Daily Presidential Poll - Ras (Romney +3)

RasmussenReports ^ | 6/11/12 | Scott Rasmussen

[NE Cons]

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting 47% of the vote, while President Obama earns 44%. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

...

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 47% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president's job performance. Fifty-two percent (52%) at least somewhat disapprove (see trends).

...

Intensity of support or opposition can have an impact on campaigns. Currently, 28% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-one percent (41%) Strongly Disapprove, giving him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -13 (see trends).

[NE Cons]

Ras has Romney up by 3.

The latest Gallup has Romney up by 1... Note, though, that Gallup is still using Registered Voters, and is a 7 day tracking sample, whereas Ras is likely voters, and 3 days.

[GlockThe Vote]

A B O

Time for Obama to go!

[NE Cons]

You have to believe that Romney picks up at least 2% of the undecided, and 3% of the “other”. That puts him at about 52%.

[muawiyah]

Still too early to read all that much into these particular polls but the TRENDLINES are similar ~ and that ought to count for something.

It should be disturbing to some that both these guys are UNDER 50% ~ but it doesn't bother me a bit ~ I expect worse by September and October.

[muawiyah]

The undecided and other can be folks who select neither!

[GlockThe Vote]

My guess is in november 53 - 46 Romney.

Barack Kardashian is losing tons of indes as he keeps doubling down on his gay agenda, etc.

[MNDude]

Exactly 4 years ago, Obama led McCain by 5 points in the Rassmussen polls:

http://donklephant.com/2008/06/11/rasmussen-obama-leads-mccain-by-5/

Obama – 49%
McCain – 44%

[AlexW]

I am often frustrated by the Rasmussen poll.
From day one of Obama’s immaculation, I expected a somewhat linear decline in approval, and have yet to understand how it is not that way.
December of last year he hit -24. Today he is -13.
Everything Obozo does should be driving him into the sewer.

[NE Cons]

True, but it won’t be 5%. I can’t imagine it’ll be more than 2%

[Senator_Blutarski]

A few comments:

Are there really only 4% undecided at this point? That percentage seems small.

Obama is nowhere near 50%, which has to scare the daylights out of the Democrats.

"Other candidates" probably have more potential to hurt Romney than Obama. Romney was not my first choice, but I'll vote for him over Obama any day. At least he understands business and executive management.

[NE Cons]

Interesting. I believe there were 2 times where McCain took the lead. Right after selecting Palin, and right after the convention. He was beijing every other time, If I recall correctly

. If good to see the MKM I the mid-40s

[NE Cons]

Those are the same exact numbers we saw in the Walker race... Coincidence?

[Bulwinkle]

I think Thursday is the best day to look at Ras. Polls over the weekend IMO favor Dems as people want to forget reality on the weekend...

[NE Cons]

It's the power of the media... Prop him up every day. Spin every story and event to make him look good... And the sheeple/masses buy it, cause they have collective ADD... They listen to the headlines, and don't go beyond it

The equivalent of billions of dollars of free publicity. Look at how the media spins his "coming out"... They promote the June GLBT month disgrace...

[matthew fuller]

The situation was significantly different then - Neither was the incumbent. Dick Morris says that the “challenger” gets all of the independent vote, and I think that is about right.

[muawiyah]

This race my estimation is a minimum of 5% and maybe more. But the problem for the Republican is that even if he does as well as McCain, he still has to bring down Obama by 15% to win. If he does as well as George Bush, he only needs to bring down Obama by 8%.

You see the problem if NEITHER equals 5% or greater ~ this race could be a toss up, but also, worse, it could be unknowable until the votes are counted.

Those polls showing these two guys tied should be watched closely.

[muawiyah]

The pollsters are getting large numbers of 'I don't want to participate in your poll" responses ~ not sure what they do with them, but they could well be "decided "undecideds"" ~ that is, people who don't like either candidate AT ALL and at this time have no intention of chosing one over the other.

Be interesting to see if that's the case with Ras or Gal

[Democrats hate too much]

"December of last year he hit -24. Today he is -13. Everything Obozo does should be driving him into the sewer."

The reason for this has to do with the Republican primaries. This is right before Romney went very negative in Florida... If the Republicans had followed Ronald Reagan's 11th commandment "Thou shalt not speak ill of any fellow Republican" during the primaries and focused more on Obama in the debates then some of the silly personal attacks (not all silly, but some personal attacks were really dumb) Republicans would not have looked so childish. If Republicans used the debates as an info-mercial of why not to vote for Obama, then it would have been linear decline.

[MNDude]

June 2004:
Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll: Bush 46%, Kerry 45%

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1155288/posts

[NE Cons]

Ras has been very accurate for years. He blew the 2000 election, predicting an 8 point Bush victory (his portraitofamerica.com site), but since then, he’s been money