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Rasmussen Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (Romney 45%, Obama 44%)
Rasmussen ^

Posted on 08/31/2012 7:05:13 AM PDT by Arthurio

Friday, August 31, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 45% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns 44% of the vote. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.

Today is the first time Romney has held the advantage in a week. See daily tracking history. Forty-four percent (44%) of voters now see Obama as Very Liberal, and 30% see Romney as Very Conservative.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; rasmussen
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1 posted on 08/31/2012 7:05:18 AM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

And then over the weekend O will go back up. Daily tracking polls are useless noise. They bounce all over the place.


2 posted on 08/31/2012 7:06:08 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: MNJohnnie
7% undecided???

You have GOT to be kidding me.

3 posted on 08/31/2012 7:09:58 AM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (ObamaCare is an assault on the unborn, infirmed and elderly. GOP, repeat this as necessary...)
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To: Arthurio

Woa this is not a very good bounce. :/


4 posted on 08/31/2012 7:09:58 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Arthurio

I just don’t get how Obama has so much support. Who are these idiots???


5 posted on 08/31/2012 7:10:17 AM PDT by ilovesarah2012
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To: Arthurio

What is the number generated by some talking heads? 47% of the people get some sort of a government check?


6 posted on 08/31/2012 7:11:18 AM PDT by ConservativeStatement (Obama "acted stupidly.")
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To: snarkytart

Bounced like a bag of wet cement.


7 posted on 08/31/2012 7:11:32 AM PDT by GonzoGOP (There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
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To: snarkytart

Nope.


8 posted on 08/31/2012 7:11:57 AM PDT by GoCards (I am a Hobbit)
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To: MNJohnnie

I believe Rass is three day average tracking. If Bambi is back up come Monday, then there was zero bounce for Romney.
BIG problem.


9 posted on 08/31/2012 7:11:57 AM PDT by DAC21
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To: ilovesarah2012

They’re the same damn idiot who are guilty white middle class who don’t wanna have the first black president be a failure and not get a second term. The “Lets give him a second chance and more time to make things better” morons.


10 posted on 08/31/2012 7:12:08 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: snarkytart

Nope.


11 posted on 08/31/2012 7:12:08 AM PDT by GoCards (I am a Hobbit)
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To: snarkytart

It takes a few days in a daily tracking poll before that factors in.


12 posted on 08/31/2012 7:12:38 AM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
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To: Arthurio
Daily tracking polls are useless noise. They bounce all over the place.

Actually, they are much more steady than the polls the networks commission monthly. The daily tracking polls use numbers over multiple days (3,5 or 7 usually) to smooth out the results.

What I think we are going to see is there is no bounce. And I doubt Obama will get one either. The country is very divided. A very simplistic way of looking at it is that half the people want more freebies, the other half would rather not pay for those people to have more freebies. There just aren't that many truly independent voters these days.

13 posted on 08/31/2012 7:13:03 AM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: ilovesarah2012
I just don’t get how Obama has so much support. Who are these idiots???

I suspect they are the dead and fake people who will be used fraudulently by democrats to steal the election.

14 posted on 08/31/2012 7:13:48 AM PDT by Rapscallion (Obama - Can you afford to keep him?)
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To: ilovesarah2012; All

I truly hope we don’t fall into a Kerry/Bush issue this fall.

Our tepid support of Mitt (as with Kerry was the anybody but Bush candidate) might cause Obama to slip through.

I remember hearing libs ask how it was possible because ‘everyone I know hates Bush!’ Well, apparently there was more support (even silently) than you realized.

WE have to make the case. WE know what a sleazeball he is, WE have to convince people that the problems ARE HIM. Not Bush, not global markets, etc... The gas has been double for nearly 2 years, has the media made a squawk? They were gauging their eyes out with Bush for just a few months!

Don’t take for granted that your neighbor who barely pays attention to the world will go vote for Mitt, while the goofball libs panic to keep that ,woman hating/killing, gonna take my abortion away, Mitt Romney out of office.


15 posted on 08/31/2012 7:15:55 AM PDT by autumnraine (America how long will you be so deaf and dumb to the tumbril wheels carrying you to the guillotine?)
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To: snarkytart

guilty white middle class


And why is that? Decades of relentless brainwashing in the classroom and outright propaganda from a corrupt left wing media that is in bed with the DNC.


16 posted on 08/31/2012 7:16:41 AM PDT by Starboard
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To: snarkytart

Quoting from the article:

“nearly all of the interviews were conducted before Mitt Romney’s speech to the Republican National Convention last night.”


17 posted on 08/31/2012 7:19:07 AM PDT by BarnacleCenturion
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To: Longbow1969

Only Ryans speech would be factoring into todays Rass’s numbers, not Romneys.


18 posted on 08/31/2012 7:19:20 AM PDT by DAC21
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To: ilovesarah2012
I just don’t get how Obama has so much support. Who are these idiots???

About half the country pays no income taxes and a big chunk of that number want more freebies. Additionally, a lot of people still WANT to like Obama. Hussein has a huge advantage because so many people are emotionally invested in him. You can get away with bloody murder for quite awhile when people WANT to like you so much they put aside all your failures.

19 posted on 08/31/2012 7:19:47 AM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: DAC21
I believe Rass is three day average tracking.

That's what I thought, too. It's a little early to come up with an accurate account.
On top of that, I think most people have already made up their minds anyway. Either they want a free country and a free market, or they want the government dictating our production and consumption (like obomacare, for example).

20 posted on 08/31/2012 7:20:24 AM PDT by concerned about politics ("Get thee behind me, Liberal")
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To: Arthurio
Daily trackers aren't going ot pick up a convention bounce the day the convention ends. Romney will gain several points from the convention, probably 6 or 7, and that will show up by early next week.

This was an excellent convention for the GOP ticket, and the shift in momentum already heading our way will accelerate.

21 posted on 08/31/2012 7:20:29 AM PDT by TonyInOhio (Obama, a ship sailing on yesterday's wind)
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To: BarnacleCenturion

that’s some relief, I guess this is the result of Ann’s and Ryan’s speeches.


22 posted on 08/31/2012 7:21:01 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: DAC21

I get that, I just don’t think we are going to see much of a bounce - even when Romney’s speech is factored in. I think most people have already made up their minds. There just aren’t that many persuadable people.


23 posted on 08/31/2012 7:21:14 AM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: Arthurio

Rasmussen has already said you won’t see the full effect of the bounce until the end of the week — Saturday. That would reflect polling for Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday.


24 posted on 08/31/2012 7:21:49 AM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: Arthurio

From the article:

“...As a result, nearly all of the interviews were conducted before Mitt Romney’s speech to the Republican National Convention last night. Some interviews for today’s update were conducted before the prime-time speeches on the first night of the convention. However, the daily tracking so far does indicates that Romney has received a modest “bounce” from the convention.”


25 posted on 08/31/2012 7:22:56 AM PDT by Qbert ("The best defense against usurpatory government is an assertive citizenry" - William F. Buckley, Jr.)
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To: ilovesarah2012
Who are these idiots???

The 45% who are drawing food stamps, SSI, housing subsidies, Social Security or who hold Government jobs.


26 posted on 08/31/2012 7:25:02 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: snarkytart
Woa this is not a very good bounce. :/

All the data for this 3-day rolling average poll was collected prior to yesterday's convention speeches. So the one-point lead is just a continuation of the last few days' polling variation. Obama has been up for a few days.

27 posted on 08/31/2012 7:25:36 AM PDT by Homer_J_Simpson ("Every nation has the government that it deserves." - Joseph de Maistre (1753-1821))
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To: Arthurio

Yeah. Not a good bounce at all so far.

These things sometimes take a while to sort out though.

Lets wait a few more days and see what happens.


28 posted on 08/31/2012 7:26:13 AM PDT by comebacknewt (Newt (sigh) what could have been . . .)
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To: Longbow1969

I don’t see anything likable about BO - never did.

Oh, he’s a good father....so we should stand by while he destroys the country?

Zero needs to be fired so he can spend more time with his family.


29 posted on 08/31/2012 7:27:18 AM PDT by Aria ( 2008 wasn't an election - it was a coup d'etat.)
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To: DAC21
Zero will come back up over the weekend -- because it's a weekend, and in addition it's a 3-day weekend. Some will have taken vacations this week, and people who have families and take vacations tend to be conservative and Republican. The reason this may be significant is that libs tend to prefer leisure-time activities that they can't do in public (at least not without being arrested, unless they live in San Francisco), and conservatives tend to prefer leisure-time activities that they can not possibly do at home.

As long as the polls keep the two candidates within the margin of error, I wouldn't weigh the results very heavily until the 'rat's convention bounce fades, and Romney begins spending some of his campaign cash. That might be the third week of September.

30 posted on 08/31/2012 7:29:17 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: WashingtonSource

Obama is the incumbent...he is polling at 44%.

That’s a DISASTER for him....regardless of where Romney is polling. Freepers should know this.


31 posted on 08/31/2012 7:30:36 AM PDT by BuckeyeGOP
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To: Longbow1969
When was this poll taken. Before or after the convention. I live in Florida, it ended late, after 11 PM. Wait until they average the poll from the weekend...
32 posted on 08/31/2012 7:33:00 AM PDT by tati (tati305)
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To: BuckeyeGOP

What was GWB polling this time in 2004? I thought he had a pretty bad approval rating and still beat Kerry?


33 posted on 08/31/2012 7:33:35 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: snarkytart

Obama is hardly a failure. You can go back to before he was elected and read and listen to his plans for America and he has actually been quite successful and that is the problem.


34 posted on 08/31/2012 7:34:19 AM PDT by ilovesarah2012
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To: snarkytart
"What was GWB polling this time in 2004? I thought he had a pretty bad approval rating and still beat Kerry?"

It was close -- but one thing that incumbent Bush had that incumbent Zero doesn't have is the economy. No matter what the MSM says, nobody will believe that the US economy is in anything near decent shape.

1980 is probably a better comparison. Carter was mostly ahead until just before the election. We don't fire people easily, it seems.


35 posted on 08/31/2012 7:50:15 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: snarkytart
This does not include Romney's speech or Rubio's for that matter. On Monday Obama was up by 3 with Rasmussen and since then he has moved the numbers 4 points not including the last nights speech.

These bumps are temporary anyway and the real campaign begins when Romney begins spending the huge amount of cash he has on hand which should be almost immediately.

36 posted on 08/31/2012 7:52:19 AM PDT by Lacey2
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To: Longbow1969

“There just aren’t that many truly independent voters these days.”

Well worth repeating to the GOPe - who seem to think that a fraction more independents are worth more than a motivated base. They also seem to believe that a few independents are more in number than the numbers of conservatives that they have pissed off.


37 posted on 08/31/2012 7:57:52 AM PDT by taxcontrol
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To: Sooth2222

“one thing that incumbent Bush had that incumbent Zero doesn’t have is the economy”

What obama does have, however, is a company in Spain (involving soros) that is counting the votes. This combined with 30% Independents that they most likely will claim “broke their way” is scary.

I don’t notice many who seem concerned so I’m hoping we have a group there to somehow protect our interests... but I’m doubtful.


38 posted on 08/31/2012 8:01:53 AM PDT by Heart of Georgia ("Together we will unite America and get this done" - Paul Ryan - August 11, 2012)
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To: Sooth2222

Thank you so much for getting that and posting it for me. I really appreciate it. It doesn’t seem Bush was ever under 49% from August on to the election. Kerry was never above him except a couple times during the summer. Interesting.


39 posted on 08/31/2012 8:04:07 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Arthurio
I just read 30 million people were watching last night. We have almost 400 million in this country. The Party faithful were watching and avid Democrats watched. The question is how many undecideds, neither Republican nor Democrat, were watching?

I think the two debates is where the undecideds will make up their mind.

40 posted on 08/31/2012 8:09:06 AM PDT by Marcella (Conservatism is dead. PREPARE)
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To: Marcella

Usually if the economy is as bad as it is now the man in the office is tossed regardless of speeches or debates. We’ll see if that holds true this time.


41 posted on 08/31/2012 8:10:47 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Arthurio

Do we believe the polls? I’m really asking.


42 posted on 08/31/2012 8:11:04 AM PDT by TEXOKIE (Nobody made a greater mistake than he who did nothing because he could do only a little. EdmondBurke)
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To: Rapscallion

“I suspect they are the dead and fake people who will be used fraudulently by democrats to steal the election.”

Technically, they would be zombies.


43 posted on 08/31/2012 8:12:13 AM PDT by Marcella (Conservatism is dead. PREPARE)
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To: Sooth2222

44% Carter
39% Reagan

In October 1980!?

Just imagine what the FR Drama Queen Squad would have been like if this site was around back then.


44 posted on 08/31/2012 8:12:18 AM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: Arthurio

So Rasmussen is basically saying there was no bounce from the convention? I find that very difficult to believe.


45 posted on 08/31/2012 8:15:46 AM PDT by TheBattman (Isn't the lesser evil... still evil?)
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To: VanDeKoik

Well according to Rasmussen Obama and Romney have been going back and forth with the lead. There’s no need for drama. It’s all about who gets out their people to vote.


46 posted on 08/31/2012 8:16:23 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Arthurio

This week is a holiday weekend week.

I would not even consider any poll till after next week.


47 posted on 08/31/2012 8:17:53 AM PDT by crz
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To: snarkytart
3 day tracking poll, monday-wednesday. have to wait till saturday-sunday
48 posted on 08/31/2012 8:26:25 AM PDT by Bulwinkle (Alec, a.k.a. Daffy Duck)
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To: Arthurio

I look at the trends, not the daily. Obama has topped out consistently at 47% since March, and he bottoms at 43%. Obama is a known factor, what’s going to move him above this 43-47 channel?

A major screwup by Romney is Obama’s only hope. Romney is just getting started with the American voter and can move up.

It looks very winnable for Romney and Obama has a problem.


49 posted on 08/31/2012 8:59:13 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (....The days are long, but the years are short.....)
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To: Marcella

“We have almost 400 million in this country.”

More like 313 million. About 135 million voted in the last presidential election.

Convnetions rarely decide elections. TV ads and the ground game of turnout wins modern elections. Most voters are just starting to pay attention now.


50 posted on 08/31/2012 9:02:30 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (....The days are long, but the years are short.....)
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