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In Fight for the House, the Trajectory Is Clear
Roll Call ^ | Stuart Rothenberg

Posted on 07/21/2012 7:27:37 AM PDT by SMGFan

House races often don’t start getting attention until after Labor Day. But with the presidential contest sucking the air out of the political environment and defining the electoral landscape, House candidates may find they have an even harder time than usual defining themselves and their opponents. That means the existing trajectory of the fight for the House may be harder and harder to change as Labor Day approaches, creating a growing problem for House Democrats who continue to insist that the House is “in play.” Democratic strategists need a dramatic shift in the House playing field if they are going to have any chance of netting the 25 seats they need to regain a majority in the House of Representatives. And that outcome looks increasingly remote. Right now, the outlook for the House is anywhere from a small GOP gain to a modest Democratic gain in the single digits — not close to what Democrats hoped for as the cycle began.

(Excerpt) Read more at rollcall.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: house

1 posted on 07/21/2012 7:27:46 AM PDT by SMGFan
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To: SMGFan

There can be no shift so sudden that would not make me work hard to get rid of Steny Hoyer.


2 posted on 07/21/2012 7:41:20 AM PDT by Venturer
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To: SMGFan; Clintonfatigued; Impy; AuH2ORepublican; fieldmarshaldj; no dems; Kaslin; ...

Deputy Pelosi will tell you they’re on track to sweep back into power.


3 posted on 07/21/2012 7:42:32 AM PDT by randita (Either the politicians fix our fiscal insanity, or the markets will.)
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To: SMGFan

Stuie sounding a bit down, isn’t he?


4 posted on 07/21/2012 7:47:59 AM PDT by capydick (''Life's tough.......it's even tougher if you're stupid.'')
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To: capydick

He is hoping BHO will make the tide rise and life the candidates , but he will be anchor. Nancy said Democrats should skip the convention and campaign, The all important Labor Day week will make or break them. /s


5 posted on 07/21/2012 7:55:31 AM PDT by SMGFan (SMGfan is not "Sub Machine Gun" fan)
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To: SMGFan

Poor Stuart Rothenberg. How it must pain him to say it’s looking “impossible” for the Dems to retake the House. I’m so upset — not!


6 posted on 07/21/2012 8:02:18 AM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: SMGFan
I believe it will be a hat trick. The Republicans will have complete control.

It's not so much America is clamoring for Republicans , it's that they are sick of Nancy, zer0, and Harry.

America lost it's opportunity for Conservative leadership, I don't believe Mit has the gravel in His guts to grind back the size of Govt. That's are only hope.

7 posted on 07/21/2012 8:12:15 AM PDT by reefdiver (Shoeless John Roberts, An American Tragedy.)
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To: SMGFan; ml/nj; ExTexasRedhead; SunkenCiv; Clintonfatigued; Impy; Political Junkie; ...
Democratic strategists need a dramatic shift in the House playing field if they are going to have any chance of netting the 25 seats they need to regain a majority in the House of Representatives. And that outcome looks increasingly remote.

If Stuart Rothenberg is saying that, you know that the 'Rats are in deep trouble. That's what happens when you pass Obamacare in the dead of night, among numerous other examples of lunacy and corruption. That on top of a rigid tyrannical statist ideology, and you can see why the 'Rat Party is loosing the support of the electorate.

8 posted on 07/21/2012 8:50:48 AM PDT by justiceseeker93
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To: randita; All
Deputy Pelosi will tell you they’re on track to sweep back into power.

Deputy Pelosi and quite a number in her caucus are delusional. They'll be fortunate not to lose additional seats.

9 posted on 07/21/2012 8:54:45 AM PDT by justiceseeker93
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To: justiceseeker93

Poetic justice would be for Pelosi to lose seats in California, especially after the left rammed through the double-screw of extra-gerrymandered Dem districts AND top-two finishers going to a runoff regardless of party (preventing some Dems from facing GOP opponents in the general).


10 posted on 07/21/2012 9:01:17 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (If you like lying Socialist dirtbags, you'll love Slick Willard)
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To: SMGFan

This is why a Tea Party endorsement is so vital, even if bitterly opposed by the leadership. In this case, not just the national Republican RINO leadership, but a lot of Republican state party leaders that are about as bad, and very determined to keep conservatives out of their ranks.

The best current example of this is the race in Texas between Cruz (Tea Party) and Lt. Gov. Dewhurst (establishment candidate). But it is found all over the country.


11 posted on 07/21/2012 9:19:11 AM PDT by yefragetuwrabrumuy
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To: All
PASS THE WORD--THE MORE PEOPLE THAT KNOW ABOUT THIS THE HARDER IT IS TO PULL OFF THE SCAM The 2012 Ohahas are using the 2008 Anita (Mao) Dunn strategy to manipulate voters, to downplay Ohaha's destructive policies ....and his scary plans for the next term. Dunn has said THEY and only THEY decided what the media should know about 2008 candidate Ohaha. Obama's 2012 reelection motto: "Don't worry--we're harmless"

=====================================================

Obama's open mic slip in Russia revealed his hidden agenda. He didnt say "after the election, or “after the next election.” He said: “This is my last election" ....... reassuring the Ruskis that he'll then have "more flexibility after the election....”

Clearly Ohaha's certainty WRT staying in offce is not based on his approval ratings or massive opposition to his cockamamie polices----mandated healthcare, trillion dollar stimulus, using aborted babies' brains in lab experiments, giving himself massive executive power over Americans, co-opting religious beliefs, $4-Plus gas, 16% real unemployment, trillion dollardeficits, escalating inflation at the supermarket, the GSA spending scandal......to name a few.

No. Ohaha's certainty stems from his knowledge that he will stay in office---not by the will of the people---but by buying his reelection, using unprecedented vote fraud.

FIRST AND FOREMOST----WE MUST ATTACK THE MASSIVE
VOTER FRAUD OHAHA INTENDS TO USE TO GET REELECTED.

Remember, voter fraud is the Chi/mobs' specialty---do NOT underestimate Rahm and Axelrod (both running O's reelection), and Valerie whatsherface in the WH.

Let us not forget----the minute they hit the WH, the Chi/mob went into action: the WH Chi/mob took over the census---and now have all the CV they need to file phony FEC reports using stolen federal dollars falsified as campaign contributions.

Do not underestimate the wealth of cash the Ohahas/Chi-mob can come up with to rig the election......remember, these are the kingpins of corrupt Chicago politics. At one time, conscientious FEC investigators verified money was coming from legal citizens....but if Obama wins there will be no investigations. Remember, there are billions unaccounted for in Obama's stimulus packages (probably used in the last election cycle).....you can be sure the Ohaha kingpins have tons of money stashed away for 2012.

==================================================

POINTS TO PONDER

<><> author Dean Koontz estimates there's about $90 billion missing from the US Treasury.

<><> Ohaha's ex-COS Chi/Mayor Rahm Emanuel is running the reelection campaign----b/c this Wall Street turd knows where all the money is hidden. Rahm also controlled all US Treasury assets (at Obama's behest) when he was COS.

<><>The Ohahas took control of the census upon taking office----they have all the necessary CV to phony up contribution reports for the FEC.

=======================================

WATCH FOR PHONY FEC REPORTS The Ohaha's "say" they added $45 million to reelection coffers in February.....raised jointly by the DNC, "Obama for America" and two other joint fundraising committees — the "Obama Victory Fund" and the "Swing State Victory Fund,"...and whatever other voter frauds they dream up.

12 posted on 07/21/2012 10:12:22 AM PDT by Liz
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To: All
SUGGESTED POSTER ----delivers the message with dynamite.

"Religion is the opiate of the masses."

Astute observers note Lenin's use of the phrase led to burying his political ambitions.

Lenin---and Obama---are supremely stupid.

They "forgot" there are millions of believers that will not tolerate political leaders belittling and marginalizing their sacrosanct beliefs.

13 posted on 07/21/2012 10:15:45 AM PDT by Liz
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To: fieldmarshaldj

No, true justice would be for Pelosi to lose her own seat.


14 posted on 07/21/2012 12:08:47 PM PDT by MrChips (MrChips)
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To: randita; Clintonfatigued; Impy; AuH2ORepublican; fieldmarshaldj; GOPsterinMA; onyx

I was out this afternoon doing door-to-door here in my neighborhood for Greenberg CT-5

getting more local each year. Soon, I won’t leave my 5-town area. I wish I had good polling on the race, but that is asking for too much.


15 posted on 07/21/2012 9:28:35 PM PDT by campaignPete R-CT (and we are still campaigning for local conservatives in central CT.)
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To: MrChips

Pelosi would only lose to someone to her left in that district.


16 posted on 07/21/2012 11:48:32 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (If you like lying Socialist dirtbags, you'll love Slick Willard)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

This fine Gay Ar—I mean, Bay Area stalwart might just prove a match for her.

http://www.foxnews.com/us/2012/06/26/san-francisco-gay-rights-activist-reportedly-arrested-over-child-porn/


17 posted on 07/22/2012 12:14:10 AM PDT by Fightin Whitey
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To: randita; justiceseeker93

LOL Deputy Pelosi.

I agree with Rothenberg, either party could gain slightly. If Romney wins I think it’s more likely it will be the GOP that gains.


18 posted on 07/23/2012 5:41:15 AM PDT by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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