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Tropical Storm Isaac Should Rival Hurricane Katrina
Forbes ^ | 8/26/2012 | Michael Barak, Joseph Bastardi and Alan Lammey

Posted on 08/26/2012 11:56:51 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather

On August 24th, we warned on Forbes that Tropical Storm Isaac could pose a threat to energy markets and even rival Hurricane Katrina in its destructive power (Could Tropical Storm Isaac Turn Into Another Katrina?). While the computer models are still showing a substantial spread in solutions, it appears more likely that Isaac will make landfall somewhere near the Louisiana, Mississippi Gulf Coast. This track will provide the storm more time to intensify over the very warm water of the Gulf of Mexico.

The entire Gulf Coast from Lake Charles, LA to Panama City, FL should be aware of the latest forecast model guidance. The reason for this large spread is because the computer models are split between whether a trough will capture Isaac or not. As of 8AM Sunday morning, it appears Isaac will not be captured and as a result, a more westward track is most likely.

(Excerpt) Read more at forbes.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneisaac; isaac; katrina; rival
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I heard Bastardi talking about this on Hannity's radio show Friday.
1 posted on 08/26/2012 11:57:01 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather
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To: sheikdetailfeather

I see no problem.
With Baraq and Big Sis on watch, it’s all taken care of.


2 posted on 08/26/2012 11:59:55 AM PDT by nascarnation (quit)
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To: sheikdetailfeather

Is there enough heat in the Gulf of Mexico to drive it to Katrina levels?


3 posted on 08/26/2012 12:00:17 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: Jack Hydrazine

Yes.


4 posted on 08/26/2012 12:01:07 PM PDT by sheikdetailfeather (Yuri Bezmenov (KGB Defector) - "Kick The Communists Out of Your Govt. & Don't Accept Their Goodies.")
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To: Jack Hydrazine

No. We have a democrat in office.


5 posted on 08/26/2012 12:01:51 PM PDT by null and void (Day 1315 of our ObamaVacation from reality - Obama, a queer and present danger)
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To: sheikdetailfeather
Tropical Storm Isaac Should Rival Hurricane Katrina

Um, no. Issac might reach Category 3, but a weaker Category 2 classification in much more likely. The damage from a storm of that strength will be bad, but nothing like that caused by Katrina.

6 posted on 08/26/2012 12:02:15 PM PDT by TonyInOhio (Send Sherrod Brown packing - www.JoshMandel.com)
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To: sheikdetailfeather

There’s still time for a popcorn run because you just know that NO woman will be on the bridge again complaining the bottled water she was given wasn’t chilled properly.


7 posted on 08/26/2012 12:02:15 PM PDT by bgill
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To: sheikdetailfeather

Hyperbole much?


8 posted on 08/26/2012 12:03:22 PM PDT by Mom MD (T he country needs Obamacare like Nancy Pelosi needs a Halloween mask)
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To: bgill

How did the Navy get involved in this thread???


9 posted on 08/26/2012 12:05:20 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: sheikdetailfeather

So Southern Decadence Weekend looks to once again have its flamboyant parade of perverts rained upon. Abundantly. With winds to match.

Katrina, Gustav, Isaac . . .

What’s it going to take?


10 posted on 08/26/2012 12:05:20 PM PDT by Jedidah
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To: sheikdetailfeather
Headline was changed on Forbes site from “could rival” to “should rival” within the past 30 minutes or so, without any change in the accompanying story.

Bottom line, they offer no reasons why this will play out as Katrina did. It is a pure guess

11 posted on 08/26/2012 12:06:03 PM PDT by beenaround
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To: sheikdetailfeather

I guess history is going to be re-written to show Katrina as the biggest storm to ever hit our shores.


12 posted on 08/26/2012 12:06:04 PM PDT by Gettin Betta
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To: TonyInOhio

Ike was just a Cat 2 at landfall, but it was huge. Devastation in Galveston. This one is very large, too. We shall see . . .


13 posted on 08/26/2012 12:06:57 PM PDT by Jedidah
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To: TonyInOhio

It might reach Cat 3, it might reasch Cat 5, it might not even become a hurricane. Unfortunately, we don’t have the technology to be very good at forecasting intensity yet. Katrina itself wan’t forecast to be any stronger than a Cat 3 at this point. What scares me about Isaac is his size. If he gets his act together and closes the COC, it could well bomb into a monster... but that may never happen.


14 posted on 08/26/2012 12:06:57 PM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: sheikdetailfeather
Get your buckets ready!


15 posted on 08/26/2012 12:08:56 PM PDT by Yaelle
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To: Gettin Betta

Not biggest, but most costly. Andrew was much more powerful... luckily it didn’t lay a direct hit on the city of Miami.


16 posted on 08/26/2012 12:08:56 PM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: wolfman23601

I did hear Bastardi say it could get to a CAT 3-5 in the warm waters of the Gulf when he spoke to Hannity Friday.


17 posted on 08/26/2012 12:10:51 PM PDT by sheikdetailfeather (Yuri Bezmenov (KGB Defector) - "Kick The Communists Out of Your Govt. & Don't Accept Their Goodies.")
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To: Jedidah
Ike was just a Cat 2 at landfall, but it was huge.

True. It was also no Katrina.

If Issac can get organized over the next twelve hours or so (which seems likely), then it will probably slowly strengthen; I'd say it has a 5% chance of reaching the kind of intensity that Katrina had at landfall.

18 posted on 08/26/2012 12:11:34 PM PDT by TonyInOhio (Send Sherrod Brown packing - www.JoshMandel.com)
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To: sheikdetailfeather
I heard Bastardi on Hannity as well on Friday. He basically said that the storm would be so catastrophic that it would dominate the news cycle this coming week and unfortunately push the RNC off the front pages. He said that this storm would likely be the news event of the year like Katrina was a few years back.

I like Bastardi (and he's no liberal) as he's not afraid to go out on a limb on his forecasting. Fortunately, he is sometimes spectacularly wrong and I'm hoping this is one of those times.

BTW, speaking of Bastardi, I used to subscribe to his blog on AccuWeather for $5 a month. Now he is over at WeatherBell and charging $160 a year. That seems to be a bit steep to me just to get a blog. Does anybody get his WeatherBell blog and if so, is it worth it?

19 posted on 08/26/2012 12:11:53 PM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: beenaround
Bottom line, they offer no reasons why this will play out as Katrina did. It is a pure guess.

possibly a tactic to directly drive prices up on the market as soon as it opens Monday.

The market is being propped up and then driven up by many different tactics. This has been going on for quite some time now.

20 posted on 08/26/2012 12:11:53 PM PDT by VideoDoctor
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