Posted on 06/29/2012 5:30:18 PM PDT by randita
Rothenberg released a new set of House ratings today. Looks like he has improved on the GOP chances since his last set of ratings.
http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/ratings/house
Interesting that he has Matheson as Toss Up/Tilt GOP. No wonder Matheson is boycotting the convention. He’s reading the tea leaves.
Not that I should be giving the Dim’s advice..
Don’t worry about gaining the house.
Worry about minimizing losses...
Tim Murphy has been very visible at community functions in his southwestern PA district, pressing the flesh. The Trib, the conservative Pittsburgh paper, continues to excoriate him as a ‘union lover’. If he loses and the Dem takes his seat, the Trib will have handed the seat to gleeful Democrats.
So what does he call Arkansas 4th? Safe Democrat? Most local Democrats I speak to expect a Republican pickup.
Gerlach had 57% of the vote in 2010 vs Trividi in the PA 6. This seat isn’t up for grabs like the author wants one to believe.
Murphy is a little too union friendly for my taste but, hell, the 18th district is very blue collar and he has to throw them a bone once in awhile to survive. Rick Santorum had to do the same when he represented our district, as the Newtbots will gleefully remind everyone.
(Thanks, Newtbots, Santorum actually had a decent shot of winning the nomination in February when Newt couldn't read the writing on the wall after Super Tuesday.)
It’s not about PA going blue, it’s about voter fraud. Unless we fix that, absentee ballots included, we haven’t got a chance.
AR-04 is not on Rothenberg’s list of the 66 seats he thinks are in play. So he probably considers it Safe-R with Ross retiring.
John McCain got 58% of the vote there in 2008.
He’s still got McCotter listed in Michigan. I thought he had given up after being the victim of some kind of dirty trick with the petition to get on the ballot (most of the names submitted were invalid). He won more than 60% of the vote in 2010 so it should be a reasonably safe seat for a Republican.
I have, for the first time in my voting lifetime, a pubbie for a state congress critter, and a pubbie for a state senator.
We still have john roberts as chief lewinsky on the supreme court.
In 2010 - Pennsylvania elected in Republican governor, Republican Senator and both houses in Harrisburg went Republican for the first time in 30 years.
Philadelphia democrats have been neutered and they have no friends in Harrisburg anymore to bring home the graft. Their “big guns” are dead, retired or in jail.
No one on Bucks County (liberal white) likes obama much anymore.
I just wish the Republicans would do a Walker and free the state workers from bring FORCED to join a public union as a condition of employment.
Gee,,,,,,does this mean nobody is going to the Obamacare Convention in Sept.??
During the 2000 election fiasco,it dawned on me: we can NEVER, EVER vote for a Democrat in a local election!!! Not for the city commission, the county alderman, or dog catcher!! We cannot let them get their foot in the door!
This is what TEA Party and Repub volunteers should be working for. Pennsylvania has much work to do.
Call and volunteer to be a poll watcher. There should be several in each precinct. Take the day off and help stop the fraud.
How many seats does he foresee the Republicans winning without much challenge?
Every republican gov should be cleaning up their states’ voting rolls and integrity.. Like Rick Scott in Fl.
“Maddening these idiots flee the chaos in the city and come to the burbs and continue to vote for the same party that ruined the city”
Just like the Illegal Alien Mexicans here in California. They are like animals who have succeeded in crapping up their own nest to such an extent that it is no longer livable, so they move on to a nicer place and start their defecating all over again! Maybe we should start a government program to buy all of them a big screen so that they have something to do besides procreating to occupy their spare time! Judging from some recent posts, we should probably extend that program to all the AA’s as well.
“So what does he call Arkansas 4th? Safe Democrat? Most local Democrats I speak to expect a Republican pickup.”
All these pollsters are the same. Rasmussen shows McCaskill as a tossup when Silverman is over 50% and nine points ahead of her. It’s always the same, they stick with the incumbent until the eleventh hour. It’s the same with Heller in Nevada, but he’s the appointed incumbent at 51% with his opponent ( a worthless liberal ex professor transplant) polling only 40%. Go figure!
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