 03/10/2012 10:35:36 AM PST by BCrago66
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To: sillsfan

The truth is most people will never hear about it. Happens every election cycle.


7 posted on 03/10/2012 10:35:42 AM PST by org.whodat
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To: sillsfan

Maybe people voting for who they perceive to be the winner trumps gaffes.


8 posted on 03/10/2012 10:36:27 AM PST by Lauren BaRecall (I declare for Santorum)
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To: sillsfan

This is what Romney’s been studying, in order to appear Southern:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-LCsiWL6gn0


9 posted on 03/10/2012 10:36:30 AM PST by BCrago66
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To: BCrago66

I hope this is right and Newt takes both AL and MS, but I’m afraid Santorum has enraptured too much of the Church Lady vote and is taking enough of Newt’s tally to give one of these to Romney.


10 posted on 03/10/2012 10:37:44 AM PST by mtrott
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To: sillsfan

obamney says alabama and mississippi are away games. Hussein dunham says the USA is an away game.


11 posted on 03/10/2012 10:40:09 AM PST by biggredd1
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To: BCrago66

Yep. And not surprised.


12 posted on 03/10/2012 10:40:28 AM PST by Texas Fossil (Government, even in its best state is but a necessary evil; in its worst state an intolerable one)
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To: BCrago66

Thanks y’all !!!!


13 posted on 03/10/2012 10:42:01 AM PST by Mygirlsmom (Who you gonna believe on the economy? Obama or your own lying wallet?)
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To: BCrago66

Romney will do poorly in Texas.

Move afoot to make TX a winner take all, since the delays due to the re-districting lawsuits.

TX Primary looks like set for May 29th.


14 posted on 03/10/2012 10:43:34 AM PST by Texas Fossil (Government, even in its best state is but a necessary evil; in its worst state an intolerable one)
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To: BCrago66

“I though Alabama and Mississippi were pretty similar ideologically”

They are. Romney trying to “talk grits” in the deep south is going to go over like a lead balloon. We don’t like that kind of stuff down here. My money is on Newt to win both AL and MS.


15 posted on 03/10/2012 10:47:43 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: Texas Fossil

So long as both Newt & Rick stay in, Romney can win nomination because most states are proportional delegates.


16 posted on 03/10/2012 10:59:22 AM PST by entropy12 (Republicans do not hate, that is a monopoly of democrats.)
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To: BCrago66

Interesting. Rasmussen appears to be the outlier for Mississippi. That doesn’t spoil his credibility for me. Just shows that it’s all about the sample.


17 posted on 03/10/2012 11:06:14 AM PST by BfloGuy (The final outcome of the credit expansion is general impoverishment.)
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To: entropy12

I’m starting to think that Newt & Santorum are beginning to appeal to different brands of voters. If that’s the case, then both staying in may be the best chance for denying Romney a majority of delegates. If both Newt & Santorum get in the neighborhood of 650 delegates, that keep Romney under 900 delegates.

But if, e.g., if Newt drops out, Romeny would roll over Santorum and get over 1,144, with delegates to spare.


18 posted on 03/10/2012 11:11:15 AM PST by BCrago66
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To: Georgia Girl 2

“Romney trying to “talk grits” in the deep south is going to go over like a lead balloon. We don’t like that kind of stuff down here. My money is on Newt to win both AL and MS.”

My worry is our own Boss Hogg Republicans. The Trent Lott clones of all ages and stations. You know the kind I mean. I do not trust them not to ballot stuff or otherwise steal the election.

I do wish that someone would present Bishop Willard a stew of possum and gar boiled in burnt coffee and tabasco, and tell him that eating it all is a requirement for true popularity for anyone campaigning in the South. Then watch.


19 posted on 03/10/2012 11:17:22 AM PST by Psalm 144 ("I think we ought to listen to Alinsky." - Governor G. Romney, father of Bishop Willard M. Romney.)
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To: BCrago66
DROP OUT NOW NEWT!

You have no frigging chance of getting he nomineation or ever winning the WH. If Romney wins either Al or MS Tuesday it's going to over!

20 posted on 03/10/2012 11:23:34 AM PST by pgkdan (Rick Santorum 2012. Conservative's last, best chance!)
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To: pgkdan

You’re a very excitable personality. But not too interesting. But I guess we need people like you head up all the local Church-Ladies-for-Santorum chapters.


21 posted on 03/10/2012 11:26:54 AM PST by BCrago66
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To: BCrago66

I’m not so sure about that. If it comes down to it, I think the vast majority of Newt’s supporters better jump to Santo.

My reason is that Romney scares the h out of me with regard to potential Supreme Court nominees, which there may be two or more of in the next term. I don’t care much for Santorum, but from hearing him speak on social issues, he at least seems like he could be counted on to make good selections for the court.


22 posted on 03/10/2012 11:27:35 AM PST by mtrott
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To: pgkdan

Brilliant! You think it’s over if Romney wins either Alabama or Mississippi, but want Newt ( who is beating him in both) to drop out?

Makes perfect sense.


23 posted on 03/10/2012 11:29:38 AM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: trappedincanuckistan
From Rassmussen today:

With the perception growing that he will be the GOP nominee, Romney leads President Obama by five points in a hypothetical 2012 matchup. Today's numbers show Romney at 48%, Obama at 43%. That’s Romney’s largest lead since December. Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).

If Santorum is the Republican nominee, he is up by one point over the president, 46% to 45%. This is the second time since polling began in 2011 that Santorum has had a slight lead over Obama. Romney is the only other candidate to lead the president more than one time in the polls. See tracking history for Obama vs. all four Republican candidates.

Notice that Noot's not evgen mentioned? Nobody but freepers think he has any chance iin the world! He's only spoiling it for the rest of us and paving Romney's path to the nomination! Get real for crissake!

24 posted on 03/10/2012 11:45:27 AM PST by pgkdan (Rick Santorum 2012. Conservative's last, best chance!)
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To: pgkdan

Obfuscation. Address the point I’m making.

You think that if Romney wins Alabama or Mississippi it’s over. Newt is beating him in both. Why would you want Newt to drop out?


25 posted on 03/10/2012 11:50:03 AM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: sillsfan
.


Mark Steyn used to be my favorite EIB Guest Host ... he's refreshing, with a keen Shakespearean wit ...

Then came the 2012 Florida Primary, with Newt Gingrich leading in Florida ...

I (living in Florida) listened to Mark Steyn day-after-day ... while he performed a hatchet-job on Newt Gingrich ...



So ... it's radio ... and everyone has a right to their expressed opinion ...

Of course ...



But Mark Steyn's "grevious" crime was lambasting Newt Gingrich, while leaving Mitt Romney virtually untouched ...

And all of this happened from behind Rush's (self-proclaimed) Golden EIB microphone of "GOP political primary neutrality" ...

It was disgusting to listen to ... day after day ...



I'm just calling Mark Steyn to account for this ... that's all ...

I could try to get in as an EIB caller ... but that's almost impossible ...

And besides, I'm beginning to suspect that Rush Limbaugh has his own cadre of "seminar callers" ...

who faithfully support Rush's "party line" for the day ...



Again (again, LOL) ...

Rush Limbaugh, Mark Steyn and Shawn Hannity have every right to say what they want ...

But (when appropriate) they should stop the "pious nonsense" of claiming "conservative" political neutrality ...




Did anyone hear Rush's defense of Mitt Romney's "southern grits" verbal gaffe(s) yesterday (Friday, 2012-03-09) ?

It was amazing ...

Rush has formerly "dive-bombed" Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, and John Kerry (et al) when they've tried to put on a "racial" or "regional" accent for a speech ...

Mitt Romney tried it ... failed MISERABLY ...

and yet Rush Limbaugh defended Romney to the hilt ...

Something I haven't heard Rush Limbaugh do since ...


Well, not since Rush Limbaugh was (daily) defending Little Ricky Santorum's campaign gaffes ...



.

26 posted on 03/10/2012 11:57:09 AM PST by Patton@Bastogne (Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin in 2012 !)
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To: Patton@Bastogne

Rush is, and has always been, for Romney.

“What has gone largely unnoticed, however, is Romney’s corporate connection to Limbaugh. While Limbaugh owns the company that produces his show, it’s syndicated and broadcasted by Premiere Radio Networks, which also handles Limbaugh’s advertising. Premiere is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Clear Channel, the radio and outdoor advertising behemoth. Clear Channel, meanwhile, is owned by a partnership of two private equity firms, Bain Capital and Thomas H. Lee Partners — the same Bain Capital that Mitt Romney once ran.


27 posted on 03/10/2012 12:04:09 PM PST by VinL (It is better to suffer every wrong, than to consent to wrong.)
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To: pgkdan

Notice that Noot’s not evgen mentioned? Nobody but freepers think he has any chance iin the world! He’s only spoiling it for the rest of us and paving Romney’s path to the nomination! Get real for crissake!

Maybe you should try reading somewhere other than just Free Republic, if you need some help finding Newt supporters you might want to try C4P,Hot Air,Gateway Pundits,Big Government,Riehl World along with many other,you might want to do a little research before you try to lay BS at our feet!


28 posted on 03/10/2012 12:08:36 PM PST by heshtesh (I believe in Sarah Palin, the rest not so much.)
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To: BCrago66
I’m starting to think that Newt & Santorum are beginning to appeal to different brands of voters.

I've been beginning to think that more and more. I think a lot of the divide is FiCons vs. SoCons.

I'm more strongly in the FiCon camp, since my overarching concern is rolling back the size and scope of the Federal Govt. It's not that I don't care about social issues, it's just that I think once you liberate individuals from statism, that social issues will largely resolve themselves in a morally constructive way with no govt interference necessary.

Since Santorum is incredibly weak as a financial conservative and is on record denouncing laissez-faire individualism, he just doesn't appeal to me.

There's also practical considerations I bear in mind—such as, I really want Obama gone because he's murdering my future. My perception is that if Santorum were the nominee, his inexperience would be a major liability, and he'd generally alienate many potential voters, ergo ensuring 4 more years of BO. As much as I hate to say it, even Romney has a better chance than Santorum.

Whereas Newt or Paul would be optimal nominees IMO because they actually present vision and ideas, which invigorates and broadens the base, and actually grows new Republicans. For instance, many may not like this, but a lot of the Ron Paul kids probably aren't going away and will continue to assert an active role within the party. So there'll have to be some corresponding evolution in the Republican party IMO, or it will certainly go extinct as it's on the precipice of doing now. Pandering to the status quo (Romney, Santorum) will assure this.

If that’s the case, then both staying in may be the best chance for denying Romney a majority of delegates. If both Newt & Santorum get in the neighborhood of 650 delegates, that keep Romney under 900 delegates.

Yes.

But if, e.g., if Newt drops out, Romeny would roll over Santorum and get over 1,144, with delegates to spare.

That's what I'm thinking, too. I suspect it would be incredibly easy to marginalize Santorum in a very permanent way once he was the sole focal point of fire.
29 posted on 03/10/2012 12:14:29 PM PST by Utmost Certainty (Our Enemy, the State | Gingrich 2012)
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To: pgkdan

Newt’s not mentioned because it’s a FOX News polling outlet, who is in bed with the RNC, who clearly decided in February to instruct their puppets to stop talking about Newt to try to render him irrelevant, because he is the only threat to Romney winning the nomination. Santorum is an easy target and only appeals to a niche of voters, the deeply religious types who will vote for whoever their religious leaders tell them to. Gingrich was the 2nd choice of those religious voters, so if Santorum dropped out and endorsed Newt, Newt would get all his votes either just due to that endorsement or due to church leaders switching over.


30 posted on 03/10/2012 12:14:48 PM PST by JediJones (The Divided States of Obama's Declaration of Dependence: Death, Taxes and the Pursuit of Crappiness)
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To: Utmost Certainty
a lot of the Ron Paul kids probably aren't going away and will continue to assert an active role within the party. So there'll have to be some corresponding evolution in the Republican party IMO, or it will certainly go extinct as it's on the precipice of doing now.

There's no fit in the party for the Ron Paul activists. If you look at their forums, if Ron Paul's not nominated, their next choices are Libertarian Party Gary Johnson, Obama, a tiny bit of Romney, and I think I saw one Newt guy. They absolutely despise Santorum 100% down the line on every issue. They despise social conservatives, moral values, family values and are vigorously anti-war. Their states' rights issues is much less about a core conviction than it is a cynical vehicle to make it easier for them to stop war and pass radical policies locally that would never fly nationally. Economic issues are not really their biggest focus despite Ron Paul's using that plank most often to try to persuade Republicans to vote for him. I noticed the Keystone Pipeline was one of the few issues that actually divided them right down the middle. The absolute best and only approach we should take is to marginalize Ron Paul and expose him as the radical he is, so that he doesn't peel off soft Republican voters who just like his economic talking points.

31 posted on 03/10/2012 12:26:41 PM PST by JediJones (The Divided States of Obama's Declaration of Dependence: Death, Taxes and the Pursuit of Crappiness)
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To: JediJones
There's no fit in the party for the Ron Paul activists. If you look at their forums, if Ron Paul's not nominated, their next choices are Libertarian Party Gary Johnson, Obama, a tiny bit of Romney, and I think I saw one Newt guy. They absolutely despise Santorum 100% down the line on every issue. They despise social conservatives, moral values, family values and are vigorously anti-war. Their states' rights issues is much less about a core conviction than it is a cynical vehicle to make it easier for them to stop war and pass radical policies locally that would never fly nationally. Economic issues are not really their biggest focus despite Ron Paul's using that plank most often to try to persuade Republicans to vote for him. I noticed the Keystone Pipeline was one of the few issues that actually divided them right down the middle. The absolute best and only approach we should take is to marginalize Ron Paul and expose him as the radical he is, so that he doesn't peel off soft Republican voters who just like his economic talking points.

I can't speak for RP forums, since I don't frequent them. But I did talk to a bunch of Ron Paul supporters yesterday at some pre-caucus Tea Party rally. The demographic breakdown of Ron Paul supporters was odd/interesting—mostly young people <30 or elderly people >60, with few in between.

There were a few kooks in the bunch, but most of the individuals I spoke to were quite reasonable, decently informed, and voiced legitimate concerns about the overactive role of government, the necessity for free and open markets, the urgency for massive spending cuts, sound money, etc.

Yeah, Ron Paul supporters hate Santorum. But I'm convinced that if the Republican party doesn't begin co-opting some of these planks in a very serious and profound way, then it will continue to diminish in political viability. Sarah Palin said as much also re: her suggestion to not drive away Ron Paul supporters from the party. I think Newt sees the writing on the wall here as well, which is part of why he's been keen to push states' rights and a gold standard as components of his message (and because they are genuinely good ideas).

The GOP won't survive if it fixates on social issues.
32 posted on 03/10/2012 1:07:47 PM PST by Utmost Certainty (Our Enemy, the State | Gingrich 2012)
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To: DrewsMum; Tupelo; mstar; jdirt; Vietnam Vet From New Mexico; wardaddy; KLT; montesquiue; ...

Mississippi ping


33 posted on 03/10/2012 3:13:01 PM PST by WKB (Anything Obama: "What a revoltin' development this is")
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To: Utmost Certainty
There were a few kooks in the bunch, but most of the individuals I spoke to were quite reasonable, decently informed, and voiced legitimate concerns about the overactive role of government, the necessity for free and open markets, the urgency for massive spending cuts, sound money, etc.

The Ron Paul people discuss on their forums about how to win support from average Republicans by focusing on those issues where there might be common ground, or by softening their rhetoric. They just don't come out and tell you about all their extreme and radical views right away. Of course like any party it's a coalition and some may be more moderate on some issues than others. But their core base, like with any party, is what defines them. Bottom line, there isn't even any room to fit in Ron Paul's economic views...0% taxes aren't going to be making it into the party platform. We've had candidates talk about cutting some departments, like Perry. It didn't get them any traction. We'll get the Ron Paul supporters if they mature and change. It's not our job to change for them.

34 posted on 03/10/2012 8:01:39 PM PST by JediJones (The Divided States of Obama's Declaration of Dependence: Death, Taxes and the Pursuit of Crappiness)
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LOL, well, there ya’ go. Santorum is in it only for the buzzkill, the party pooper, the spoiler, a vote for Romney, Obama... did I forget anything?


35 posted on 03/10/2012 8:04:26 PM PST by Gene Eric (Newt/Sarah 2012)
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To: pgkdan

>> DROP OUT NOW NEWT!

>> You have no frigging chance of getting he nomineation or ever winning the WH.

You’re more serious than Rick, the humorless, Bush reincarnate.


36 posted on 03/10/2012 8:10:25 PM PST by Gene Eric (Newt/Sarah 2012)
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To: onyx

“In case you haven’t seen this” ping.


37 posted on 03/10/2012 8:11:47 PM PST by Gene Eric (Newt/Sarah 2012)
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To: Gene Eric

The local news confrimed this news tonight!

Santorum has a robo call tonight urging a vote for him because Gingrich and Paul are not in the running.

NO SALE!


38 posted on 03/10/2012 9:33:13 PM PST by onyx (SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC, DONATE MONTHLY. If you want on Sarah Palin's Ping List, let me know.)
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To: onyx

Go Newt!


39 posted on 03/10/2012 9:35:10 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: All
GO Mississippi!
FOR NEWT!!!!


The Place for Conservatives
WooHoo!!



40 posted on 03/10/2012 9:35:21 PM PST by onyx (SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC, DONATE MONTHLY. If you want on Sarah Palin's Ping List, let me know.)
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To: onyx

>> Santorum has a robo call tonight urging a vote for him because Gingrich and Paul are not in the running.

Wow! “Uncool” as the saying goes.


41 posted on 03/10/2012 9:37:46 PM PST by Gene Eric (Newt/Sarah 2012)
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To: WKB

YAAAHLL instead of yawl?

Cheesy grits?

Strange things are happening to him?

Hang in there, Newt!


42 posted on 03/12/2012 12:25:49 AM PDT by dixiechick2000 (This hobbit is looking for her pitchfork...God help the GOP if I find it.)
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To: trappedincanuckistan
You think that if Romney wins Alabama or Mississippi it’s over. Newt is beating him in both. Why would you want Newt to drop out?

What was the point you were laboring to make?

43 posted on 03/14/2012 7:30:20 AM PDT by pgkdan (Rick Santorum 2012. Conservative's last, best chance!)
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To: pgkdan

Rick had a good night. Rather Obama had a good night. The left are excited Rick might be the nominee.


44 posted on 03/14/2012 8:03:43 AM PDT by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: trappedincanuckistan

Sure...keep telling yourself that. The USA had a good night. The only candidate with a chance of beating obammy won two states that newt’s supporters were telling me for weeks he was guaranteed to win.


45 posted on 03/14/2012 8:07:06 AM PDT by pgkdan (Rick Santorum 2012. Conservative's last, best chance!)
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To: pgkdan

Keep telling yourself that. The left is excited. The smiles on the faces of “news “analysts”, and Democrat strategists were unmistakable. Rick energizes the left’s base. All those people that were dissatisfied with Obama will crawl to the polls to vote against Rick.


46 posted on 03/14/2012 8:22:05 AM PDT by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: trappedincanuckistan
And you believe that Newt would be a better choice? Because of his popularity with the voters? Because of his high approval numbers which are consistently at 61% disapprove? Because he's such a start with liberals and independents? Because he's such a hit with women voters? If Newt were the candidate it would be Nixon vs McGovern again only in reverse. Anyone with any political acumen at all can see that if they put aside their emotion and look at the question objectively.

When Newt first announce and for months afterwords nearly every Freeper who posted about his chances had a good laugh at the prospect. I can go back and find posts from many of his loudest cheerleaders if I had the time doing just that. I got news for them...the idea's as laughable today as it was then.

47 posted on 03/14/2012 8:29:27 AM PDT by pgkdan (Rick Santorum 2012. Conservative's last, best chance!)
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