I just came from the Manassas, VA rally. There were plenty of “seasoned” citizens there. HUGE turnout - people are thrilled about Ryan.
The only people there for Obama were paid to be there - a few “Educators for Obama” and some thugs who were bussed in from “elsewhere.”
Poll a few from Florida and see what they think. Better yet, poll them a few weeks from now. Enthusiast gatherings never tell you anything you didn't already know.