Skip to comments.Obama, Romney tied at 46%
Posted on 05/02/2012 10:51:42 AM PDT by pabianice
With six months to go.
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
Oh, boy. Another race to the bottom.
The most dangerous 2 months in American history will be those between BO’s loss on November 6 and that day in January 2013 when his successor takes the oath. With truly nothing to lose, I won’t be surprised if he declassifies millions and millions of secrets, outs our CIA agents overseas, and issues Executive Orders that move us toward deeper debt and cultural destruction.
Better that, though, than 4 more years of this assclown.
The msm campaign should kick off soon. We are about to measure the attention span and credulity of the US voter.
Historically, if Obama had a lot of hope he would be beating the pants off of his presumptive opponent now. Mitt hasn’t even been formally proclaimed the GOP candidate yet and nobody knows who his VP would be. Bad juju for Obama and truly, it is far more a reflection of how terrible, lousy, awful, stinking bad Obama is, than how “good” Romney is. Romney is the Republican ham sandwich made from half a loaf of moldy bread.
I notice the poll was a 5 day rolling poll they used to be 3 day rolling wonder why they changed it.
Don't worry people. Virgil Goode will take care of that ugly "tie" thing.
Many people who say they support Obama will not be voting for him. They will either stay home or secretly vote for Romney.
The MSM is going to try to make Mitt Romney look “too conservative.” Mitt has got to be grinning and thinking “yeah throw me in that briar patch!”
Obama has a clear ceiling of support. Bad news for him.
In incumbent elections where the incumbent is unpopular, the electorate is looking to see if the challenger is acceptable. If he is, the incumbent usually loses handily.
That is an over simplistic explanation, but it is bad news for Obama.
Said campaign has been in full gear since January, 2009. I suspect the bloom is well and truly off the rose.
An incumbent president has to be at 50% or better to have much of a chance of being re-elected. This is basically good news, i.e. Romney does not appear to be anybody’s first choice, but Bork Obunga being re-elected would be catastrophic.
Not a whole lot of people are familiar with Mitt Romney’s worst issues, with which Freepers are all too familiar. If he keeps on talking a good talk this year and does not flip flop in the spotlight, most Americans won’t care.
Short of war, or some other earth shattering even, will not manage more than 43% in November.
The real numbers are:
Why? Because 80+ percent of undecideds go to the challenger. Happens almost every election.
Does that factor in massive vote fraud?
Mitt is genuinely worrisome. He is talking a pretty fair conservative line right now, but the flip-flopping “God” of the LDS does not exactly encourage its churchmen (Mitt’s a bishop) to avoid flip flopping themselves. If elected, will he hear a “divine voice” next year telling him to back off of all that conservatism?
However, Barack Obama seems hell bent on being a tyrant. There is slop in the system and Barack Obama seems to be intent on using every inch of that slop to consolidate power to himself and use it leftily.
I take this as good news, because a President is always better known than his challenger.
The rule of thumb is that undecideds always break against the incumbent. The incumbent needs to have at least 50% support going in to the final month or he is in trouble.
For comparison, Jimmy Carter’s average approval rating was 45.5%.
Bad juju for Obama. The main hope Obama would have is that a third party would be so popular it renders Romney unable to prevail.
I like Virgil Goode and the Consitution Party platform. However, Chuck Baldwin polled .19% nationally in 2008; why would we expect Goode to do any better? Even if he does "better", he would have to increase his vote percentage by 500% to even reach 1% in the final tally.
The people most familiar with how Mitt Romney governs (Massachusetts) would be the least likely to complain about it.
No matter how you slice it, or wish differently, one of those two is going to win.
Romney was not my first choice, but he’s not a socialist. He might turn out to be a ‘crony capitalist’, but he’s not a socialist.
Too bad Rick Perry was not ready for prime time.
The presidential race is a race for states and the demographics in the tossup states do not favor Obama by race and ethnic breakdown as much as they do in the solid blue states. In other words, he will shoot off a lot of his demographic ammunition in states he has already won, leaving an adjustment in these numbers even more in favor of Romney.
Obama's internals must be frightening indeed and that is why he is over the top on this anniversary of the assassination of Osama bin Laden.
Most don't have a clue. They're interested in who's promising them the shiniest bling.
I'm being sarcastic. I don't expect Goode to peel too many votes away from Romney.
However, he could peel just enough votes from Romney to throw Virginia to Obama.
We'll see how undecideds go when a wad of "Obama munny" is dangled in front of them.
I do like Rick Perry Perry but never thought he would make it as far as he did..He is my governor and hope to keep him until he is ready for President..
My choice was Newt Gingrich!
I know it’s cliche’ but can you imagine the headlines, nightly cable memes etc. if the parties were reversed?
Romney would be a ‘fatally flawed/wounded incumbent’ below 50% in the polls etc.
A toss-up contest is Team Obama’s worst nightmare because it gives them no clue where to concentrate their efforts. As a result, they must spend much more in time, money and pandering trying to shore up support on multiple fronts.
Correct and the public hasn't really been introduced to Romney yet.
He may actually look good to especially indies and his wife will be an asset IMO. She's fairly well-spoken and seems to like being interviewed.
In addition, even though I don't like Romney, I think he will appear well in debates vs. Hussein.
This may be a race between 100% awful vs 99% awful. Expect a lot of undecideds until election day.
If Bork Obunga gets re-elected, it’s over, there will not be any pieces lying around four years later for anybody to pick up or try to put back together. Charles Krauthammer meanwhile has stated that there wouldn’t be a dime’s worth of difference in how Romney or Gingrich would govern and I don’t see any sort of a rational comparision between Romney and Obunga, the nation could easily survive four or even eight years of Romney. At this point, I am not looking for ideological purity and would be happy to get the US govt. back under some semblence of adult supervision.
Right. I think Romney is probably acceptable to the broader electorate. That’s what’s wrong with America. That men like Barack Obama and Mitt Romney are considered presidential timber is truly disheartening.
Although, in Romney’s defense, at least he passes the competence test. Dislike him though I do, I won’t deny that he was a successful business man and had some genuine accomplishments in his life, unlike Hussein.
Don’t worry people. Virgil Goode will take care of that ugly “tie” thing.
LOL!!! I really did LOL at that. Good one drew.
If America reelects B. Hussein Obama, we deserve what we get and may God have mercy upon us.
Tied at 46%.... That leaves 8% Undecided. If that stands until Election Day, Obama is toast. 3/4 of the undecideds always go for the challenger over the incumbent. If they’re still “undecided” after 4 years... Obozo is gone. Romney will win 52 - 48 percent.
I honestly did not read your Post #18 before I did my Post #41.
Too bad Rick Perry was not ready for prime time
_____________________________________________________________Dude is in his 60s. He’ll NEVER be ready for Prime Time. You can’t ever get “dumb” ready for Prime Time.
At this point, I am not looking for ideological purity and would be happy to get the US govt. back under some semblence of adult supervision.
That is one of the most sensible things I read on this website in a long time. THANK YOU!!!
I agree, but I was not a Perry fan. I do feel that if he could have just eliminated his propensity for self-immolating comments or ‘shoot-from-the-hip’ responses, and just stuck to ‘the script’ (whatever it was), he would have been a formidable candidate in the general. I’m just sayin, if you took Romney’s discipline and inserted that into Perry, it would have been a different story.
I was not a Romney supporter (shared many doubts as others), but come the general, I hope he gets a Reaganesque landslide victory against the Socialist. We need a very CONVINCING WIN (no more Flori-duhs) to send these people out to the hinterlands. We need FULL CONTROL of House, Senate, and Executive to eradicate the crap that’s happened these past 3 years.
I despise Hussein, but historically speaking, if you were on this board in 2000, we heard the same warnings about Clinton-—that he wouldn’t leave, that he would release secrets, and so on. He did pardon everyone but O.J., and he did trash the White House, but I think in general our worst fears were not confirmed. So, I’d have to say that based on historical evidence, even Hussein wouldn’t do this.
Keep in mind that this poll is also of registered voters.
So Romney probably has a 5 pt. lead among likely voters.
Do you know how Reagan and Jimmy Carter polled 6 months before the election in 1980?
Yeah, I thought about that also.