That was a good one pardner!
Posted on 07/12/2012 1:38:30 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
See Post #13 above...
Pew being a liberal organ, didn’t have much of a reason to skew their polls in 2008 as they do now attempting to prop up Obama.
so this poll sample was D33/R26/I35....yeah right, thats not biased...... sarc.
Yup, Pew has always been considered accurate.
Check the polling methodolgy. This one is a humdinger.
and the RV sample was D37/R30/I35....talk about way off the real electorate.
That was a good one pardner!
and the RV sample was D37/R29/I34....talk about way off the real electorate.
sorry corrected.
Were they even citizens? I doubt that Pew would check.
This Pew poll of 221 more Dems (995) than Repubs (774), and Independents polled for a whopping (1037).
Sorta flies in the face of the latest Rasmussen self-identity poll for the beginning of July, 2012.
“Partisan Trends: Republicans 35.4%, Democrats 34.0%, Unaffiliateds 30.5% Monday, July 02, 2012”
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/partisan_trends
Run the Ras percentages; OBama does not come out on top.
RE: Registered voters? Who cares about registered voters? What are the “internals?” Was there oversampling, again.
________________________________
I agree with your sentiment.
Can’t help but ask -— How is this a reliable poll?
From the internals:
“Respondents in the landline sample were selected by randomly asking for the youngest adult male or female who is now at home.”
Not even registered voters... not even eligible for registering to vote, just youngest? Why not oldest? Why not random based on who answered the phone? Because this method gives them the results they’re wanting.
Hundreds more Democrats than Republicans included in the survey. Even though the survey itself found the Republicans more energized about the election, they weighted the sampling data as if Democrats would be more energized. Why purposefully distort the sampling size against the facts? Because it gives them the results they want.
The problem isn’t the results it gives, but that the setup of the survey was so skewed, the poll is basically useless for information purposes.
Not surprised for a few reasons.
1) More and more people are dependent on goverment benefits. Just last month more people went on disability (which now includes drug addiction, being fat and alcoholism)than actually got jobs. They are Obama voters.
2) The government has grown drastically since 2008 (especially since 2010) governent workers do NOT vote themselves a pay cut or to be unemployed. Obama has their vote.
3) Some republicans still see this as a race between a republican vs democrat OR a liberal vs conservative and whatever damage Obama does in 8 years can easily be reversed and we will again be on top again when Sara Palin or some other real conservative comes in in 2016 or 2020 or 2024. They still see this as "politics" and Obama's just a typical democrat liberal. Obama sees this as him vs America (as we know it). Obama does not have these people but neither does his opposition.
I don's see Obama conceding anytime in the next 4 years... maybe not even after that.
Pew Poll (circa July 1980): Carter Holds Lead, Reagan trails on most issues.
So, I'm assuming that fully 25% of the people who are not even registered voters probably don't even know who Mitt Romney is; most probably don't know this is an election year.
If you cull that 25% out, somehow, you are STILL stuck with the unreliable "registered voters," not "likely voters." They try to obfuscate their incredibly bad sample by simply enlarging it. But if you enlarge your sample of a field of manure by adding more manure fields, guess what you get?
Still, this allows RCP to lick its lips and change its more accurate numbers to show a steady Obama lead.
A leftist will win the ‘12 POTUS race, no matter what. Both, Barack Obama and Mitt Romney agree on way too many issues, while Mitt Romney continues to pretend that he’s a conservative!
Pew...stinks they’re always biased to the left. They polled registered voters not LIKELY voters, which would give a different result. They’re doing all they can to brain wash us, don’t buy their BS.
You’ll see ALL media polls reflect the truth just in time to save their reputations and relevance...usually weeks before the election.
ALL of media bends the truth to build excitement and viewership and the public falls for it election after election.
“It’s going to be a close one folks, right down to the wire, a real cliffhanger and only WE have the most accurate polls” /s
Oh come on....the brain dead obama admin and his lapdog media told us not to read too much into the jobs report! Like obama stated “The private sector is doing fine” (that statement is based on White hut hiring and pay raises). Funny, now the revised numbers as Rush stated later in his show today, the BLS number of UI bennies was off by 89000 (higher)...oops...the gub caught lying about unemployment and jobs...do tell.
How would you explain today's 50%-43% in favor of Obama at Pew and the 46% to 45% Romney advantage at Rasmussen?
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