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Poll: Obama 49 - Romney 46, But..
Townhall.com ^
| May 22, 2012
| Guy Benson
Posted on 05/22/2012 12:28:41 PM PDT by Kaslin
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1
posted on
05/22/2012 12:28:45 PM PDT
by
Kaslin
To: Kaslin
WaPo/abc “poll”. This means Romney is up by at least 10 points.
2
posted on
05/22/2012 12:30:59 PM PDT
by
FlingWingFlyer
(Dumb, dependent and Democrat is no way to go through life. - Rep. Louie Gohmert (R-Texas)
To: Kaslin
To: FlingWingFlyer
4
posted on
05/22/2012 12:37:28 PM PDT
by
stephenjohnbanker
(God, family, country, mom, apple pie, the girl next door and a Ford F250 to pull my boat.)
To: Kaslin
Pathetic results for Obama despite the laughing oversampling of donkeys. It is very clear that Romney is winning the independents in almost every poll and he who wins the independents is going to win the elections... It is that simple...
5
posted on
05/22/2012 12:38:19 PM PDT
by
jveritas
(God bless our brave troops)
To: Kaslin
Just goes to show that every poll is worthless unless you know the internal composition of it and whether or not likely voters or just registered voters were used.
The 32/22/38 Dem/GOP/Independent split is a joke. Not only does it oversample the Dems but add them all up and you still have 8% unaccounted for.
To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...
Thanks Kaslin.
Let's see if I understand this correctly. WaPo/ABC News' sample handed Democrats a ten point edge (three points higher than 2008 -- a banner year for Democrats), and projected that Republicans would comprise less than a quarter of the electorate in November...and Romney is still within the margin of error?
7
posted on
05/22/2012 12:39:09 PM PDT
by
SunkenCiv
(FReepathon 2Q time -- https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
To: Kaslin
After all the lies they’ve been caught in, WaPo and ABC have no sense of shame whatever.
To: Kaslin
Todays D/R/I is 32/22/38, which means this model would only be predictive for a turnout model where only 22% of voters are Republican. Just to remind readers, the 2008 turnout split from exit polls showed a 39/32/29 split, and that was considered a nadir for Republican turnout. In the 2010 midterms, the split was 35/35/30. This isn't a poll. It's an obammy campaign ad!
9
posted on
05/22/2012 12:42:54 PM PDT
by
pgkdan
(ANYBODY BUT OBAMA!)
To: Kaslin
in a poll of black lesbian communists maybe...
10
posted on
05/22/2012 12:43:10 PM PDT
by
bigbob
To: jveritas
and he who wins the independents is going to win the elections.
Heaven help us. These are the same people who bring the drive thru to a screeching halt for fifteen minutes because they can't decide what to order off of the Value Menu.
To: Kaslin
Problem downloading site but good points presented.
12
posted on
05/22/2012 12:44:05 PM PDT
by
ZULU
(Non Nobis Domine Non Nobis Sed Nomini Tuo Da Gloriam.)
To: Buckeye McFrog
Unfortunately the history of elections show that they are the ones who decide the winner... Not all independents are “mooshy middle” by the way... You can find a lot of conservatives who consider themselves independents and you can find them right here on this site.
13
posted on
05/22/2012 12:47:29 PM PDT
by
jveritas
(God bless our brave troops)
To: Kaslin
Todays D/R/I is 32/22/38, which means this model would only be predictive for a turnout model where only 22% of voters are RepublicanIt's time for the Democrat pollsters to go all out.
Just do a D/R/I of 72/-18/38.
You know, 72% of the voters would be Democrat, NEGATIVE 18% would be Republicans, and 38% would be independents.
The way you count those votes is, when a negative-percenter in the Republican column indicates a preference for Romney, you REMOVE a vote count.
14
posted on
05/22/2012 12:49:11 PM PDT
by
Lazamataz
(The so-called 'mainstream' media has gone from "biased" straight to "utterly surreal".)
To: Kaslin
Heh.. They may be right...
I know Im NOT going to go out and vote for the GOP’s socialist candidate.
LOL, whos supposed to keep him in “check” again? Boner?
Best bet for the GOP is to talk enough of the delegates into skipping the first round or voting at the convention, cause I don’t think the folks who say they wont vote for a socialist even if he has a R behind his name are bluffing. I know Im not...
15
posted on
05/22/2012 12:49:46 PM PDT
by
myself6
To: jveritas
They should NOT be called “independents”...they should be called UNDECIDEDS....
16
posted on
05/22/2012 12:51:08 PM PDT
by
goodnesswins
(What has happened to America?)
To: Kaslin
Any conservative COULD win, but
Romney was chosen by the DNC and Soros and
the GOPe because he is a loser, nearly
identical to Obama.
17
posted on
05/22/2012 12:51:26 PM PDT
by
Diogenesis
("Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. " Pres. Ronald Reagan)
To: Buckeye McFrog
"
These are the same people who bring the drive thru to a screeching halt for fifteen minutes because they can't decide what to order off of the Value Menu." Yeah, so? What's your point? You know there are a lot of things on that menu and sometimes trying to figure out if A Quarter Pounder is a better buy with Super Sized fries and no coke or with reg fries and a lg coke takes some time....
To: Kaslin
Romney wins 55/45 according to the math.
Only 27% of the independents went for Obama in this poll.
Assume the D/R/I this time is 37/33.5/29.5 which is the average of 2008 / 2010.
Obama 45%, Romney 55%
They know this. They have better quants working than I.
19
posted on
05/22/2012 12:57:44 PM PDT
by
cicero2k
To: Kaslin
propaganda to support the dem / obozo ballet fraud come Nov.
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