Skip to comments.New Michigan poll finds Obama’s lead over Romney down to one point
Posted on 06/14/2012 5:27:21 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
Continuing the trend of bad polling data for President Obama over the last week, a new poll released today shows President Obama only leading Mitt Romney by one point in the key state of Michigan. According to the poll from Foster McCollum White and Associates and Baydoun Consulting, President Obama currently garners 47% of likely Michigan voters, compared to 46% for Mitt Romney.
In 2008 President Obama won Michigan by 16 points. In the last month of the 2008 campaign, Senator John McCain (R-AZ) actually abandoned all efforts in the state because it was seen as sure win for Obama.
Many analysts believe a similar pattern would follow in 2012 since President Obama pushed for and helped pass the bailout package which helped the auto-industry in the state to recover following the 2009 financial crisis. Mitt Romney authored an op-ed piece entitled Let Detroit Go Bankrupt in which he argued for a different strategy, though Romney still claims he would helped the industry in a different manner.
However, this new poll puts doubt on the claim that Michigan is still safe for Obama in 2012. Foster and Baydoun actually have a reputation for representing Democratic Party interests, and their date is in line with a recent survey from EPIC-MRA which found Romney ahead 46%-45%.
(Excerpt) Read more at examiner.com ...
This is amazing. If Obama loses Michigan, it’s over.
..yeah the word "garners" tip us off....
Accepting a fudge factor......Obama has lost Michigan.
I’d say now it is, in reality, about 53% Romney.
I don’t know there are a lot of really really stupid people in Detroit and Flint. The rest of the state mostly votes red, not all though.
This is why Sarah IMHO endorsed Benishek, that was one blue county she would have needed to take MI had she one, one of 4.
I have said it since Oct-10' watch Michigan it will be where the action is.
I am sticking to it...
IMHO Obama is toast here, if he is break even or down 2 this close to "Detwaa"...
He didn't go to "Detwaa" with Hoffa for a Labor Rallye, Back then I said it was to shore up the base. IMHO they must have had internals back then that had them in deep doo doo....
This is a poll of registered voters, so Romney is probably up by around 2% among likely voters. Which is exactly how the EPIC-MRA had him last week, right?
If Romney wins MI, he will definitely carry OH, and it will be all over but for the shouting.
OZERO cannot win. I keep wondering if we patriots should be calling on him to resign now. If that happened, Biden could then act as a transitional figure as we prepare to restore the Republic. Under those circumstances, Biden might even be pressured to bring Republicans into the executive branch to ease into the inevitable transition early.
Of course, the Anointed One would refuse any of that. But that would only show the voters who he really is. That is why we need to ask — loudly and often.
Just because a pollster (or the TV station that paid for the poll) is from the Detroit area doesn’t mean that they didn’t poll anyone in the rest of the state.
The last two polls make it clear that Obama’s support among likely voters is no better than 45%, which is a horrible position for a Democrat incumbent in a Democrat-leaning state. Obama’s campaign strategists must be bricking shicks.
Agreed, but watch some XYZ on line and see how “centric” they are to SE Michigan. Yes they are Bhitting Sricks....
Obama’s style has never really sold in the state outside of Ann Arbor and those types of areas. The dems would have won here in 08 no matter what, especially after McCain pansied out.
Romney should win Oakland County. If he can survive Macomb and get big base numbers due to an “ABO” vote, he’ll win. There IS a question of that however.
You think Romney has a better chance of carrying Oakland than Macomb? I would think it would be the other way around, since Oakland has more black and Jewish voters who will likely stick with Obama while Macomb has more Catholic voters who will no longer support Obama; yes, I know that Romney is more popular among Bloomfield Hills types than among Warren types, but Obama will be very unpopular among social conservatives this time around. Besides, Oakland gave McCain 42% in 2008 and Bush 49% in 2004, while Macomb gave McCain 45% in 2008 and Bush 50% in 2004, so Macomb recently has voted a couple of points more Republican than Oakland in presidential elections.
Romney grew up in Oakland County. That’s the difference. He’s probably make more inroads with Jewish voters in West Bloomfield, Birmingham, and the small Orthodox portion in Oak Park, than McCain did, although I don’t expect anything in Huntington Woods.