2. Because of demographics: more blacks, Latinos, Muslims and Euro’s that still hold on to their European culture vs becoming Americanized as was the case in the past.
3. Because Hollywood and the news media (85% of them realistically there actually have been studies and surveys on this) are Democrats.
4. Because he's youthful and “handsome” looking, willing to play into the pop culture trash that dominates our media, by showing up on every channel and show to include comedy shows, the food network, kids shows etc. He will win because this sort of junk is what is appealing to the American electorate today: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RsWpvkLCvu4
5. He has few principals or morals. He will do whatever it takes to cling to power and there are no rules or lines that don't get crossed in that game. Lying (going back on his campaign finance promise), throwing troops under the bus to buy votes with ever more extensions of government entitlements, slandering the families of opponents with third party groups that he can distance himself from but who do take direction from his campaign... Anything goes.
Probability he will get reelected? Very high. But not for any of the reasons listed in that article.
I believe you have a better grasp of the reality of the situation than the author of this dreck, I’m sorry to say.