Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Why don’t Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum just quit?
The Washington Post ^ | April 6, 2012 | Jonathan Renshon, Jennifer Lerner and Philip Tetlock,

Posted on 04/06/2012 1:30:41 PM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife

[SNIP]

...For candidates such as Santorum and Gingrich, a loss would be highly public. When you’re the exciting new candidate, you’re likely to focus on the endless possibilities, and optimism rules the day. But when the polls turn against you, the fear of failure starts to weigh more heavily. Despite whatever they go on to do, the stigma of losing can be nearly impossible to shake. For example, a Los Angeles Times headline last summer read “Failed presidential candidate Al Gore attacks winning candidate Obama over his environment policies.” The story had nothing to do with campaigning, yet Gore was still branded as a loser.

[SNIP]

....How could they misread reality when there’s so much information (i.e. nonstop polling) about how they’re doing? Well, having so much information makes it easy to evaluate a situation in a way that reflects well on ourselves and is consistent with our beliefs. Losing a primary might be interpreted in a candidate’s mind as a better-than-expected result (still a defeat, but not as bad as the naysayers predicted!) or even as irrelevant (especially in the states where delegates are allocated proportionally to the share of the vote).

Fortunately, some of these pathologies are avoidable. If candidates set objective benchmarks for themselves before campaigning, it would be harder for them to spin results in their favor.

But candidates are still human — no matter how smart and capable they might be. When Bob Dole said last month that it was “getting close to the point” where Santorum should decide whether to drop out, he acknowledged his own difficulty in giving up his pursuit for the 1988 GOP nomination. “As much as you don’t want to do it, sometimes you have to face reality.”

And the reality is, we already have a Republican nominee: Mitt Romney.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Editorial; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: conservatism; gingrich2012; gopprimary; kenyanbornmuzzie; mittromney; newtgingrich; ricksantorum; santorum2012; superdelegates
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-54 last
To: SaxxonWoods; All; Jim Robinson; Admin Moderator

“Some people think the race is about them rather than the country. That would be Paul, Santorum, Gingrich and the people who want them to stay in......They are all helping Obama at this point. But that doesn’t bother them.”

You are ENTIRELY OUT OF LINE sir! There are a great many of us that think Romney would be just as bad a Obama. Because you can’t see that doesn’t give you the warrant to say those of us who do ARE NOT THINKING OF THEIR COUNTRY. Saying, that in your opinion, they should throw in the towel is OK. However, when you impugn the motives of MANY of us that don’t agree....you have stepped over a line you should not.

You owe us ALL an apology to say we are “not thinking of our country.” Maybe we “think” better and wiser than you sir!


41 posted on 04/06/2012 7:29:10 PM PDT by Sola Veritas (Trying to speak truth - not always with the best grammar or spelling)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: Sola Veritas

So you would rather keep the narcissistic socialist/ Marxist fool you know rather than elect someone who you think is just as bad as he is?

where is your spirit of adventure?


42 posted on 04/06/2012 7:34:29 PM PDT by woofie (It takes three villages and a forest of woodland creatures to raise a child in Obamaville)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 41 | View Replies]

To: Sola Veritas

Im not gonna let your thinking get in the way of anyone else who wants that job and can get it,

ABO


43 posted on 04/06/2012 7:36:23 PM PDT by woofie (It takes three villages and a forest of woodland creatures to raise a child in Obamaville)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 41 | View Replies]

To: woofie; All

“So you would rather keep the narcissistic socialist/ Marxist fool.....”

No of course I don’t want him. However, I don’t see that a nacissistic socialist, homosexual enabling, liberal, and mormon cultist fool is any improvement. Also, he might forever ruin any chance of getting a true conservative elected.

Obama is recognizable evil, Romney is disguised evil. Both are evil. I don’t want either.

The only hope is an open convention to get a better candidate. Thus, I’m all for Newt and Rick going the distance.


44 posted on 04/06/2012 8:19:14 PM PDT by Sola Veritas (Trying to speak truth - not always with the best grammar or spelling)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 42 | View Replies]

To: woofie; All

“Im not gonna let your thinking get in the way of anyone else who wants that job and can get it”

Do what you think best. Just don’t impugn the character of us that don’t agree. If you feel you must question my intelligence or wisdom....so be it. I’m certainly doing the same for the “ABO” mentality that will let the likes of Romney represent the GOP without a full fight.


45 posted on 04/06/2012 8:25:41 PM PDT by Sola Veritas (Trying to speak truth - not always with the best grammar or spelling)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 43 | View Replies]

To: Cincinatus' Wife

Huh. Why dont they ever pick on RON PAUL?

FWIW, there’s a simple metric to decide to stay in or not - can you possibly win?

Ron Paul and Newt cannot mathematically win at this point. That’s why newt blathers about a brokered convention and Ron Paul supporters gear up for a convention ‘strategy’; There is zero chance they can win.

Santorum mathematically can win (but reality is closing in ...), but since Jan, he’s not had a 1on1 shot vs Romney.

So why are Newt and Ron Paul making it harder on Rick Santorum? That’s the real question.


46 posted on 04/06/2012 9:23:34 PM PDT by WOSG (Anyone But Obama)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: FoxInSocks
Mitt Romney has lost more elections than he's won, yet he won't go away.

And the one election that he's won, he ran on a pro-abortion platform. The folks who have no problem with voting for him don't seem too bothered by the murder of unborn children, so it's no surprise.
47 posted on 04/07/2012 1:01:41 AM PDT by af_vet_rr
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Happy Rain
I want to hear what Texas has to say. I think if Romney and Paul are their only choices it will be a super low turnout and maybe even a Paul win.

5 out of the top 6 cities in Texas went for Obama in 2008, and Romney has folks like Lamar Smith on his side. Romney is liable to walk away with Texas.
48 posted on 04/07/2012 1:03:06 AM PDT by af_vet_rr
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: af_vet_rr; Happy Rain

http://www.uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?f=0&year=2008&fips=48

Romney always does best in high population density areas (sort of like the Democrats do).


49 posted on 04/07/2012 4:08:26 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 48 | View Replies]

To: garjog

Please cease posting pictorial satires such as that, as it caused me a coffee/keyboard incident this morning when I saw it.


50 posted on 04/07/2012 9:21:52 AM PDT by ngat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 36 | View Replies]

To: Cincinatus' Wife

Yes, that sort of supports the idea that Higher income earners who gravitate to cities, are more likely to support Romney.

Higher educated voters also favor Romney. Poll Demographics heavily support this data.


51 posted on 04/07/2012 9:46:44 AM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 49 | View Replies]

To: Cincinatus' Wife

Why doesn’t Ron Paul just quit?


52 posted on 04/07/2012 9:55:45 AM PDT by Fresh Wind ('People have got to know whether or not their president is a crook.' Richard M. Nixon)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Fresh Wind
[Why doesn’t Ron Paul just quit?]

Ron Paul is the head of a Libertarian/Populist cult following. It is a religion and he is their Pope.

If Newt drops out, Paul will likely get most of Newt's remaining voters with an even split going to Romney and Santorum. Most of Newt's voters who have already left, mostly in favor of Romney, were those who were voting for who they thought had the best chance of beating Obama.

The remaining die hards for Newt are Anybody but Romney hold outs, who refuse to support Santorum. They will favor Paul, who is almost a guarantee to stay in until the Convention.

53 posted on 04/07/2012 10:09:43 AM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 52 | View Replies]

To: berdie

Since Mitt is the “obvious chosen candidate and cannot lose” (/s) what difference does it make if they stay in?

I like that arguement. And it keeps the repubs in the spotlight and odumbi out of it. It keeps dem on the defensive. AND if we get a crazy convention that will mean more viewership and more chances to get our message across. I hope they stay in.


54 posted on 04/08/2012 8:56:48 AM PDT by TomasUSMC ( FIGHT LIKE WW2, FINISH LIKE WW2. FIGHT LIKE NAM, FINISH LIKE NAM)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-54 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson