Posted on 05/21/2012 11:12:10 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine
Down, down, down.
Al Gore says it’s shown upside down.
Any word on the “significance” of the fit? Hard to tell from the graph.
What do you mean by “the fit”?
If you look at the graph you can see the loss of about 3/4 of degree over the past 11 years.
I went here: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/monitoring/climate/surface-temperature
and got the CRUT3 data, and fitted 2000-2011. The significance of the fit, the P-value is 57%, meaning only a little bit better than you find if you fit noise. Since this is a selected population (that’s why he posted it), the results are spectacularly unimpressive. The only honest thing you can say is that there has been no significant trend over the past 12 years.
The data is extremely noisy, it does not conform to any simple trend line. Subtracting out the trendline does not significantly decrease the variability. If you fit a curve to the output of a random number generator you will get some kind of trendline, which is completely spurious. The trend in this data is not in the least significant.
Amen. I would also point out that the graph only goes back to 2000. Ho hum. Let’s talk the past 1,000 years. Sorry, that dodesn’t prove what the narrative says is important.
Ooops! Nevermind.
I’m looking forward to global warming. It was 31F two nights ago. It’s May! February temps should stop seeping into spring months.
We have a warm day today, but big drops coming for the balance of the week. We'll be down 20+ degrees for our high tomorrow. Night time lows in the high 30s.
Thanks Jack Hydrazine.
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