Obama has a MAX popular vote number of 42-43%, and thats if he runs a perfect campaign, his campaign is a joke. I Honestly think this guy will be LUCKY to hit 40% of the vote on election day. He may very well get a lower pecentage of the vote than Hoover in 1932. We are looking at a repudiation of an administration of epic proportions folks... This isn’t going to be a squeaker.
Obviously fight like it is, but there is no way its going ot happen.
If everything were to remain static from 2008 to today just 1 in 14 obama voters would have to change their minds for him to lose. Does anyone really thing a guy who has presided over the biggest disaster of an administration in 100 years isn’t going to lose 1 in 14 of his supporters? Seriously, fewer folks are going to have JOBS the day his term ends than the day he took office!! No president in the modern era can make that claim, not EVEN CARTER!!!
Factor in that things won’t be static from 2008, Republicans won’t be sitting on their hands this time around. I fully expect at the end of the day independents will break close to 2-1 for Romney. IN some polling a full 20% of democrats are admitting they will vote for Romney, when just swing states are polled Obama is down roughly 10 points today... Do you think his numbers can go up??
42-43%, that’s his popular vote max.. and I franly don’t think he’ll hit that.
Obama got 50% of male voters in 2008. Heh... Anyone think that’s going to happen again? I think not.