Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (Obama falls slightly behind)

Rasmussen Reports ^ | June 2, 2012

[Clintonfatigued]

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Mitt Romney picking up 48% of the vote, while President Obama attracts 44%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).

This is the first time either candidate has been ahead by more than two points since President Obama held a three-point edge on May 21. As with all such changes, it remains to be seen whether these new numbers reflect a lasting change in the race or are merely statistical noise.

[Clintonfatigued]

The race remains close, but this is the weakest Obama has been since he announced support for gay “marraige”. We should be cautiously hopeful and determined to win this thing. It’s the most important Presidential election in at least 72 years.

[FrankR]

[Kahuna]

I keep seeing polls that show Zero at just 44%, whether State or National. The undecided vote normally makes a last minute dash to the challenger. A final election night tally at say 54-44 would amount to a huge landslide.

[cookcounty]

And...Romney has moved a point ahead in the Gallup Daily of Registered voters.

In the case of both of these polls, 2/3 of the results were from BEFORE yesterday’s really bad day for Obama and the economy.

[NE Cons]

You beat me to it. I expect the lead to increase to 6 by tomorrow.. Moving in the right direction

My biggest hope is that the negative jobs/markets news will help propel Walker to a solid victory on Tues!

[ExTexasRedhead]

These polls are bogus. He’s TOAST just like the photo shows. RAT Rattlesnakes will be eating their own any day.

[SamAdams76]

Obama (as any Democrat candidate) will always have his 40-45% base. Even if he is videotaped naked chewing at the face of a homeless person, Obama is still good for 40%. That's the way it is and the way it shall always be so long as this nation is divided between "left" and "right".

The battle, as always, is for the squishy middle - the 10-15% of this country that haven't already taken up sides between liberal and conservative. These are the folks who usually decide our leaders and it's a scary thought because they are usually the least informed. Which is why they are always up for grabs every election.

They went Obama's way last time around because Obama was a fresh face and by golly, wouldn't it be the coolest thing to have a black president who speaks of "hope and change." Wouldn't it be nice if we all just got along and put all this nasty politicking aside! Kumbaya...kumbaya!

Well here we are four years later and are we better off than we were four years ago? Hell no. The whole "hope and change" meme turned out to be just another empty campaign slogan like "no new taxes" and "a kinder and gentler America."

So now Obama is pretty much stuck with his base - the 40-45%. The middle 10-15% is still up for grabs. Question we have to ask is how many of those 10-15% will decide that Obama deserves another four years? Not many, as the polls consistently show. Will they eventually gravitate over to Romney? I think they will. Many of them are not ready to admit they made a mistake taking a chance on Obama but when they get in that voting booth, they will vote accordingly.

I think a 54-44% blowout by Romney is a real possibility here. Not that Romney is the bees knees, but because Obama is just so awful.

[LS]

I still think there is a slight 1-2% “guilt” element in all polling regarding Obama. Can’t prove it, but I’d bet Romney is now closer to 50% than it seems.

[Hang'emAll]

They went Obama’s way last time around because Obama was a fresh face and by golly, wouldn’t it be the coolest thing to have a black president who speaks of “hope and change.” Wouldn’t it be nice if we all just got along and put all this nasty politicking aside! Kumbaya...kumbaya! .......

And at the time, as my 37 yr old daughter said,”Europe will like us”.

And as I said,”Europe has never liked us, never will and who really gives a s***!”

[nascarnation]

Excellent analysis.
The only thing I would add is that the 10-15% squishys aren’t distributed evenly by geography.
Some states like Cal, Ill, and NY will never go in the R column for POTUS.
But that makes it easier for the campaign to focus resources on Fl, Oh, NC, Va, etc.

[MNDude]

Dick Morris claims 89% of undecideds goes against the incumbent historically.

[Cheerio]

With his dismal record, and half of Americans not paying any Fed Income Tax, he surely is headed for a second term IMHO.

In a sane world the buffoon in the WH should be at -35% in his daily approval ratings, and he would have been impeached by now.

TREASON (great simplified NBC chart)

[Logical me]

King Obama has rigged the system and bought millions of voters. That points out the real problem. Stupid Americans that support a communists black Muslim and so far this jackass continues to buy them. These fools just don't get it and if this black Muslim gets another term he will shove them under the bus.

[scram2]

"The undecided vote normally makes a last minute dash to the challenger. A final election night tally at say 54-44 would amount to a huge landslide

" I sure hope you are right.

I am encouraged with the fact Romney for all his faults is at least a lot tougher then what we are used to in our nominees recently.

Here is something interesting for those not familiar with polling theory.

http://www.pollster.com/faq/do_undecided_voters_break_for_1.php

[scram2]

My feeling is that due to the liberal media and it’s constant pounding of the PC meme many people are simply unwilling to in any way express dissatisfaction with Obama.

I also think when the time comes to step into the voting booth and close the curtain, these reservations will evaporate and they will vote their true feelings.

[scram2]

"And as I said,”Europe has never liked us, never will and who really gives a s***!”

LOL, you got THAT right!!