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No to Nukes: Nuclear power isn’t cost-effective, no matter how you do the math.
Reason ^ | July 2012 | Veronique de Rugy

Posted on 06/27/2012 9:04:38 PM PDT by neverdem

When Barack Obama was just a baby, nuclear energy was touted as the technology that would finally provide pollution-free, limitless electricity for all. In its famous 1962 Port Huron Statement, the left-wing Students for a Democratic Society gushed about how “our monster cities…might now be humanized” thanks to nuclear power. Like so many predictions about the future, that one rather dramatically missed the mark.

Surprising as it may seem, the United States still generates around 20 percent of its electricity from nuclear power plants. This despite the fact that no new facilities have been built since the notorious Three Mile Island accident of 1979, which released small amounts of radioactive gases and iodine into the environment after a partial meltdown at a nuclear power plant in Dauphin County, Pennsylvania. Public opinion has remained steadfast against the technology ever since. In February The Economist reported that 64 percent of Americans opposed building new reactors. Disputes over waste disposal have never been resolved, and the Fukushima reactor meltdown in March 2011 cast further doubt on the idea that nuclear power will ever be a long-term clean-energy solution in the United States.

All of this has not stopped the Obama administration from betting on nukes. Even though the president prefers talking up more fashionable (and less economically viable) technologies such as wind and solar, in February his Nuclear Regulatory Commission quietly approved construction of what would be the first two new nuclear reactors in two generations. In 2010 Secretary of Energy Steven Chu touted the White House’s commitment to “restarting the American nuclear industry and creating thousands of new jobs and export opportunities in the process.”

But jump-starting nuclear power is not just bad politics. It’s awful economics.

The nuclear energy industry in the United States is powered by corporate welfare on plutonium. What is in theory a wonderful technology is in practice an economic white elephant. The data accumulated during the last 30 years suggest strongly that nuclear plants will never be able to cover their operating costs, let alone recoup the billions it costs to build them.

A 2009 Massachusetts Institute of Technology study led by physicist Ernest J. Moniz and engineer Mujid S. Kazimi showed that nuclear energy costs 14 percent more than gas and 30 percent more than coal. And that’s after taking into account a baked-in taxpayer subsidy that artificially lowers nuclear plants’ operating costs.

A 2010 study by the U.S. Energy Information Administration projected that nuclear power will remain more expensive to produce than other conventional sources of electricity in 2016 (see chart). Based on this analysis, nuclear power is also more expensive than wind power, although cheaper than solar and clean coal.

While the nuclear industry in the United States has seen continued improvement in operating performance over time, it remains uncompetitive with coal and natural gas on price. This cost differential is primarily driven by high capital costs and long construction times, often more than 10 years.

According to the Congressional Budget Office, nuclear power plants, on average, wind up costing three times more to build than original estimates suggest. Inflation, especially in the more nuclear-powered 1970s, played some role in the problem of ballooning costs. But when a project takes more than a decade to complete, labor and capital costs can grow in unexpected ways as well.

Historically, nuclear energy has flourished only in countries, such as France and Japan, where governments have stepped in with heavy subsidies. Yet dating back to at least the Reagan years, many conservatives have argued that if it weren’t for the regulatory costs and other barriers imposed by the federal government, nuclear energy would be competitive in the United States as well. While these conservatives rarely have a kind word for a nation of cheese-eating surrender monkeys, they don’t hesitate to point to France—which gets about 75 percent of its electricity from nuclear power and has never suffered a large-scale disaster—as demonstrable proof that nuclear power can be affordable and safe if companies are given the opportunity to build plants.

But producing nuclear energy in France is not magically cheaper than elsewhere. French citizens are forced to pay inflated costs to support grand government schemes, such as the decision made 30 years ago to go nuclear at any cost after the first oil shock in 1974.

In a 2010 paper published by the Institute for Energy and the Environment, Vermont Law School economist Mark Cooper found that the overall cost of generating nuclear power in France is similar to that in the United States. The price range for the two countries (after adjusting for purchasing power) overlap, despite the fact that the U.S. has a relatively strict regulatory regime and France has a relatively loose one: France’s estimated cost for a kilowatt of power is between $4,500 and $5,000; the estimated cost in the U.S. is between $4,000 and $6,000. Those figures remain stubbornly high, despite decades of efforts to get them down to manageable levels.

The main reason no new nuclear power plants have been built in the United States in 30 years is that they have proven to be poor investments, producing far more expensive electricity than originally promised. Giving the thumbs up to start work now on two new nuclear plants is an act of desperation by a president who has realized he is running out of other options.

Contributing Editor Veronique de Rugy is a senior research fellow at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: authorondrugs; bsarticle; energy; noreason; nuclear; nuclearenergy; nuclearpower; reactor; reasonmag; veroniquederugy
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To: gleeaikin

“Given that we recently had a 5+ earthquake near Mineral, Virginia, and a nearby nuclear plant, I am not sorry that there are at least some government regulations. I’ll bet the Japanese wish there had been more.”

I tend to agree with you. The only worse than having the government continually nag the nuke industry is to leave them alone and let them decide how many meltdowns a year is an acceptable “attrition rate”, as they would call it. I’ve met these operators, the guys in upper management, and that is EXACTLY how they think.

It’s really no different than when the government stopped regulating banks, the same types of people went wild and made loans like crazy that they ALL KNEW would never get paid back per their terms. There are simply some areas of life where unbridled capitalism doesn’t work - not many, but some.


41 posted on 06/28/2012 3:48:57 AM PDT by BobL
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To: neverdem

Restarting the nuclear power generating industry is the only thing the Obama administration has done right in almost 4 years. There are many things about nuclear power that most don’t know. If you are more than 300 feet from a nuclear reaction, it won’t affect you. That is the length of the longest wave. For it to affect you, something else has to be introduced, such as radioactive atoms being Transported by wind or water toward you. Nuclear power is not that dangerous. If it were, ships would not have reactors on board.


42 posted on 06/28/2012 4:14:21 AM PDT by maxwellsmart_agent
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To: maxwellsmart_agent

If the greenies want us to all drive those plug in cars that are only good for a max of a 30 mile commute, then they better step out of the way as we build more nuclear plants.


43 posted on 06/28/2012 4:45:04 AM PDT by Cyclone59 (Obama is like Ron Burgundy - he will read ANYTHING that is on the teleprompter)
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To: Kevmo
The future of nuclear power is LENR.

I hope to warm my Chicago home with one of Rossi's reactors. Are they available at WalMart yet?

44 posted on 06/28/2012 5:49:39 AM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Math is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: BobL
It’s really no different than when the government stopped regulating banks

I missed that, you have a link?

45 posted on 06/28/2012 5:54:39 AM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Math is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: neverdem

Fighting the lawsuits and overregulation alone is probably 40% of the cost of nuke power.


46 posted on 06/28/2012 7:20:48 AM PDT by JimRed (Excising a cancer before it kills us waters the Tree of LibertyI'm st! TERM LIMITS, NOW AND FOREVER!)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

Give me a ping when someone indicts Jon Corzine on a charge of stealing 1.6 gigabucks.


47 posted on 06/28/2012 7:59:32 AM PDT by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
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To: DuncanWaring

I’m pretty sure there is a law against stealing 1.6 gigabucks.


48 posted on 06/28/2012 8:14:29 AM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Math is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

So am I.

But if it’s not enforced, it’s just ink on paper - not “regulation”.

Like I said, give me a ping when the government does anything to deter people from stealing 1.6 gigabucks.

I won’t be holding my breath.


49 posted on 06/28/2012 8:24:21 AM PDT by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

Also, several county officials of Jefferson County, AL went to prison for accepting bribes in the catastrophically-botched financing of their new sewer system.

None of the bankers who paid the bribes went to prison.

Is it no longer illegal to bribe government officials? Or is it just that laws prohibiting bribery of government officials are no longer enforced ... if you’re a banker?


50 posted on 06/28/2012 9:41:13 AM PDT by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
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To: DuncanWaring
http://blog.al.com/spotnews/2010/07/hold_former_jefferson_county_c.html

According to the above link, 21 people and 5 companies were convicted.

White is the last to be sentenced among 21 people and five companies convicted in connection with two federal probes into the construction and financing of the sewer system project. Also convicted in the probes were former Jefferson County commissioners Larry Langford, Chris McNair and Mary Buckelew.

Based on this comment, 4 commissioners were convicted. None of the other 17 were bribe payers? Are you sure?

51 posted on 06/28/2012 12:35:13 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Math is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

Further research suggests some of those convicted worked for construction companies building the sewer.

JP Morgan, the bank, as a corporation appears to have been fined. The corporate fine is essentially just a “cost of doing business”, like the electric bill.

I find no evidence, however, that the persons employed by JP Morgan that actually paid the bribes were in any way punished.

If you have evidence to the contrary, I’d love to see it.


52 posted on 06/28/2012 12:56:34 PM PDT by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
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To: DuncanWaring
http://blog.al.com/spotnews/2010/06/jeffco_sewer_probe_draws_30_mi.html

Last fall former Birmingham Mayor Larry Langford was convicted of corruption charges involving the refinancing of sewer bonds while he was a Jefferson County commissioner. Montgomery investment banker Bill Blount and former lobbyist Al LaPierre also pleaded guilty as part of a scheme to bribe Langford to get the bond business for Blount's firm.

Looks like at least these bribers got some time.

As far as I can find, they're still going after Charles LeCroy and Douglas MacFaddin.

53 posted on 06/28/2012 2:41:48 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Math is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

I suppose the matrix of bribers and bribees is a closely-held secret.

From Wikipedia: “The SEC has awarded the county $75 million in compensation relation to “unlawful payments” against JP Morgan and in addition the company will forfeit $647 million of future fees.”

No indication, though, that any individuals at JP Morgan have seen any judicial adverse consequences.


54 posted on 06/28/2012 3:04:22 PM PDT by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
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To: DuncanWaring
I suppose the matrix of bribers and bribees is a closely-held secret.

The investment banker and lobbyist are in jail.

As far as I can find, they're still going after Charles LeCroy and Douglas MacFaddin. Those are the former JP Morgan employees.

55 posted on 06/28/2012 3:14:09 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Math is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

“I missed that, you have a link?”

No prob, I should have included it, sorry...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gramm%E2%80%93Leach%E2%80%93Bliley_Act


56 posted on 06/28/2012 6:12:25 PM PDT by BobL
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To: BobL
Thanks for the link.

It doesn't show the government stopped regulating banks. Are you sure that's what it did?

57 posted on 06/28/2012 6:26:53 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Math is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

“It doesn’t show the government stopped regulating banks. Are you sure that’s what it did? “

You’re welcome. Yea, in effect, it told them that the government was through questioning their judgement...Option ARMs started becoming mainstream almost to the day it passed, and the rest was history.


58 posted on 06/28/2012 7:19:20 PM PDT by BobL
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To: samtheman

The great thing about Unicorn Farts is they seem to be completely free of methane.
....

Hmm, sounds like they don’t stink either.


59 posted on 06/28/2012 7:48:16 PM PDT by ckilmer
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To: BobL
You’re welcome. Yea, in effect, it told them that the government was through questioning their judgement...

Could you highlight the part that says that? Thanks.

Option ARMs started becoming mainstream almost to the day it passed, and the rest was history.

Glass-Steagall didn't prevent Option ARMs. Or losing money on crappy mortgages.

60 posted on 06/28/2012 8:12:41 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Math is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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