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Election 2012 Preferences: Political Polarization among U.S. Faith Segments
http://www.barna.org ^ | April 4, 2012 | Barna.org

Posted on 04/04/2012 5:47:44 PM PDT by daniel1212

As the 2012 election campaign approaches phase two – when the major-party candidates have been selected and begin to square off – there is an unmistakable lack of ideological and political unity within the Christian community. A new national survey by the Barna Group among likely voters indicates that there are substantial differences across a wide spectrum of Christian subgroups, with only a one segment unwavering in its commitment to defeat President Obama in November.

In the first of those contests Barack Obama and Mitt Romney were of equal appeal to all voters, with Mr. Obama holding a 52% to 48% edge, which falls within the range of statistical error attributable to sampling. However, the study found that a much greater share of Mr. Romney’s support was lukewarm.

In a match-up between Mr. Obama and Rick Santorum, the outcome was another draw (Santorum 51%, Obama 49%).

One of the most striking changes emerging from the new study is that if evangelicals wind up supporting the eventual candidates in November in numbers consistent with their current preferences, Mr. Obama will receive double the support from the evangelical community he garnered four years ago (22%).

Protestant and Catholic voters have distinct leanings in this year’s race. Catholics currently favor Mr. Obama, regardless of which Republican he faces in November. Obama 56%, Romney 44% Obama 52%, Santorum 48% Obama 60%, Gingrich 40%

If the election were held today, among skeptics Mr. Obama would defeat Mr. Romney 70% to 30%; Mr. Santorum by a 73%-27% clip; and Mr. Gingrich by 74% to 26%.

(Excerpt) Read more at barna.org ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: boguspoll; catholic; catholics; election; evangelicals; obama; politicsreligion; protestants; religionpolitics
Excerpt due to copyright concerns. See link for more. Stats from past races and possible faith correlations here and here .
1 posted on 04/04/2012 5:47:54 PM PDT by daniel1212
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To: daniel1212

Tagline...


2 posted on 04/04/2012 5:49:58 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (You can be a Romney Republican or you can be a conservative. You can't be both. Pick one.)
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To: daniel1212; metmom; boatbums; caww; smvoice; presently no screen name; Quix; wmfights; ...

ping


3 posted on 04/04/2012 5:58:35 PM PDT by daniel1212 (Come to the Lord Jesus as a damned+morally destitute sinner,+trust Him to forgive+save you,+live....)
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To: daniel1212

When Ronald Reagan ran against Jimmy Carter in 1980, his poll number in October was 30%.

R.R. won the Presidency the following month.

Right now it is early April, Daniel. A whole Hell’uva lot can happen in the next seven months.


4 posted on 04/04/2012 6:19:49 PM PDT by SatinDoll (No Foreign Nationals as our President!)
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To: SatinDoll

Right. May it turn to the right.


5 posted on 04/04/2012 6:25:27 PM PDT by daniel1212 (Come to the Lord Jesus as a damned+morally destitute sinner,+trust Him to forgive+save you,+live....)
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To: daniel1212
I have been thinking recently that there is NO conservative candidate that comes anywhere close to getting me excited about voting for them. Even Santorum, though he has solid credentials on the important (to me) social issues, does not spark enthusiasm. Newt, at least, held the promise of a thorough Obama clock-cleaning in debates, but it will not be happening. His political and personal baggage proved too much to ignore. I think back on the last few election and I know that the Republican "establishment" has failed to give us the candidate we can ardently support - one that people will gladly send money to, volunteer for and encourage others to support. Ones everybody would gladly put signs in their yards for!

I sincerely hope that the "powers that be" in the party get the message that mainstream, vanilla, middle-of-the-road candidates can NOT win election's against the liberal Democrat, Socialist machine that is in operation today. They have done a much better job convincing the general public that they have THEIR best interests in mind - something we KNOW is far from the truth. But it is going to take a strong and charismatic leader to turn the tide and it looks like the Republican party is fresh out of them. God help us if America has Obama for four more years - we may NEVER recover. It is disheartening to read that any Evangelicals support Obama!

6 posted on 04/04/2012 7:06:52 PM PDT by boatbums (God is ready to assume full responsibility for the life wholly yielded to Him.)
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To: boatbums

The lack of quality is a judgment upon America for “voting” God largely out.

(Hosea 8:4) “They have set up kings, but not by me: they have made princes, and I knew it not: of their silver and their gold have they made them idols, that they may be cut off.”

As for liberal evangel votes increasing, its the latter days.


7 posted on 04/04/2012 7:31:28 PM PDT by daniel1212 (Come to the Lord Jesus as a damned+morally destitute sinner,+trust Him to forgive+save you,+live....)
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To: daniel1212; All
At best, Christians are evenly split between Obama and a GOP alternative.

It's always been that way folks.

Even before the GOP began to pander to Evangelicals.

Remember that when SoCons threaten to ensure the defeat of a secular GOP candidate.

There is little, if any, difference in the voting patterns of Christians from the rest of the electorate.

8 posted on 04/04/2012 7:38:12 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: daniel1212
Mr. Obama will receive double the support from the evangelical community he garnered four years ago (22%)

I find that hard to believe.

9 posted on 04/04/2012 8:37:47 PM PDT by smokingfrog ( sleep with one eye open (<o> ---)
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To: SatinDoll
When Ronald Reagan ran against Jimmy Carter in 1980, his poll number in October was 30%.

R.R. won the Presidency the following month.

Right now it is early April, Daniel. A whole Hell’uva lot can happen in the next seven months.


The only problems with your premise if Mitt Romney is the nominee are:

1. Mitt Romney ain't no Ronald Reagan
2. Mitt ROmney is a lying, left-wing Progressive Liberal.
3. The media and Obama KNOW that Mitt Romney is a lying, left-wing Progressive Liberal.


Besides those issues, Mitt Romney is a shoe-in against Obama.
10 posted on 04/04/2012 11:06:37 PM PDT by SoConPubbie
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To: smokingfrog
I find that hard to believe.

I don't.... Many Evangelicals simply will not for Romney because he's a Mormon, thus Obama wins by default if they withhold their vote.

Further, Evangelicals have been "invaded" by false teachers and Preachers so it's no surprise they would also be mis-lead in who "else" they might support.

Additionally ...Healthy Preaching overall is lacking in many churches so the "flock" is not well fed...in many cases starving for truth because their Pastors are not themselves well fed.

..and the list can and does go on.

But then we were told these things would occur as that day approaches. ...even among our own...in fact directly spoken by Christ they would come from us.

11 posted on 04/04/2012 11:12:56 PM PDT by caww
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To: boatbums; daniell
we may NEVER recover.

It's already looking that way with the Primary going as it is. Right on the edge and Romney or Obama will take us over it.

I believe, sincerenly so, Newt is the best chance we've got to stop the crooks...he knows who they are, what they hide behind, and he has the tools to dig them out. Unfortunately we have a society that is so mixed now, those who do not understand our politics nor our country's history, who do vote...and are easily mis-lead.

As for Evangelicals....awhile back I could see the turning from solid teaching we all once knew...and without it many do no study of their own. "Lukewarm" says it well I think.

12 posted on 04/04/2012 11:21:06 PM PDT by caww
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To: boatbums; daniell
we may NEVER recover.

It's already looking that way with the Primary going as it is. Right on the edge and Romney or Obama will take us over it.

I believe, sincerely so, Newt is the best chance we've got to stop the crooks...he knows who they are, what they hide behind, and he has the tools to dig them out. Unfortunately we have a society that is so mixed now, those who do not understand our politics nor our country's history, who do vote...and are easily mis-lead.

As for Evangelicals....awhile back I could see the turning from solid teaching we all once knew...and without it many do no study of their own. "Lukewarm" says it well I think....others have simply grown cold.

13 posted on 04/04/2012 11:22:30 PM PDT by caww
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To: daniel1212
If the election were held today, among skeptics Mr. Obama would defeat Mr. Romney 70% to 30%; Mr. Santorum by a 73%-27% clip; and Mr. Gingrich by 74% to 26%.

Call them what they are: functional materialists, scientists, atheists, nihilists -- and cynics.

Meanwhile, Santorum gains a statistical tie with Obozo among Catholics, contrary to the author's statement.


14 posted on 04/05/2012 12:04:15 AM PDT by lentulusgracchus
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To: SoConPubbie

“...Mitt Romney is a shoe-in against Obama.”

No, he isn’t.

I support Newt.


15 posted on 04/05/2012 12:45:35 AM PDT by SatinDoll (No Foreign Nationals as our President!)
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To: smokingfrog

Note that the 22% figure is what they say he would receive this time - which i also think is wrong and highly presumptuous - not what they gave in 2008.


16 posted on 04/05/2012 2:49:50 AM PDT by daniel1212 (Come to the Lord Jesus as a damned+morally destitute sinner,+trust Him to forgive+save you,+live....)
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To: SatinDoll

Problem is most people had zero problem with voting for Reagan. A ton of people have issues voting for Romney. I just can’t do it. Talk about lowering my principles. With Romney, it would be voting for a Democrat which I don’t either.


17 posted on 04/05/2012 3:09:17 AM PDT by napscoordinator (A moral principled Christian with character is the frontrunner! Congrats Santorum!)
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To: napscoordinator

What the Hell is wrong with everyone?! No where in my post did I say I support Romney now or will do so in the future.

Come Novemeber I will write in “Newt Gingrich” if he isn’t the official candidate.


18 posted on 04/05/2012 11:30:51 AM PDT by SatinDoll (No Foreign Nationals as our President!)
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To: boatbums
Maybe? Allen West

19 posted on 04/07/2012 9:26:34 AM PDT by daniel1212 (Come to the Lord Jesus as a damned+morally destitute sinner,+trust Him to forgive+save you,+live....)
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To: daniel1212

I would definitely consider Allen West. I hope his political future remains bright.


20 posted on 04/07/2012 7:56:11 PM PDT by boatbums (God is ready to assume full responsibility for the life wholly yielded to Him.)
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To: boatbums

I am going to hold my nose and vote Romney. Sure he is a polytheist, but he appears to at least like this country, would stand for religious freedom and capitalism.

Being from MA, (looney toons land) I remember Gov. Romney did balance the budget in a wildely liberal state. He screwed up with RomneyCare but defends states rights. He did raise fees and such to get the balanced budget only when Libs refused cuts.


21 posted on 04/08/2012 9:54:33 AM PDT by bkaycee
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