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Snap poll: Romney’s favorable rating rises five points overnight, Christie’s speech most popular
Hotair ^ | 08/29/2012 | AllahPundit

Posted on 08/29/2012 2:33:55 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

Alternate headline: "So far, so good."

I assume most of this is due to Ann, whose speech dwelled entirely on Mitt, versus Christie, who didn't mention him until 16 minutes in. But even so, this is interesting:

Romney had a 43-percent favorable and 44-percent unfavorable rating in nine battleground states heading into the convention, according to an average compiled by Real Clear Politics.

A survey conducted by Wilson Perkins Allen Opinion Research in nine battle ground states Tuesday evening found Romney’s favorable rating among likely voters had jumped to 48 percent. His unfavorable rating dipped to 39…

New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie’s speech had the biggest impact of the convention so far, more than twice as popular as Ann Romney’s remarks on Tuesday, according to the poll.

Twelve percent of respondents rated Christie’s speech as their favorite, compared to five percent who favored Romney’s…

The good news is it’s a sample of likely voters. The bad news is that the sample’s small, just 303 people. Any news that Romney’s favorables might be improving after months of Obama attacks is worth blogging, but there’s really no way to tell from this whether he’ll get a meaningful bounce. Consider it a “good sign” and a further reason to watch Ryan tonight. My hunch is that if there’s any speech that’s likely to significantly help the ticket, it’s his, not Mitt’s tomorrow.

As for Christie’s speech, Politico claims people “close to Romney” are grumbling that it was a bust because it was more about him that it was about either Mitt or Obama. (Never mind that Romney’s team vetted the speech weeks ago.) If you’re going to get the big guy for your keynote, you want him in full tough-guy mode, throwing roundhouses, no? Actually, maybe not. Jay Cost makes the case:

One theme that connects the political victories of Barack Obama in 2008, George W. Bush in 2000, Bill Clinton in 1992, Ronald Reagan in 1980, Jimmy Carter in 1976, and all the way back to Thomas Jefferson in 1800 is a simple, powerful message: The other side has failed America, but we can do better.

If you look at the polling data, you can see pretty clearly that a Republican convention that focuses on the failures of Barack Obama would be tantamount to beating a dead horse…

The middle of the country is deeply disappointed in the job this president has done, and that has been the case basically for three years. What is left for the GOP ticket to do is to make the positive case for change. That is what we began to see last night.

It would be the height of political malpractice to fall into the false dichotomy the Democrats have been preaching – a “choice” versus a “referendum.” Every election is in fact both.

Fair point. After three and a half years, Obama’s negatives are essentially baked in the cake. All the GOP can do now is explain why they’d be better, which is why Ryan’s speech is the moment of truth. And in further defense of Christie, our media being as loathsome as it is, he would have been destroyed last night for gleefully pummeling Obama while Isaac is raging even though Obama’s out on the trail himself. Just one question, though: If you’re going for a purely positive message, why get Christie for the keynote? Rubio would have been much better in that role. You could have put Christie instead in the Thursday night slot to introduce Mitt and get the crowd fired up. I don’t quite get it.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012election; 2012polls; 2012rncconvention; christie; convention; election2012; kenyanbornmuzzie; mittromney; rnc; romney
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1 posted on 08/29/2012 2:33:58 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

While it is good news, it’s hard to get a read from one poll and one pollster. We should know something by Saturday or Sunday.

Would Politico have anything to post if not for “anonymous” Republican insiders attacking other Republicans?


2 posted on 08/29/2012 2:36:36 PM PDT by middlegeorgian
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To: SeekAndFind

Among conservatives, Mr. Romney’s popularity has fallen
due to his CONTINUING dirty tricks at the Convention
against real Conservatives and the TEA Party.


3 posted on 08/29/2012 2:37:51 PM PDT by Diogenesis (Vi veri veniversum vivus vici)
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To: SeekAndFind

Cruz, Mia Love, Artur Davis and Niki Haley all gave better speeches than Christie and his was pretty good. Ann Romney was the best of all though. The problem is nobody saw those speeches because Americans are by and large clueless or consumed with their mobile devices.


4 posted on 08/29/2012 2:38:22 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I think it’s cool that the Dems are on marbles waiting for Christie to unleash! I think HE and Romney are waiting until AFTER the DEM convention to really stick it to “em. There will be fresh new material and Christie may be able to negatively affect any post-convention bounce that Obama might have enjoyed. If this is true (and I am merely guessing as an outsider),,then I think the timing is perfect. Keep the raw Christie in the wings and release him after the Dem convention ,,,which will of course coincide with all the new Romney ads going out since he can tap into the donations made to his campaign now. I’m loving it!


5 posted on 08/29/2012 2:38:51 PM PDT by austinaero (Obama or America - can't have both)
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To: austinaero

Now that Romney has the nomination, look for the political ads to go all out against Obama and the Dems bigtime, and in a special way, come next week.


6 posted on 08/29/2012 2:41:00 PM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: SeekAndFind

I can hardly wait for the Sharia Law advocates to open the DNC convention with prayer. That ought to be good for another 5-10 point drop in zero’s numbers.


7 posted on 08/29/2012 2:41:14 PM PDT by 11th_VA (Keep your laws OFF my Big Gulp !)
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To: jwalsh07

RE: The problem is nobody saw those speeches because Americans are by and large clueless or consumed with their mobile devices.

If true, this would mean that Americans by and large will ignore the DNC convention too.


8 posted on 08/29/2012 2:47:31 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: jwalsh07
Cruz, Mia Love, Artur Davis and Niki Haley all gave better speeches than Christie and his was pretty good. Ann Romney was the best of all though. The problem is nobody saw those speeches because Americans are by and large clueless or consumed with their mobile devices.

Even if the American people wanted to watch those speeches the media, outside of C-SPAN, blacked them out. Even Fox didn't show Cruz's speech, I had to watch it on C-SPAN.

9 posted on 08/29/2012 2:47:31 PM PDT by middlegeorgian
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To: Diogenesis

Did we win or lose that fight?

If we lost we must work on forming a third party right after election 2012. In fact, we need to do that anyways. It will be needed to hang over Romney’s head through-out his first term (if he does win the Presidency).

If Obama wins no 3rd or even 2nd party necessary. It will be over. Consider him to be another Hugo Chavez with 4 years to figure out how to make it 10, 15 or 20 years.


10 posted on 08/29/2012 2:47:48 PM PDT by tsowellfan (Voting for Obama/Biden is like purposely swallowing two tapeworms)
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To: Diogenesis
Romney must believe that conservative numbers are insignificant. Are they?

Either way, he must also believe of this minority, a good percentage will vote for him anyway.

It is a win-win for his political ambitions.

11 posted on 08/29/2012 2:49:45 PM PDT by deadrock
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To: DEADROCK

-——that conservative numbers are insignificant——

There is conservative, conservative fringe and way way out there.

He likely has a very good feel for the numbers.


12 posted on 08/29/2012 2:52:49 PM PDT by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... Present failure and impending death yield irrational action))
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To: 11th_VA

“I can hardly wait for the Sharia Law advocates to open the DNC convention with prayer. That ought to be good for another 5-10 point drop in zero’s numbers.:”

I would wager the MSM will not cover this part of the convention and pretend like it never happened.


13 posted on 08/29/2012 2:53:54 PM PDT by austinaero (Obama or America - can't have both)
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To: austinaero

That being said, thank God for Youtube....the video will be out there, somewhere,,beyond DNC control.


14 posted on 08/29/2012 2:55:19 PM PDT by austinaero (Obama or America - can't have both)
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To: SeekAndFind

Of course they will. Look at your article. 20m viewers in a country of about 176m adults. 1 in 9 adults will tune in.


15 posted on 08/29/2012 2:55:35 PM PDT by jwalsh07 (.)
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To: marygonzo

Thanks SeekAndFind.


16 posted on 08/29/2012 3:11:37 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: Diogenesis

Yeah, cuz the PaulBots didn’t do any dirty tricks at all, like lying about being Romney delegates while really planning to vote for Ron. And the main guy is supposed to sit back and take it like a putz, like McCain did.

You should be grateful that we have someone who knows how to throw a punch.


17 posted on 08/29/2012 3:17:36 PM PDT by Technocrat (Romney-Ryan 2012)
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To: Diogenesis

“Among conservatives, Mr. Romney’s popularity has fallen
due to his CONTINUING dirty tricks at the Convention
against real Conservatives and the TEA Party.”

True. I would bet some Texas delegates will leave the presidential line on the ballot empty after Romney’s true nature was shown as he, Sununu, Romney’s lawyer and Boehner destroyed the Republican Party yesterday, leaving it a shell owned by Romney.


18 posted on 08/29/2012 3:18:55 PM PDT by Marcella (Conservatism is dead. PREPARE)
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To: Marcella

The party hasn’t been conservative for years and you people are just figuring it out?

Is this your first election?


19 posted on 08/29/2012 3:24:15 PM PDT by SaxxonWoods (....The days are long, but the years are short.....)
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To: SaxxonWoods

Your comment isn’t worth more than these words.


20 posted on 08/29/2012 3:27:48 PM PDT by Marcella (Conservatism is dead. PREPARE)
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