Franklin & Marshall College Poll

Franklin and Marshall College ^ | 16 Aug 2012 | Yost, Madonna, Knittle, Huebner

[ScottinVA]

The August 2012 Franklin & Marshall College Poll finds increasing voter interest in the presidential election. President Barack Obama continues to lead his Republican challenger Mitt Romney, although his advantage is smaller than in June.

[ScottinVA]

In this, the first poll in PA that at least partially reflects voter reaction to the addition of Paul Ryan to the GOP ticket, Romney has more than halved his deficit (0bama +12 in June). That pollsters had to reach to a dem+13 sampling to get this narrow result speaks to the growing possibility that perhaps PA is in play after all.

[COBOL2Java]

Makes you wonder what the sampling will be mid-October. +50?

[WashingtonSource]

In other words, Romney is ahead in Pennsylvania. This is a game changer. Obama can’t win without Pennsylvania. Ever.

[MrB]

This is absolutely... absurd? insane?

The oversampling is so blatant that it’s hard to see how these people put these poll results out with a straight face.

[ScottinVA]

So true.

Pee-Pee-Pee and NBC-Mar(x)ist had better hurry up and produce their obligatory monthly Obama-leads-by-15+ polls to quash rumblings up there that Obama could actually be defeated.

[bray]

The bigger question is when do they go to only Democrats polled?

Pray for America

[Carriage Hill]

I don’t believe any polls; they’re all skewed +%pts to lib-dems, and mean nothing. PA is in play, as are many other lib-dem places. America’s had more than enough of that POS in the White Hut. Romney-Ryan need to ratchet-up the attacks and be unrelenting until Nov 6th. 0bummer’s extremely vulnerable and they need to go in for the kill. Forget being civil; it doesn’t work.

[ScottinVA]

PA FReepers, what’s the true, unvarnished assessment of the D vs R proportion up there? I find it VERY difficult to believe it’s D+13.

[Kahuna]

If the best the Moron-In-Chief can get is 47% in a bogus +13D poll of REGISTERED voters, one would have to conclude that he is toast Scotty!

[DaveInDallas]

If it helps, Obama beat McCain in 2008 54.4% to 44.2%.

[MrB]

I tried to look up voter registration records, and they are in excel documents with tabs for each week of the year.

I’m not fishing through that to find the answer.

[tsowellfan]

Looks like Romney will need to write off Pennsylvania. Hope it can be replaced.

[MrB]

Interesting, that’s a +10 in the “year of insanity”.
I wonder what it was in 2010, the year of the “recovery from hangover”.

[ScottinVA]

I’m not fishing through that to find the answer.

No problem... was just wondering if anyone knew the true number off the top.

Dave, thanks.. I'll bet the spread is probably half that now, all factors considered this year.

[ScottinVA]

Looks like Romney will need to write off Pennsylvania. Hope it can be replaced

Sarcasm (I hope)?

[Kahuna]

If the Voter ID Law stands, you can put a fork in Barry. PA has been trending R in recent State elections for good reason. ....coal, gas, gay marriage ect.

[Tallguy]

Meanwhile the Philadelphia Inquirer is going bananas over the court decision upholding Pennsylvania's Voter ID Law. There are several articles today criticizing, analyzing and just general hand-wringing about the effects of the new Law.

Can voter-ID laws affect the outcome of an election?

[harpu]

Looking at ALL aspects of the Polled information, it's really hard to believe that Pennsylvanian's are that stupid...party skewed or not.

I'm not buying it!!

[wolfman23601]

What is the actual ratio of Dem/Rep in PA?

[TexasFreeper2009]

lol

Democrats do not have a +13 point advantage in Penn! heck they don’t even have that kind of advantage in California!