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Poll: Obama, Romney neck-and-neck ahead of party conventions (Romney leads 47%-46%)
The Washington Post ^ | August 27, 2012 | Dan Balz and Jon Cohen

Posted on 08/26/2012 11:23:44 PM PDT by middlegeorgian

A new Washington Post-ABC News poll shows Romney at 47 percent among registered voters and Obama at 46 percent — barely changed from the deadlocked contest in early July.

The findings continue a months-long pattern, with neither the incumbent nor the challenger able to sustain clear momentum, despite airing hundreds of millions of dollars in television ads — most of them negative — and exchanging some of the harshest early rhetoric seen in a modern presidential campaign.

Romney’s selection of Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) as his running mate also did not fundamentally reshape the race, although the GOP’s conservative base has grown more enthusiastic about the ticket — but no more so about the chances of beating Obama in November.

Enthusiasm — or a lack thereof — will be on display as Republicans and Democrats hold their conventions over the next two weeks. The two parties will make their pitches to an electorate stuck in a deeply pessimistic mood. More than eight in 10 give the economy negative marks and nearly seven in 10 see the country as seriously off track — an assessment that has not changed significantly all year.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: barackobama; convention; election; mittromney
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Washington Post polls always tilt left. This poll is also registered voters and not likely voters and the D/R/I sample 31/22/39.
1 posted on 08/26/2012 11:23:59 PM PDT by middlegeorgian
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To: middlegeorgian

Gee, Registered voters. How about “Likely Voters”, which is the only measure that tracks closely to reality ???

Oops, can’t report that, it would show just how much trouble the Ear Leader is in. . .


2 posted on 08/26/2012 11:34:02 PM PDT by Salgak (Acme Lasers presents: The Energizer Border. I **DARE** you to cross it. . . .)
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To: middlegeorgian

D+9 sample. Unbelievable!


3 posted on 08/26/2012 11:48:48 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: Salgak
At the end of the article: The telephone poll was conducted Wednesday through Saturday among a random national sample of 1,002 adults, including 857 registered voters. The margin of sampling error for both samples is plus or minus four percentage points.

Worthless .. ~

4 posted on 08/26/2012 11:49:02 PM PDT by CrickMan
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To: middlegeorgian

The “war on women” isn’t working.


5 posted on 08/26/2012 11:50:52 PM PDT by cdchik123
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To: middlegeorgian

Bush/gore was close
Bush/Kerry was too close for comfort
McCain/Obama polling was close

Now, Romney/obama is close

With as bad as Obama has been, this is not good for Romney.


6 posted on 08/26/2012 11:59:06 PM PDT by Berlin_Freeper (I used to want to change the world. Now, I want to stop the world from changing me.)
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To: middlegeorgian

just wondering where you got the D/R/I sample 31/22/39 from?


7 posted on 08/27/2012 12:03:34 AM PDT by Lib-Lickers 2
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To: Salgak
No, until the conventions are over and done with that'd just be throwing away money on polling.

Currently the continuing saga of the registered voter based polls shows NO CHANGE IN MONTHS.

That's actually very important and well in line with what cooler heads have been warning since LAST FALL!

This is simply not an easy campaign ~ the other side has learned some tricks since the days of Jimmy Carter.

8 posted on 08/27/2012 12:43:46 AM PDT by muawiyah
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To: Ravi
That's cause there are more Democrats than Republicans.

A 50/50 D/R result would be suspicious.

9 posted on 08/27/2012 12:45:30 AM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah

Not entirely correct. 2000 d+4 sample. 2004 d=r. 2008 d+7. 2010 d=r. My hunch is somewhere between 2000 and 2004. So d+2 is what i’m going wit. D+9 is definitely off. Old wapo polls in years past showed them switch to LV polls in october. I’ll pay more attention when they switch to LV polls.


10 posted on 08/27/2012 12:53:00 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

That’s fine ~ just that LV polls are essentially useless before the Fall campaign begins.


11 posted on 08/27/2012 1:04:43 AM PDT by muawiyah
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To: middlegeorgian
This story claims the results of this poll are what they were in July but didn't the WAPO only about 2 weeks ago run out a poll showing Obamugabe up by 6 or more points?

And notice the new tactic taken up by the Obama media? It's now all about a “disinterested population” seeming to indicate no voter enthusiasm. It seems the libs have finally gotten the message it isn't 2008 and their turnout will be far less than they hoped for so they are trying to drive down opposition turnout which is at a fever pitch as we approach election day.

12 posted on 08/27/2012 1:41:31 AM PDT by beenaround
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To: muawiyah
"That's cause there are more Democrats than Republicans"

According to the latest from Rasmussen and Gallup that is not exactly clear and it certainly does not justify the wide disparity between Party's in the sampling of the media commissioned polls.

"Monthly Rasmussen Reports tracking of partisan trends found that in June 2012, 35.4% identified as Republicans, 34.0% as Democrats and 30.5% were unaffiliated. These numbers changed only slightly from the previous month."

Gallup As of 2010, Gallup polling found that 31% of Americans identified as Democrats (tying a 22-year low), 29% as Republicans, and 38% as independents.[3] By 2011 Gallup found that Americans identifying as independents had risen to 40 percent. Gallup's historical data show that the proportion of independents in 2011 was the largest in 60 years. This increase came at the expense of Republican identification, which dropped to 27%, while Democratic identification held steady from 2011. Nevertheless, more American independents leaned to the Republican Party when compared to the Democratic Party. Combining leaners with each party's core identifiers, for 2011 the parties ended up tied at 45 percent.[4]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_party_strength_in_U.S._states#Rasmussen

13 posted on 08/27/2012 1:57:40 AM PDT by beenaround
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To: middlegeorgian

Dem+9 sampling among registered voters, and Romney +1 is what they come up with?

Uh-oh... things must be getting mighty tense in the 0-Boy camp... this is a big f-in` deal!!


14 posted on 08/27/2012 2:22:57 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Stop the bleeding, Todd Akin. Do the right thing and step aside!!)
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To: middlegeorgian

It’s my opinion that it is not even close across the country with a very few screwed States exceptions.


15 posted on 08/27/2012 2:26:10 AM PDT by BamaAndy
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To: Ravi
D+9 sample. Unbelievable!

---

I really hope someone makes a documentary about the media bias (for the theaters) after the election. It's not like we need it but the general public does. Something needs to happen because this is a major problem. I've never seen the media so in the tank for a president...

16 posted on 08/27/2012 2:47:01 AM PDT by CommieCutter
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To: middlegeorgian

Here’s the thing: Whites Republican/Leaning Republican are 52% to 40% Democrat/Leaning Democrat (Pew).

They are covering up a massive Romney landslide.


17 posted on 08/27/2012 3:03:23 AM PDT by struggle (http://killthegovernment.wordpress.com/)
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To: Berlin_Freeper

Nothing will drastically change the numbers in this race.

Simply said ,Obama has paid for about half the country to vote for him with money from the taxpayers.


18 posted on 08/27/2012 3:07:29 AM PDT by Venturer
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To: ScottinVA
"Romney at 47 percent among registered voters and Obama at 46 percent "

Yup. If it holds, he's gone.

19 posted on 08/27/2012 3:27:41 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: struggle

I’m a Democrat on paper but have voted Republican since 2008. There’s a lot more of us than Team O realizes.


20 posted on 08/27/2012 3:31:52 AM PDT by jsanders2001
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